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MO – Senate 2018 Tag

James O'Keefe's Project Veritas caught incumbent Missouri Democrat Senator Claire McCaskill expressing her strict gun control views, which she usually conceals in order to court moderate voters. To make matters worse, the Project Veritas journalist caught staffers on tape admitting that McCaskill hides her real views on guns in order to receive votes. She will not publicly support Moms Demand Action or court President Barack Obama to campaign for her because both could be toxic for her campaign.

A new election model from a conservative polling group has Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley ahead of incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill, 53 to 47 percent. From The Washington Free Beacon:
The model, created by WPA Intelligence and shared with the Washington Free Beacon, was based on predictive data available for each of Missouri's 4,101,062 registered voters and found Hawley to have a six-point advantage over McCaskill, 53 to 47 percent. The model uses available consumer data, voter history, and demographic information to assign each voter with a predictive score.

The GOP has a one-seat majority in the Senate, which would make one think the Democrats have a real shot at claiming the majority in the upcoming midterm elections. But, the latest poll from Axios/SurveyMonkey shows a Senate Democrat majority is not likely. Axios' numbers have two Democrats winning in red states, but three Democrat incumbent Senators in danger of losing.

The Missouri Senate race has garnered since President Donald Trump won the state by more than 18 points in 2016. Polls have shown that McCaskill faces a tough race against state Attorney General Josh Hawley, who more than likely will be her GOP opponent. Politico thinks McCaskill can slide on through re-election thanks to the scandals that surround Missouri Republican Governor Eric Greitens. But it looks like the publication could be reaching.