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Republicans See Encouraging Signs for Their Campaigns in Georgia Senate Run-off Races

Republicans See Encouraging Signs for Their Campaigns in Georgia Senate Run-off Races

“If the GOP pacing [on early voting] holds up combined with their typical turnout in runoff elections, they should be able to offset the Democrats and win,” Georgia conservative commentator Erick Erickson wrote.

https://youtu.be/lpby3iuGS68

As it stands now, Republicans hold a 50-48 advantage in the battle for who controls the Senate.

The two races in Georgia will ultimately decide control of the Senate. Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler faces a challenge from Democrat Rev. Raphael Warnock. Republican Sen. David Perdue is facing off against Democrat Jon Ossoff.

Because none of them got to 50% on Election Day in November, runoffs were scheduled for the two races for Jan. 5th, 2021, to determine the winners.

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports that turnout has been high so far in early voting, approaching presidential levels:

Almost as many Georgians have voted in the U.S. Senate runoffs as at the same point before the presidential election, a huge turnout that reflects the high stakes of the race.

Over 1.1 million people had voted through Thursday, most of them at early voting locations that opened across the state this week, according to state election data.

Control of the Senate is at stake. Both parties have helped generate a higher than normal interest in these races, in part, by stepping up their ground games in the closing weeks of their respective campaigns. Republicans and their affiliated groups are continuing to build on the ground game they ran in the months leading up to Election Day. At the same time, Democrats have moved to make canvassing neighborhoods a priority again after mostly relying on digital campaigns, texting, mailers, and ads before last month’s elections.

In the ad wars, Politico reports Republicans are winning:

Democrats are getting out-advertised in the Georgia Senate runoffs thanks to a megadonor-funded blitz from GOP super PACs in the races that will decide control of the Senate.

Republicans hold an overall advertising advantage across the state, largely fueled by $86 million in outside spending supporting their candidates, compared to just $30 million spent by Democratic outside groups on TV advertising so far, according to AdImpact. Democratic candidates Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock are hauling in record small-dollar cash, far ahead of GOP Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler — but not enough to own the airwaves.

Super PACs pay more per ad than candidates do, so Ossoff and Warnock have been able to blunt the GOP’s financial edge, especially in the Atlanta media market, where nearly two-thirds of people in the state reside. But GOP TV ads are running in much higher rotation in other markets, according to data from AdImpact, and the disparity has sparked concern among Democrats that the two campaigns aren’t getting enough help with control of the Senate on the line.

In addition to that, while polling in the two races remains close, Trafalgar Group – one of the more reliable pollsters out there – shows Loeffler has carved out a nearly 7-point lead over Warnock, which is outside of the MOE. They also show Perdue leading Ossoff, but that one is still tight and within the 2.9% MOE:

Though a coalition of Georgia pastors wrote an open letter to Sen. Loeffler over the weekend, claiming that using Warnock’s own words against him on issues such as his praise for President Obama’s anti-Semitic pastor Jeremiah Wright and support for abortion is an “attack against the black church,” her highlighting his radical remarks and sermons appears to be working. Loeffler is showing no signs of letting up:

The Perdue campaign, meanwhile, is still hammering Ossoff on his COVID relief bill hypocrisy and China connections:

Joe Biden made a campaign stop in Georgia last week on behalf of Warnock’s and Ossoff’s campaigns. President Trump announced this past Saturday that he would be in the state the day before the elections take place to campaign for Loeffler and Perdue:

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1340520653653458949

In a recent newsletter, conservative Georgia commentator Erick Erickson pointed out some things that should make Republicans feel more optimistic about their chances in two weeks:

First, though they lag behind Democrats in early voting, the lag is not as dramatic as it was in the general election. In fact, if the GOP pacing holds up combined with their typical turnout in runoff elections, they should be able to offset the Democrats and win.

Second, voters who did not vote in the general election are showing up. So far, about 20,000 or so new voters who were not in the general are coming. They appear mostly in the northern suburbs of Atlanta in Republican territory.

[…]

Fourth, Ossoff continues to underperform with black voters. A lot of people think voters will show up and just vote straight D or straight R, but black voters south of Atlanta refused to vote for Ossoff, just as white voters in North Atlanta refused.

[…]

Fifth, Republican voters who think the presidential race was stolen are now showing up en masse. The President and Vice President have urged them to make one last stand and they appear to be ignoring the fringe voices in favor of the President.

Lastly, New York Democrats are continuing to unwittingly give Republican voters in Georgia more motivation to head to the polls on January 5th to keep Perdue and Loeffler in office:

This is in addition to what Sen. Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said last month about how “now we take Georgia, and then we change America” and New York Congresswoman and self-proclaimed socialist Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vowing to do whatever she could to help out in the Georgia Senate races so that House Democrats would no longer have to negotiate with Senate Republicans.

Should Loeffler and Perdue lose, that would make the Senate 50-50 with the tie-breaking vote going to the vice president. Assuming Joe Biden is certified as the winner of the presidential election when Congress meets to affirm the Electoral College vote on January 6th, the Senate’s tiebreaker in any 50-50 tie vote scenario would be his vice president running mate Kamala Harris.

— Stacey Matthews has also written under the pseudonym “Sister Toldjah” and can be reached via Twitter. —

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Comments

Given the recent history of polling, with regards to Republican candidates, i think we can safely assume that the polls are counting Republican support on the low side.

Then we have the fact that the same people and equipment, which committed wholesale fraud in the general election are going to be doing the count in this one as well.

And, finally, given the level of election fraud in Georgia in the general election, why do we assume that neither, if not both, of the Republican candidates did not actually secure more than 50% of the vote in that election?

Forget this election, as there is no assurance that it is:
1)necessary and
2)that it will be conducted in an honest manner.

HAH. And the major assumption upon which the outcome hinges will be: how valid is the voting? How many newly minted GA “residents” will there be voting? How many illegals, deceased, and/or still (notwithstanding) on the rolls will be voting? And, how well-oiled, and greased up will be the machines, USB’s, suitcases, toilet integrity :D.

If the Republicans think the Nov election was fucked up, they ain’t seen shit yet. I mean hell, all that practice the Democrats have had in the interim!! I’m betting Dominion and its ilk have got it DOWN NOW. Dem’s in a landslide in both races is my prediction, and I hope to the good God that I’m wrong.

    Olinser in reply to Marcus. | December 21, 2020 at 3:11 pm

    This is a fucking joke.

    Stacey Abrams was just boasting about having 7.7 million voters registered.

    According to the official numbers. The population of Georgia was 10.6 million. 23.6% were under the age of 18 and obviously not eligible to vote.

    That means that there are 8.1 million over-18 people in Georgia.

    She is literally boasting of a NINETY-FIVE PERCENT registration rate.

    This is a fucking joke. The RINOs have already lost to fraud, they’re just too stupid to know it.

      rebelgirl in reply to Olinser. | December 21, 2020 at 8:27 pm

      Stacey was boasting about having 500,000 requests for absentee ballots within 2 days of the election..on its face that sounds improbable…she lies like a dog and no one checks the figures on her

Considering the numerous “legal” decisions by courts, I can confidently affirm that the only people without legal standing in the 2020 election cycle are the legitimate voters.

The fact there are people who want to hand power of any kind to those two know-nothing, unaccomplished, mediocre ass-clowns running on the D side does not bode well for this Republic.

The counters haven’t spoken yet. It appears they usually wait until after midnight before they will weigh in. I haven’t seen any polls that take them into account yet.

While this article goes into the current puplic opinion polling for the runnoffs, The propaganda media Democrat PR firms are not spending anytime on polls. Since I cant believe anything in the media I spend alot of time looking for the dog that did not bark.
Right now its silence about the polls. That tells me the propaganda machine knows Republicans are in control of this at this time.

“Georgia conservative commentator Erick Erickson wrote.”

Georgia marxist enabler Erick Erickson wrote.

FIFY

Erickson is NOT a conservative … he’s a Never-Trumper from way back.

I wouldn’t trust him any further than I could throw him …

thalesofmiletus | December 21, 2020 at 12:54 pm

The only relevant question is how, if at all, are the GOP preventing the steal?

The unitary is deciding whether they want to retain the 2 party issusion or not. Kind of useful to divide the country. The inner city precincts can beat any number the GOP puts up, just a case of whether they are told to do so.

Early voting results seem good but it’s the late voting that really decides the race. Here in AZ, there were spontaneous Trump “roadside rallies” that stretched nearly 100 miles down the highway! He still lost here though after the late votes were counted.

Subotai Bahadur | December 21, 2020 at 1:52 pm

We are in a post-Constitutional, post-rule of law era. We may win an election but we have to assume that the Democrats are violating both and be ready for other means.

Subotai Bahadur

Erickson also doesn’t think there was any voter fraud in the most recent election, so IMHO his opinion isn’t worth a bucket of warm spit.

    OleDirtyBarrister in reply to Finrod. | December 21, 2020 at 2:56 pm

    Erikson thinks he is the smartest guy in the room and in politics but I think he is a dullard.

    I cannot stand to hear the guy speak. He has a short afternoon radio show on WSB 95.5 FM, which is the old, big news and talk station in Atlanta, and I will not listen to it. But he does voice overs for commercials that air at other times on that station and his voice has me reaching to change the channel.

OleDirtyBarrister | December 21, 2020 at 2:53 pm

I am pleased to inform the world that I voted early last week against both of the lying, cheating, thieving, immoral, envious, wealth redistributing, lowlife, scumbag, commie, puke democrats.

Neither of the Republican Senate candidates are really worth a shit and I cannot tell you what their platform is or what they want to do for the country. But I can tell you what the leftists want to do and I was pleased to vote against their agenda. The lazy, country club Repub. Perdue and the clueless Yankee Carpetbagger Loeffler just happen to be undeserving beneficiaries of the vote against the takers.

Erick Erickson, Conservative?
Not where I come from.

I hope the militia or the military stand guard around wherever they’re counting the ballots to make sure no trucks arrive at 3am filled with Democrap ballots.

I’m not worried about the vote totals, if that is the metric the communists will lose. However Stalin is reputed to have said it’s not the votes that count, but who counts the votes. The communists will win these races with fraud in the tabulation centers just like they stole the presidential election.

If Dominion doesn’t change the votes enough 2 days after the election the open boxes from ballot drops will pour to finish it.

Republicans tend to lose due to low turnout in late votes. Historically, Democrats get close to 100% of the late votes, while early voting and Election Day voting the turnout is mixed. How can we get more late vote turnout?

retiredcantbefired | December 21, 2020 at 7:12 pm

Erick Erickson pretends there was not a smidgeon of fraud in Georgia on or after November 3. He seems to be hoping some Left wing outlet is looking to hire another pseudo-conservative.

To win, Perdue and Loeffler each have to get well over 50% of the legal votes cast—*and* there will need to be noticeably fewer “irregularities” than last time around.

facebookisfacist | December 22, 2020 at 10:56 am

This is great news… two more RINO pond scum for 6 more years.

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