2016 Republican Primary | Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion - Part 8
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2016 Republican Primary Tag

Of course, it's mathematically possible that Donald Trump will obtain a majority of delegates through the primary and caucus process, in which case all the talk about an open or contested convention is moot. But the math is at least as likely to have Trump fall short, with only a plurality. And a plurality doesn't entitle Trump to anything other than a floor fight -- or cutting a deal with someone who has enough delegates to put him over the top. The RNC appears to be getting ready for an open convention (what I call a contested convention). Reince Preibus dispelled the notion that there would be something improper with new rules being adopted: https://www.youtube.com/embed/X0VXMYZ-G6k

This old campaign ad from the 1964 election hits a little too close to home. Made by LBJ's campaign, a remorseful Republican wishes he would've attended and fought at the national convention.
The anonymous confessor lights a cigarette, leans back and says:

Dr. Ben Carson is no longer running for president but he's had a rough couple of days in the spotlight due to his support for Donald Trump. First, Carson was grilled by a reporter for standing by Trump who at one point in recent months compared Carson to a child molester. Carson's response was baffling.

There was supposed to be a Fox News Republican Debate Monday night. That was until Donald Trump did well last night, and decided he didn't need another debate. Trump says he didn't even know about the debate, even though everyone else did, and won't participate because he is speaking before AIPAC:
Except that as of yesterday his speech was not scheduled for a specific time slot:

Donald Trump had a good night, but he's still far from what it takes to win what is required -- a majority of all delegates. Here is the delegate count as of approximately 11:45 p.m. Eastern tonight. It will change somewhat because the delegate allocation calculations are not simple. Republican delegate count 3-15-2016 Trump supporters -- and some in the *conservative* media -- want to pretend that having a plurality of delegates or raw vote entitles Trump to the nomination. But it doesn't.

It's Super Tuesday (Part 3)! Welcome to our live results feed. We'll post results as they become available.

Updates:

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/709891940515446785

Welcome to our Super Duper Tuesday Open Thread. We'll be updating all afternoon until around 7:00 PM EST when our live primary results post hits the internet. Be sure to refresh your browser for the latest updates.

Donald Trump wins Northern Mariana Island caucuses

Add 9 more delegates to The Donald's total.

Well, now we know. Defunct presidential candidate, Dr. Ben Carson, raised many an eyebrow when he endorsed Donald Trump for president. Of course the assumption was the obvious -- Carson "sold out" for an administrative promise. Those who believed the speculation were less cynical and more right, apparently. Speaking to Newsmax Monday, Carson said he would be joining the Trump administration should it become a reality:
Dr. Ben Carson revealed on Newsmax TV Monday that he will work in Donald Trump's administration — at least in an "advisory capacity" — if the Republican presidential front-runner is elected to the White House.

It's Super Tuesday (again) Eve! Tomorrow, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio have will hold their primary elections. Florida and Ohio are winner-take-all states; no delegate splitting in either. Here's the latest from the wild world of campaigns:

Florida's Attorney General endorses Trump

Mitt Romney has entered the next phase of his stop Trump crusade and will campaign with Ohio governor John Kasich in the state Monday. NBC News reported:
Mitt Romney to Campaign with John Kasich in Ohio Mitt Romney will campaign with John Kasich Monday at two stops in Ohio, NBC News has learned from a source familiar with the plans. Romney is not expected to endorse the Ohio governor during the campaign swing, the source said, but it will be the first time Romney has campaigned on behalf of a Republican candidate this cycle.

With recent polls showing Donald Trump and John Kasich tied in Ohio and reports that Marco Rubio is telling his OH supporters to vote for Kasich, Ohio has become quite the battleground in the 2016 Republican primaries. Entering the fray from his recent retirement is former House Speaker and long-time congressman from Ohio, John Boehner.  Boehner announced his endorsement of Kasich days before Ohio primary voters head to the polls. Cincinnati.com reports:
Republicans in Butler County honored former Speaker John Boehner three days before residents across Ohio's 8th District will vote on his replacement in Congress. But on Saturday, Boehner was more interested in talking about the presidential race. One day before Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is scheduled to speak in West Chester, Boehner endorsed Ohio Gov. John Kasich for president.

Protesters have been interrupting quite a few Trump events of late, but none were as "successful" as the one in Chicago.  That multi-pronged, organized and coordinated protest, covered by Professor Jacobson, actually shut down the event.  The progressive left is hailing this as a victory, so we are sure to see more of the same at future Trump events, and because it's perceived as a "victory," at the events of other Republican candidates before too long.  Professor Jacobson also discusses this slippery slope in another post. One report from a Politico writer explains how the organizer and some of his classmates felt in the minutes before the event was cancelled and as the students prepared for their disruption. Politico reports:
Just 50 feet in front of the podium where Trump was scheduled to appear at any moment, Nathaniel Lewis, a 25-year-old African-American graduate student at the University of Illinois at Chicago, had established a beachhead of sorts: a pocket of about three dozen college students and activists. They were ready, too. What Lewis and dozens of his UIC classmates had planned was perhaps bigger—and better organized—than any protest Trump had faced to date. It had been a week in the making, and now everyone was in place: with roughly 2,500 on the street outside and hundreds more inside, including dozens working directly with Lewis. As they waited, the crowd growing loud around them, a few were starting to feel doubts about what they were hoping to do.

I've been trying to design a good primary system. Or at least a better one. The more I think about it, though, the harder creating a good design seems to be. The Founders didn't offer much guidance, because they didn't envision the party system in its present form, and the nomination process slowly evolved to what it is today. These would be my suggestions for changes in the Republican primaries: (1) Only Republicans vote. A voter's party has to be declared some fixed amount of time before the primary in each state. Each state can set the amount of time, but there would be a minimum amount of time they could not shorten. I'm open to suggestions on what that amount of time would be.

The Breitbart/Michelle Fields/Trump Campaign Manager saga continues. If you're just joining this story, I would suggest beginning with Part 1 as this post picks up where the other left off. Breitbart Reporter and Fox News contributor, Michelle Fields, claimed Donald Trump's campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, grabbed her arm, tossing her towards the ground when she asked Trump a race-related question. Breitbart News offered a muddled initial response, suggesting if Lewandowski had in fact grabbed Fields, he should apologize. A Washington Post reporter with Fields at the time of the alleged altercation identified Lewandowski as the individual responsible for grabbing Fields. The Trump campaign denied Lewandowski put his hands on Fields and then proceeded to attack her as "delusional."

Both sides of the argument

Thursday, Breitbart's Editor at Large, Ben Shapiro and Trump supporting defense attorney, David Wohl, joined Megyn Kelly to discuss the alleged altercation:

This is a developing situation. There were large protests outside a planned Donald Trump rally in Chicago, at the University of Illinois. The event was canceled for security reasons when a large number of protesters got inside, scuffles broke out, and at least one person managed to get on the podium. Large groups of protesters chanted "Bernie, Bernie" and were met with chants of "Trump, Trump" as police moved to separate them. Here is a live stream from earlier INSIDE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VVszzOp3iWM Here is a live stream from earier OUTSIDE:

Officials from Marco Rubio's campaign are encouraging Ohio-based supporters to vote for John Kasich in the upcoming primary. Why? Strategic voting -- as it's termed. Rubio is unlikely to cary Ohio, but encouraging supporters to toss their votes behind Kasich might help keep Ohio out of Trump's win column. Kasich, however, is not interested in a Rubio bump:

Welcome to our live coverage of tonight's GOP debate.

How to watch:

When and where is the debate? The Republican debate will be held at the University of Miami at 8:30 p.m. ET Thursday. How can I watch it? It will be broadcast live on CNN, as well as live-streamed online at CNN.com and across mobile devices for all users without logging in. CNN International and CNN en Espanol will also simulcast the debate. Salem Radio Network will be the exclusive radio provider for the debate. Who will moderate the debate? CNN's Jake Tapper will moderate and CNN's Dana Bash, Salem talk radio host Hugh Hewitt and The Washington Times' Stephen Dinan will join as questioners.