A new study is claiming that President Obama's controversial "Cash for Clunkers" program negatively impacted the amount of money Americans spent on new cars, and had no overall impact on how many new cars were sold.
"Cash for Corollas: When Stimulus Reduces Spending," a new study out of Texas A&M University, suggests that not only did Cash for Clunkers fail to stimulate the new car industry, it also acted at odds with environmental restrictions that eventually contributed to the program's failure.
From the abstract:
Cash for Clunkers was a 2009 economic stimulus program aimed at increasing new vehicle spending by subsidizing the replacement of older vehicles. Using a regression discontinuity design, we show the increase in sales during the two month program was completely offset during the following seven to nine months, consistent with previous research. However, we also find the program's fuel efficiency restrictions induced households to purchase more fuel efficient but less expensive vehicles, thereby reducing industry revenues by three billion dollars over the entire nine to eleven month period. This highlights the conflict between the stimulus and environmental objectives of the policy.
In his overview of the "Cash for Corollas" study,
AEI's James Pethokoukis notes that the study contradicts the White House's claim that the program would pull from
future car sales to increase current demand and overall car sales.