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Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 02, 2012 31 Comments

I have received a good reaction to my post, If Nate Silver cannot be wrong, how can he be right?, in which I call non-statistical BS to Nate Silvermania. Dan McLaughlin, On Polling Models, Skewed & Unskewed examines Nate Silvermania, and links to me for a non-numbers...

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Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 02, 2012 32 Comments

Per October report by BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 171,000 in October, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 7.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment rose in professional and business services, health care, and retail trade. Both the unemployment...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 02, 2012 5 Comments

From Pat at And So It Goes In Shreveport: Seen at The Glen Retirement Village in Shreveport. Those seniors love Romney! :) ...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 02, 2012 11 Comments

I certainly don't want to get overly confident, but this is very good news, via The Salt Lake Tribune: For 12 years, Jim Matheson has been a political escape artist, managing to wiggle free from every trap the Utah Republicans have thrown his way. But after six...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 2 Comments

I was hoping for but not quite expecting this race to tighten in one of our Upstate NY Operation Counterweight races. Republican Matt Doheny was behind double digits in an early September poll, the last public poll in the District.  Now it is a virtual tie. This...

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Posted by Fuzzy Slippers on November 01, 2012 4 Comments

Each day until Election Day we will feature a previously unpublished photo sent in by a Legal Insurrection reader on National Empty Chair Day, September 3, 2012. The countdown continues with 5 days to go. Today’s Empty Chair photo comes to us from T in Idaho who has entitled his...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 9 Comments

A SuperPAC which backed Sarah Steeleman in the primary has entered the race the national Republicans have abandoned. This video (h/t Reboot Congress) strikes what may be a winning message -- you don't have to agree "with everything he says," but you can agree Claire McCaskill...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 15 Comments

Trying to get as many of the reader photos out as possible before the election, since they have expiration dates. This is from commenter LukeHandCool: My wife took this picture of a Romney banner on one of the fraternities at USC when she was dropping off clothes...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 8 Comments

A new video from the National Republican Congressional Committee. Features two of our Operation Counterweight candidates. ...

Posted by A.F. Branco on November 01, 2012 1 Comment

Note: You may reprint this cartoon provided you link back to this source. To see more Legal Insurrection Branco cartoons, click here. Branco’s Facebook page is Cartoonist A.F.Branco ...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 26 Comments

Averaging turnout models over the last four 2-year cycles, gets different results in the polling than the doom being peddled by Operation Demoralize. I don't know if it's right or wrong, but given that Operation Demoralize is in full swing, anything that keeps spirits up for...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 9 Comments

I previously posted about the pro-Republican  television ad being run by Thomas Peterffy with his own money.  I also posted about the Mini-PAC running ads on cable television in black areas of Ohio. I've noticed a number of people taking direct action, putting their own money...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 62 Comments

by Chris Christie.  We need to focus on getting out the vote big time.  Sandy has been the perfect political storm for Obama.  It's like calling three consecutive time outs before we were about to kick the winning field goal. We care about New Jersey and the...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2012 12 Comments

and I am outraged. Spotted this bumper sticker in the Wegmans parking lot in Ithaca. I think you can guess what the other bumper sticker on the car was. ...

Posted by Anne Segal on October 31, 2012 25 Comments

Once again, we hear via Cong. Jesse Jackson Jr's wife Sandi that the AWOL representative from Illinois under investigation by the House Ethics Committee will remain in treatment even as the election approaches. According to his wife, Jackson will continue to stay at the Mayo Clinic,...

Posted by Fuzzy Slippers on October 31, 2012 6 Comments

Each day until Election Day we will feature a previously unpublished photo sent in by a Legal Insurrection reader on National Empty Chair Day, September 3, 2012. The countdown continues with 6 days to go. Today’s first Empty Chair photo comes to us from Joy in Michigan who writes, "I...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on October 31, 2012 39 Comments

The polling this year is insane.  Same state, same time period, wildly different results from poll to poll. Rasmussen has Romney up 2 in Wisconsin; Marquette has Obama up 8. The Boston Globe (UNH Polling) has Scott Brown up 2; Suffolk has Elizabeth Warren up...

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