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Polling Tag

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 17, 2011 1 Comment

Reader Dan in Hawaii, who followed the Polling 101 series, sent this clip, which I enjoyed very much:--------------------------------------------Follow me on Twitter, Facebook, and YouTubeVisit the Legal Insurrection Shop on CafePress!...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 16, 2011 12 Comments

GUEST POST by Matthew Knee:Professor Jacobson asked me to comment on the DKos/PPP poll regarding big labor's recall efforts in Wisconsin. The questions are mostly fine, but I have a few thoughts on the results that might be helpful.Wisconsin recalls do not work like the...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 14, 2011 4 Comments

Here is a recap of the Polling 101 series of Guest Posts by Matthew Knee, which ran last week:How People Answer PollsSamples & Margin of ErrorHandling BiasEvaluating The Public Employee Union PollsYou Can't Learn Much From Asking People Their IdeologyThe series was a real eye-opener...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 10, 2011 0 Comments

This is the fourth in a series of GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.___________________Today I will provide an overview of the polling situation...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 09, 2011 3 Comments

This is the third in a series of GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.___________________Handling BiasToday I will discuss ways to handle bias...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 08, 2011 3 Comments

This is the second in a series of GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.___________________Samples & Margin of Error1. Sampling Error Will Always Be There...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 07, 2011 9 Comments

This is the first in a series GUEST POSTS by Matthew Knee, a Ph.D. candidate at Yale University specializing in campaigns and elections, ethnic voting patterns, public opinion, and quantitative and experimental approaches to political science.____________________Analyzing polls with only what polling companies release is a tricky...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 04, 2011 10 Comments

As my readers know, I have taken an interest in polling, primarily because it seems so many polls are agenda driven.  In a post last week, I pointed to a PPP poll on Wisconsin which used sample data which underweighted Walker voters from 2010 and...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on March 01, 2011 12 Comments

Public Policy Polling (PPP) is a long-time Democratic pollster, which last year became the official pollster for DailyKos.PPP is prolific in its polling, with new polls released almost daily.  I have linked to PPP's polls in the past.  PPP has a good knack for finding...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on January 26, 2011 2 Comments

I doubt you could find any issue on which 92% of people in this country agree.  And certainly not when the issue is political.Yet CBS News ran an "online poll," which is getting plenty of attention, showing that 92% of people "approve of the proposals...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on January 23, 2011 7 Comments

One of my readers has asked if we will be doing a Live Event (similar to what we did on November 2 and last January for the MA Election) for Tuesday's State of the Union address.What do you think? (Poll closes at midnight tonight)--------------------------------------------Follow me on...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on January 17, 2011 25 Comments

CNN/Opinion Research has released a poll (pdf.) taken January 14-16, 2011, which has some rational findings about the Tucson shooting, and some perverse findings.The rational finding is that an overwhelming majority of people (66%) recognize that such shootings will still take place regardless of what government...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on January 11, 2011 9 Comments

CBS News has released a poll in the wake of the shooting of Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and the murder of several others.The poll results show that the attempts by the left-blogosphere, mainstream media and some Democratic politicians to blame right-wing political speech and Sarah Palin for...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on November 01, 2010 38 Comments

Or maybe, The Definitive "They Didn't See It Coming" Tweet; or The Definitive "They Don't Get It" Tweet; or The Definitive "Not Seeing The Forest For The Trees" Tweet.  Any other suggestions?You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows:Update: WaPo becomes...

Posted by William A. Jacobson on October 29, 2010 4 Comments

A new poll released in my home district (RI-01) confirms what I have been telling you for weeks, this race is winnable for Republican John Loughlin.  As reported by The Providence Journal:For much of the campaign season, Providence Mayor David N. Cicilline has raised much...

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