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Post-Debate Polling for Kamala Harris Shows Dramatic Drop in Support from Black Democrats

Post-Debate Polling for Kamala Harris Shows Dramatic Drop in Support from Black Democrats

Support for Harris has also fallen significantly among female Democrats.

The new Quinnipiac University national poll shows that Sen. Kamala Harris’s polling bounce after the first round of Democratic presidential debates entirely evaporated by the end of the second round.

Harris polled at 20% the Quinnipiac University poll taken a month ago. A pre-second debate poll released by Quinnipiac on July 29th showed Harris’s numbers in decline, with her standing at 12%.

Their latest survey, taken August 1-5, has Harris polling at 7%.

What unquestionably is most troublesome for the Harris campaign is the dramatic drop in support from black Democratic voters, down to 1% after reaching 27% in early July:

In today’s results: Biden gets 47 percent of black Democrats, with 16 percent for Sanders, 8 percent for Warren and 1 percent for Harris

Contrast that with the pre-second debate poll from July 29th:

Biden gets 53 percent of black Democrats, with 8 percent for Sanders, 7 percent for Harris and 4 percent for Warren

And also the survey from July 2nd:

Harris also essentially catches Biden among black Democratic voters, a historically strong voting bloc for Biden, with Biden at 31 percent and Harris at 27 percent.

When Quinnipiac asked Democratic voters after the first round of debates who performed the best, 47% said Harris. After her last debate, that number landed at 8%.

Harris’s support among female Democrats has also been in a freefall. She’s at 7% now in comparison to 24% a month ago.

So her support has dropped significantly among two crucial Democratic voting blocs: black people and women.

What went wrong for Harris? I bet Rep. Tulsi Gabbard’s epic takedown of Harris on her record as California attorney general helped escalate the fall in her numbers. Gabbard raised incredibly essential issues to black Democratic voters about Harris’s time as AG on criminal justice reform.

Her ongoing racially-tinged attacks against Joe Biden may not sit well with black voters who remember (and are frequently reminded of) his eight years with President Obama.

Other polls taken after her second debate confirm the genuine drop in support for Harris, including this one:

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts remain the top three contenders in the first poll conducted in the first-in-the-nation presidential primary state of New Hampshire following last week’s Democratic nomination debates.

But the Suffolk University survey for the Boston Globe released Tuesday also indicates a slip in support for Sen. Kamala Harris of California when compared with polls conducted prior to the debates.

Biden stands at 21 percent among likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire according to the survey, with Sanders at 17 percent, Warren at 14 percent, and Harris at 8 percent.

Biden stood at 23 percent in an average of the two live operator surveys – University of New Hampshire/CNN and Saint Anselm College – conducted in early to mid-July, before the debates. Warren averaged 18 percent, Sanders 15 percent and Harris 14 percent.

A Morning Consult poll taken Aug. 1-4 showed Harris was the only candidate whose numbers dropped after her second debate:

Kamala Harris jumped into the top tier of Democratic presidential candidates after the first round of televised debates in June, gaining six percentage points in Morning Consult national polling. And now, after the second debates, she’s struggling to stay there, giving back 3 points.

The junior senator from California also saw her net favorability crater — it’s suddenly down 11 points, significantly more than any other candidate.

The Senator can continue to make all the excuses she wants for her falling numbers. But the apparent rejection by black voters of the identity politics games Democrats like to play one thing very clear: The Harris campaign is in serious trouble.

— Stacey Matthews has also written under the pseudonym “Sister Toldjah” and can be reached via Twitter.


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healthguyfsu | August 8, 2019 at 3:04 pm

How surprising that the party pandering and playing on feelings over logic and rationality has supporters that hop about with the winds.

    BerettaTomcat in reply to healthguyfsu. | August 8, 2019 at 4:04 pm

    More surprising the feelz crowd listened to Tulsi’s facts and logic.

      artichoke in reply to BerettaTomcat. | August 8, 2019 at 4:12 pm

      Tulsi? Is it also Kamala, Amy, Liz and Kirsten? How about Joe and Corey? I’ll give you Bernie, but I think it’s really better to stick to everyone’s last name, to suck the feelings out of it.

        notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital in reply to artichoke. | August 8, 2019 at 4:40 pm

        Blacks fleeing the Democrat Party Plantation,
        may be the only thing that keeps the Dems
        from installing Kamala after she fails to
        win the primary race.

ain’t this about a DAMN shame?

Looks like blacks realized that Harris is just another Fauxcahontas, only she pretends to be black. She isn’t. Her father is white and her mother is from India. She is a direct descendant of a notoriously cruel slave owner.

    artichoke in reply to Pasadena Phil. | August 8, 2019 at 4:18 pm

    How much of that support went to the actual black Corey Booker? I noticed Biden being very careful with Booker’s ego at the debate.

    BerettaTomcat in reply to Pasadena Phil. | August 8, 2019 at 4:31 pm

    The natural-born British East African legitimately claimed to be 50% Sub-Saharan. Harris’s Jamaican father appears far less than 50% Sub-Saharan, which makes the natural-born Jamaican ineligible candidate far less than 25% Black. Considering the average American Black is about 75% Sub-Saharan, it’s a tough sell to convince any cognizant person she’s meaningfully Black, especially because she grew up with her South Asian mother on the opposite side of the continent after her parents divorced, and does not claim her dad to have been a significant influence in her life.

    So, yes, she is something of an ethnic phoney, but a not to the extent Fauxohauntas has (Chieftess Lie•a•woppa’s problem is about 100 times worse).

Could it be that the poll is being used to promote Biden? That could never happen. Forget I mentioned it.

Do the Clinton’s favor Biden? And the Obama camp favor Harris? Is that how it pencils out?

    artichoke in reply to Tiki. | August 8, 2019 at 3:49 pm

    As I see it, Gabbard’s hit on Harris was done to help Biden, and CNN was in on the whole thing. CNN also took out Gillibrand, surprising her for asking for her comment on what another candidate had said, when she was not expecting to speak. She looked very flustered in that moment. No other candidates were asked for instant reactions to other candidates like that.

    I don’t know Gabbard’s future. I don’t think she can win this year, and she’s not from a swing state so probably not VP. But maybe when they can pry Mazie Hirono’s seat loose they’ll put her in the Senate as a star of the future.

      Tiki in reply to artichoke. | August 8, 2019 at 4:18 pm

      And after Gabbard outed Harris California bureaucrats essentially sealed Harris’s prosecutorial records from public inspection – at least for the time being. Which means the hardcore coastal progressives still love Harris and still hate Biden.

      So I’m wondering if the Clinton camp used Gabbard as catspaw. I wouldn’t put it past them.

      Gabbard has no real chance at higher elected office.

      notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital in reply to artichoke. | August 8, 2019 at 4:45 pm


Willie Brown supports her! She’s got the Brown vote!!

[how ’bout that … I think I just made a RAYCIS joke:)]

    artichoke in reply to walls. | August 8, 2019 at 3:46 pm

    Willie Brown didn’t even support her before. He said that she didn’t have what it took to win the presidency.

Comanche Voter | August 8, 2019 at 3:26 pm

Most voters–and that includes blacks and women–like the strong horse. They can sense the weakness that Harris showed in the second debate, and smell the flop sweat. Ms. Harris may rise Lazarus like from her dead position in the polls, but I doubt it.

She can project the strong aggressive prosecutor image for a bit–until someone like Tulsi Gabbard shows that Kamala has a glass jaw.

    artichoke in reply to Comanche Voter. | August 8, 2019 at 3:45 pm

    Then the fear quickly turns to derision. “But she’s a first-tier candidate!”

    I think we have a new American political saying that will recall this episode and her further-disastrous CNN interview after the debate: “first-tier candidate”.

ScottTheEngineer | August 8, 2019 at 3:33 pm

I guess if she wants be a serious contender she needs to tell black people that if she doesn’t win Trump will put them back in chains. Or that she carries hot sauce and “ain’t no ways tired”
I still dont understand how that’s not an insult.

She’s done, maybe for all of politics. Her reelection to the Senate could be in trouble after that humiliation.

Did the executioness, Tulsi Gabbard, inherit any of that support?

Heels up for Willie Brown!

Stick the fork in, she’s done. It was always going to happen. Harris had too many vulnerabilities and there is more should she rise again.

So, a commie has been take out by a socialist. Thanks Gabbard!

Lucifer Morningstar | August 8, 2019 at 4:26 pm

Stick the fork in, she’s done. It was always going to happen. Harris had too much baggage attached to her (like another well known candidate from the past) and it was always going to come back to bite her in the ass. And I suspect there’s even more should she attempt to make a comeback.

So the fake black woman was taken out by the two white guys and fake Indian. Man, that’s gotta sting. 😛

#MeToo #HerToo #SheProgressed is probably a turnoff for women who are unwilling to indulge their liberal vices in order to develop their careers.

No need to get all excited now. The Dem candidate will be picked in a few months, depending on one of two things.
A) If the Dems think they can turn out enough of their loons to vote in a loon candidate, it will be a loon.
B) If the Dems want to engage Trump with the “We’re the Sane party, he’s going stark raving bonkers”… No, they can’t pull that off, even with Biden.

Fwiw, I think the clown show effect of the coverage of the Dem primary is deliberate, and is being orchestrated by Hillary, so that no one nominee emerges as a clear winner. Why? So Hillary can “win” a brokered convention, of course.

What? You didn’t actually think she’d given up, did you?

    Roy in Nipomo in reply to hopp singg. | August 8, 2019 at 8:07 pm

    Mrs Obama would win a brokered convention, but there would be blood on the floor if Mrs Clinton remotely thought she had a chance.

The woman has never had an original thought. From the time she started “serving” under Willie Brown, he probably had to tell her what to do. Just today, she stole Andrew Yang’s idiotic idea of $1,000 a month and cut it to $500 per month and eliminates the Trump tax cuts. She is dangerous and I think even the black community sees what a phony she is.

Kamala and Spartacus would be making a big mistake if they assume black Democrats will vote for them merely because they are black. They should review what Detroiters did a few years back. The usual black political elites were running for mayor against a white guy from the suburbs who only recently moved to Detroit. Unfortunately, he missed a deadline to make the ballot. Just to make sure he wouldn’t win, the political machine did qualify a black guy with almost an identical name.
Turns out the 90% black residents aren’t as stupid as these elites thought. Mike Duggan won as a write-in candidate and voters wrote in “Mike Duggan, the white guy”.
Will black Dems automatically vote for the black guy or woman? Don’t count on it.