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2018 Elections Tag

As midterms approach, the generic ballot has been in flux. The Democrats began with a double-digit lead, this was whittled down significantly, and is now back up at around 8%.  Other factors make predicting whether or not Republicans can maintain control of the House difficult, but Republicans have an advantage in that even if there is a wave election, they may still retain the House.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's victory over Rep. Joe Crowley (D-NY), the head of the House Democratic Caucus, propelled her into the national spotlight. She seems to think she's the new face of the party, which has led her to attack those within the Democrat Party. House Democrats have grown tired of her schtick and want her to cool it before the already fragile party is completely torn apart.

Florida's Republican governor Rick Scott is challenging Democrat Bill Nelson for the U.S. Senate this fall. Nelson has been in office since 2001. The GOP believes this is one of the seats they can pick up and they have good reasons to think so.

It appears that the recent and entirely unexpected defeat of Rep. Joe Crowley (D-NY), the number 4 Democrat in the House, at the hands of newcomer Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a far-left progressive who organized for Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) during his presidential run, has sent shock waves through the country that have finally hit California.

Yesterday I blogged on the latest Axios poll on a few Senate races, which show that the Democrats face losing seats in the chamber. The opposite has happened in House races as The Cook Political Report changed ratings in 10 races and seven of those moves favor the Democrats. The publication's monthly review also revealed that Democrats have a slight edge to win the 23 states they need to take over the House.

Jacky Rosen hopes to unseat Sen. Dean Heller, the only Republican incumbent in a state failed Democrat presidential candidate Hillary Clinton won. Rosen has a three-point lead over Heller and the DNC has poured a lot of money into her campaign. Rosen has bragged about building a small business in Nevada. The Reno Gazette Journal and Daily Caller both reviewed public records and found no evidence that Rosen's software consulting business actually existed.

The GOP has a one-seat majority in the Senate, which would make one think the Democrats have a real shot at claiming the majority in the upcoming midterm elections. But, the latest poll from Axios/SurveyMonkey shows a Senate Democrat majority is not likely. Axios' numbers have two Democrats winning in red states, but three Democrat incumbent Senators in danger of losing.

The Democrats are desperate to crash the House and Senate in November, taunting the right that a blue wave is coming their way. Do they even know what is considered a wave in elections? I guess not because analysis from Ballotpedia shows the Democrats that it's not just taking over the House and Senate. In order for an actual wave to happen, the Democrats have to win a lot more seats than they need to control Congress.