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Polling Tag

Posted by Kemberlee Kaye on November 19, 2018 60 Comments
A recent Rasmussen survey of a hypothetical match-up between former First Lady Michelle Obama and President Trump has Obama victorious. From Rasmussen:
Michelle Obama has been making the rounds promoting her new book, prompting buzz about a potential presidential run, which she has vehemently denied. But with the midterms over and the focus on 2020, voters think she’d stand a chance.

Posted by Kemberlee Kaye on October 16, 2018 22 Comments
A few months ago, Democrats had a commanding lead in a number of polls and talks of a Blue Wave had the GOP rattled. But a lot has happened these few months. A series of missteps, unforced errors, and flat out embarrassments and three weeks before the midterm elections, polls are skewing red.

Posted by Fuzzy Slippers on July 22, 2018 16 Comments
As midterms approach, the generic ballot has been in flux. The Democrats began with a double-digit lead, this was whittled down significantly, and is now back up at around 8%.  Other factors make predicting whether or not Republicans can maintain control of the House difficult, but Republicans have an advantage in that even if there is a wave election, they may still retain the House.

Posted by William A. Jacobson on May 22, 2018 34 Comments
A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows a generic ballot lead for the 2018 congressional midterms ... in favor of Republicans. WUT?

Posted by Leslie Eastman on March 29, 2018 16 Comments
I was a big fan of the original Roseanne during its original run from 1988 to 1997. So, when I learned that Roseanne Barr would be reviving the show and portraying a very vocal Trump supporter, I made sure to catch it.

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 27, 2018 31 Comments
At one level, nothing has changed about Trump. He still stirs the pot on Twitter, the staffing changes continue, and the sense of turmoil never seems to leave. Certainly, #TheResistance against Trump has not changed. If anything, the opposition to Trump has gone from foaming at the mouth to ... Exorcist-like goo bursting head spins. And that's just CNN.

Posted by Kemberlee Kaye on November 01, 2017 16 Comments
A poll published Wednesday by the American Psychological Association confirmed what most Americans have complained about at some point -- the constant onslaught of news stresses people out. The APA's 'Stress in America' study set out to identify key stressors and their overall effect on the country's climate.

Posted by Fuzzy Slippers on October 12, 2017 31 Comments
Mark Penn, Democrat strategist and former pollster for Bill Clinton during his presidency, is reviled by today's regressive Democrats.  Happily, his truth bombs land amongst his leftist audience with a fizzle amid looks of scathing disdain. Penn's latest attempt to speak truth to the left's waning political power addresses why, as co-director of the Harvard-Harris Poll, he believes that the left is still getting everything wrong, particularly when it comes to polls and President Trump.

Posted by William A. Jacobson on September 13, 2017 19 Comments
If we judged elections that are over a year (congressional midterms) and three years (presidential) away based on current approval ratings and popularity polling, Donald Trump would seem done for. Indeed, that is the prevailing media narrative. Though there was a recent blip upward, Trumps favorability and job approval numbers are poor. Here is a chart of Trump's job approval ratings from 538 based on a composite of all polls:

Posted by Kemberlee Kaye on May 03, 2017 13 Comments
New polling data suggests that there's a silent majority of millennials (those aged 18-34) who ardently support both free speech and religious freedom. The Fund for American Studies conducted the poll and found that contrary to what seems like a never-ending stream of headlines touting millennial love of safe spaces, hatred for ideological and social diversity, and affinity towards homogenized speech might not be telling the whole story. The survey "measures how Americans define freedom and whether they generally support “more” or “less” government interference in their daily lives."

Posted by Fuzzy Slippers on April 28, 2017 16 Comments
As we consider the flood of polls proclaiming that President Trump's approval numbers are lower than those of any other president at this point in his presidency, a former Clinton pollster and current co-director of the  Harvard-Harris Poll takes issue with the majority of political polls' methodology. Mark Penn, writing at the Hill, refers to the problem as a "polling bubble" that involves both polling entities and the media.  He pinpoints three reasons for the unreliability of polls about Trump:  polls directed at "all adults," polls focused on sensationalized "stories," and participants' unwillingness to be honest about their views.

Posted by Kemberlee Kaye on April 11, 2017 13 Comments
Polling conducted by Gallup earlier this year found that the number of Democrats "extremely" or "very proud" to be American is down by eleven percentage points compared to similar polling last year. There's been little change in patriotic sentiment for those self-identifying as either Republican or Independent. Gallup first conducted the poll in 2001.
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