Image 01 Image 03

Polling Tag

This is the fourth in a series of GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.___________________Today I will provide an overview of the polling situation...

This is the third in a series of GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.___________________Handling BiasToday I will discuss ways to handle bias...

This is the second in a series of GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.___________________Samples & Margin of Error1. Sampling Error Will Always Be There...

This is the first in a series GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.____________________Analyzing polls with only what polling companies release is a tricky...

As my readers know, I have taken an interest in polling, primarily because it seems so many polls are agenda driven.  In a post last week, I pointed to a PPP poll on Wisconsin which used sample data which underweighted Walker voters from 2010 and...

Public Policy Polling (PPP) is a long-time Democratic pollster, which last year became the official pollster for DailyKos.PPP is prolific in its polling, with new polls released almost daily.  I have linked to PPP's polls in the past.  PPP has a good knack for finding...

I doubt you could find any issue on which 92% of people in this country agree.  And certainly not when the issue is political.Yet CBS News ran an "online poll," which is getting plenty of attention, showing that 92% of people "approve of the proposals...

One of my readers has asked if we will be doing a Live Event (similar to what we did on November 2 and last January for the MA Election) for Tuesday's State of the Union address.What do you think? (Poll closes at midnight tonight)--------------------------------------------Follow me on...

CNN/Opinion Research has released a poll (pdf.) taken January 14-16, 2011, which has some rational findings about the Tucson shooting, and some perverse findings.The rational finding is that an overwhelming majority of people (66%) recognize that such shootings will still take place regardless of what government...

CBS News has released a poll in the wake of the shooting of Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and the murder of several others.The poll results show that the attempts by the left-blogosphere, mainstream media and some Democratic politicians to blame right-wing political speech and Sarah Palin for...

Or maybe, The Definitive "They Didn't See It Coming" Tweet; or The Definitive "They Don't Get It" Tweet; or The Definitive "Not Seeing The Forest For The Trees" Tweet.  Any other suggestions?You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows:Update: WaPo becomes...

A new poll released in my home district (RI-01) confirms what I have been telling you for weeks, this race is winnable for Republican John Loughlin.  As reported by The Providence Journal:For much of the campaign season, Providence Mayor David N. Cicilline has raised much...

The Boston Globe, which is all in for the Democrats, has released a poll (via HotAir) showing Barney Frank up 13 points against Sean Beilat, but still well below 50%. Beware The Boston Glove bearing polls.  Remember this headline, just 9 days prior to the...

Rasmussen just released a Delaware poll showing Christine O'Donnell down 49-40% to Chris Coons in a race in which Mike Castle mounts a write-in campaign:It is possible that a write-in campaign by Congressman Mike Castle could hurt Democrat Chris Coons more than Republican Christine O’Donnell...

Please do it, because it will increase our likelihood of victory.Mike Castle will test waters with poll:Rep. Mike Castle is planning on polling a potential three-way Senate race to test his chances as a write-in candidate, a Delaware Republican tells POLITICO. Can someone get him the phone number...

It's over.  The race is hopeless.  The Republican candidate has no chance because of past indiscretions which have rendered the candidate a joke, and the electorate has made up its mind in favor of the well-known Democrat.The polls, depending upon which you believe, have our...