It has become a tradition here at Legal Insurrection for all of us to offer predictions for the coming year. Just don’t hold us to it!
You can click the links for our previous predictions and see how we did for 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, and 2018.
So without further ado, here are our predictions for 2024.
1. A repeat from last year’s prediction, because it came true and will continue: “Biden will continue to abandon southern border control, and the surge of economic migrants from around the world will steadily rise to even more unprecedented numbers. Large migrant camps and relocation facilities will arise in blue states, with federal funding.”
2. The 2024 General Election will not be Biden v. Trump. One of them, possibly both, is not going to make it. The 2024 contest will be Kamala Harris (with Gretchen Whitmer as VP candidate —a “first” all woman ticket) versus Ron DeSantis (with Glenn Youngkin as VP candidate). Say hello to President-elect DeSantis.
3. Trump will be convicted in the Florida case. The others are a toss-up, but he likely will be found not guilty in the Manhattan, DC, and Georgia criminal cases.
4. Republicans will take the Senate, but lose the House.
5. Israel will finish off Hamas and other Jihadist terrorists in Gaza. There will be the gnashing of teeth in DC and Europe, but October 7 was too horrible for Israel to allow any other way. It’s “us or them” now. The pro-Hamas activists will get more aggressive, and there will be violence in the U.S., including on campuses, as they become more unhinged and frustrated. The main brunt of the military offensive will take another 30-60 days, but it will take several more months to complete as there will continue to be pockets of terrorist hit-and-run attacks and suicide bombings. Unfortunately, few of the remaining hostages will make it out alive.
6. DEI will not die, but an increasing number of red states will defund.
Predictions for 2024? I would love to pretend I have some idea of what is happening in this dumpster fire of a timeline, but I can predict with certainty that we will acquire more chickens, probably some more animals, and have a more successful garden than last spring, having learned a bit in the year since.
I predict an insane and highly annoying election season as our state-funded propaganda machine kicks into high gear. I don’t trust the polls or anything being fed to us en masse. I suspect it’s all being cooked and not to serve up something good.
But I do predict great opportunity to continue telling the truth, holding feet to the fire, and helping many, many people through our work and in our personal lives as the world continues to crumble under the weight of emboldened evil. We must purpose to be a light.
I continue to put my faith, hope, and trust in the Lord God Almighty, who keeps us safe and provided for regardless of the circumstances around us; His son Yeshua being a perfect sacrifice to atone for everything past and future. And so my heart and mind remain at peace. And we remain happy warriors in the battle against lies, evil, and corruption.
My prediction is simple: 2024 is going to be lit!
What a year it’s been! On the one hand, we have a world that is increasingly unstable politically and economically thanks to the Democrat occupying the White House, but on the other hand, there have been significant cultural and societal shifts. Also, one might easily and snarkily argue, thanks to the Democrat occupying the White House.
I expect these positive changes (or backlash, if you wish) to continue in 2024, with the evil, hyper-sexualized trans-groomer movement being finally cut loose from the sane, normalcy-seeking LGB part of the LGBT+; DEI will not die but will be renamed because that’s what Democrats do when they lose: rename their evil not giving a thought to the reason everyone rejects it; the deep-seated and truly ugly antisemitism that’s been unmasked among Democrats and their associated leftist “allies” will continue to fester and will continue to red-pill more and more Democrats who have long clung to the belief that Democrats are the “good people,” they’re so clearly not; the Bud Light effect had an impact, and that, too, will continue as more people realize just how debased the left and its “allies” truly are (Disney is also feeling the heat for its dive into sexualizing children and pushing a disgusting and racist woke agenda). This will continue as fed-up Americans just stop supporting with their wallet companies whose socio-cultural agendas are repugnant to them; and finally, the great national reshuffling will continue as people seek to live in states that are more in line with their own worldview, ethics and morality, and desire (or lack thereof) for liberty.
I support Israel with my whole heart and soul. What was done on October 7th was an indescribable horror, and it can never be forgiven or forgotten. Well, forgiven if there were actual repentance, I suppose, but I will leave that to God. I can only hope that the violence we saw that day in that Holy land is not repeated there. Or here. Or anywhere.
I’m terrible at predicting presidential elections. I was wrong in both 2016 and 2020, so I’ll leave that and just wait and see what happens.
I do know that whoever wins in November, the country will continue to be torn apart. If a Republican wins (Trump, DeSantis, whomever), there will be wide-spread rioting, burning, looting, and murder that will make 2020 look like a day at the beach. The rot in our federal government will protect these criminals because that’s their job these days, and state and local leaders and law enforcement will seek out anyone who dares to protect themselves in these (they will be blue) areas. We know the play, but it will be worse, much much worse, this year.
If a Democrat wins (Biden or Newsom, whomever), the country will be torn apart because few will accept such a result and the Democrat and his alphabet agencies will continue to target, persecute and prosecute, all political opponents, while destroying our military, energy access, and our ability to live our lives as a free people. Either way, it’s not good. The only safety is in red states these days, and even then, you have to be wary (see: pro-child sexual mutilation and pro-lockdown king DeWine in Ohio).
I see hope on the cultural front, but feel a great deal of despair on the political front. Republicans—for the most part, though there are (far too few) exceptions—are just too go along to get along for this historical moment, and without a staunch pro-America force pushing back just as hard on the Democrats’ evil, we are in trouble as a nation. Happily, I think that Andrew Breitbart was right, that politics is downstream of culture, so as long as we keep winning in the culture wars, we will eventually see results in our politics. Eventually.
1. Biden refuses to drop out of the race because he thinks he is doing a great job and that he alone can beat Trump.
2. Trump wins and the Democrats, who have spent the last several years talking about the importance of democracy, use multiple strategies to try to prevent him from taking office.
3. Leftists riot in Washington, DC and make January 6th look like a walk in the park. None of them go to jail.
4. After Trump takes office, inflation immediately drops and the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are quickly resolved. The media gives Biden all the credit.
5. Taylor Swift breaks up with Travis Kelce and writes a song about what a horrible person he is. It goes gold.
I pretty much nailed the 2023 predictions I made last year, except for the one in which I said, “Candidates topping the presidential polls at the end of 2023 will be substantially different than who tops them currently.” It doesn’t appear either Biden or Trump are going anywhere.
I must admit, I am going into 2024 with a fair amount of apprehension. I fear the year will test my mettle, and that of many other patriots, before it is through with us.
However, being the optimist that I am, I will keep the prognostications positive.
1) I have noticed many more people are challenging the “climate change” narrative. I think this is a trend that is going to continue, as people are tired of being lectured may virtue-signalling elites who fly in private jets and eat gourmet food. Important industries are beginning to infiltrate their highly publicized meet-ups. I think we will see more counter-attacks by industries who have tried to go-along-to-get-along.
2) The Artemis mission to fly around the Moon and back will be successful, though their will be a delay in the date for the launch of the lunar landing mission.
3) Monkeypox will coming back this summer, bigger and badder.
4) The bottom will fall out of the covid vaccination rates, and Big Pharma stocks are going to take a big hit.
5) EV sales will continue to slow, as word-of-mouth about the real technical, maintenance, and cost issues related to their upkeep continue to spread.
6) I will have one new virus and one exciting volcanic eruption to cover at some point in 2024.
7) The Sun will undergo another year of spectacular activity.
I am wishing all our Legal Insurrection readers a healthy, happy, and prosperous 2024.
While still reeling from the shock of Hamas’ horrific barbarity towards innocent Israeli men, women and children on October 7, I will not venture to make big predictions on the unfolding conflict in the Middle East. I will, however, state the obvious.
In my predictions for 2023, I cautioned about the emerging ‘China-Russia-Iran Axis’ on the horizon. Iran has made no effort to hide its complicity in the October 7 massacre. The Mullah regime not only armed and funded Hamas for years, it gave tactical training to hundreds of terrorists fighters from Gaza for a cross-border incursion on its soil. As the IDF corners Hamas in Gaza, Iran is now directing Hezbollah to open another front on Israel’s north.
Iran, backed by ever-aggressive China and Russia, will continue to destabilize the Middle East with the help of its proxy Islamist militias. While the current White House leadership remains weak abroad and obsessed at home with its all-consuming agenda of wokeism, we will only witness the empowering of this China-led triad of tyranny.
If Trump wins the GOP nomination, he will pick Nikki Haley for his running mate, and Chris Christie will flip flop again and become a surrogate for Trump’s campaign.
1. The U.S. military will continue to degrade, both numbers-wise and in terms of
effectiveness. I’m not so concerned about forces already deployed, such as the
Navy’s two Carrier Strike Groups operating in the middle east, who are flying
every day and responding in real time to actual military threats to themselves and
the forces they are protecting. I am more concerned about the misery the personnel attached to those forces will face upon their return from deployment. Once they are back in the States, they will be subject to the full force of the military’s DEI/CRT agenda, with required, divisive CRT training a common occurrence. They will probably even be required to mouth support for such policies or face disciplinary action, and they will be subjected to the following:
This will make next years’ end-strength numbers even worse than they are now,
and will continue to drive down recruiting. As Kurt Schlichter says:
2. The United States Supreme Court will uphold the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C.
§ 922(g)(8), which bars anyone subject to a domestic violence restraining order
from possessing a gun. That law had been challenged in a case called United States v. Rahimi, and during oral argument at the Supreme Court the Justices seemed to recoil from the idea that someone against whom a judge has issued a valid domestic violence restraining order should be carrying a forearm. For a good summary see SCOTUSBLOG’s coverage here and here.
3. The Supreme Court will not take another gun case for the remainder of 2024.
Taking Rahimi soon after they took Bruen, in which the Justices held that you have
a fundamental right to carry a firearm in public, the Court will take a break from
resolving the various disparate rulings that have emerged in the wake of Bruen to
allow these issues to “percolate” in the lower courts.
In practical terms, especially for New York residents like me, that means that the recent Antonyuk ruling handed down by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, which restricted carry in many public places (other than houses of worship), will stand and be the law of the land, so pay attention to the latest ruling before protecting your family in public. I do think the Supreme Court will take another gun case sometime in the following couple of years, probably in 2025 or 2026, because the post-Bruen courts are covering these concealed carry gun issues quite extensively.
4. I think a major “black swan” type of cataclysmic event will happen to one of the
candidates for President this year, and it will not be Joe Biden. I think he has the
full backing of the left-wing media and the DOJ/FBI, and he is perfect candidate
for the left wing: easily manipulable to go along with any of the latest outlandish
leftist plans for the destruction of the country, just good enough and capable
enough to satisfy Democrat voters against their better judgment, and backed up by an intolerably bad Vice President. And the House Republicans talk a good game but regularly fail to back it up, so I don’t think Joe Biden will be impeached. If he is, he will obviously be acquitted in the Senate, so the whole discussion is a moot point. I make no prediction about the outcome of the 2024 Presidential election, but I predict Republicans will lose the House of Representatives, but win the Senate.
5. The economy will continue to limp along as the banks and the rest of the
corporate establishment act to prop up the miserable state of affairs we have
suffered under to date. As long as there is a Democrat in the White House, the
powers that be will make sure that blame for a catastrophically bad economy does
not upset the apple cart.
6. The border situation will continue to worsen, and Biden will do just enough to
keep the situation from exploding into a nightmare that would endanger his
chances of reelection. But that doesn’t mean the current situation isn’t bad—it truly is and you should buy as many guns and as much ammunition as you can afford (and you should train and be ready to defend your family).
7. If any Republican defeats Joe Biden for the Presidency, there will be protests
that dwarf anything we saw with Black Lives Matter or the recent pro-Palestinian
protests, as all of the left-wing forces will align in an effort to overthrow the
election results. Those efforts will be unsuccessful, however.
The United States will stop Israel from fully achieving its objectives in Gaza, but only after Western countries take massive amount of Gaza refugees.
In Ukraine, Avdeevka will fall early next year.
The Argentinian economy will take off.
Donald Trump wins the GOP nomination and loses in the general—to whom I don’t know.
Our southern border will remain open, the drug epidemic will continue taking lives, but several Soros DA’s will be recalled.
Lately we’ve been turning and turning in that widening gyre the poet Yeats wrote about and Professor Jacobson recently cited. It’s one of my all-time favorite poems, but that doesn’t mean I find the prospect of those increasing oscillations the least bit pleasant.
It also means it’s more and more difficult to make predictions for the coming year, except to say that things will be dramatic and intense. But these are my efforts at forecasting:
(1) None of the many trials Donald Trump is facing will be completed prior to the primaries, the nomination, or probably even the election.
(2) Many people are predicting Biden will not be the Democrats’ presidential nominee in 2024. I agree that the Democrat movers and shakers would dearly love to figure out a way to make that happen without making things worse for themselves, and maybe they will succeed.
But I continue to think it’s very iffy. One reason is that Biden himself seems to really want to be the candidate again and will not go willingly. Another reason—and probably the most important one—is that they can’t figure out a good replacement willing to take the helm. The most obvious possibilities such as Newsom or Harris don’t poll well. And whether or not you believe the Democrats have the will and the ability to cheat their way to victory, there’s a limit to how much of the difference in votes they would be able to make up that way.
(3) Whatever the November election results are, they will be contested.
(4) The pressure on Israel to stop the war will be relentless, but Israel won’t yield. However, I don’t think they’ll manage to kill Sinwar. Like Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden before him, he will evade capture for quite some time.
I hope that 2024 will prove far better than 2023, and that all of you have a happy and healthy New Year!
I will predict that the next president will be Republican. If the world and nation continue to seemingly be spinning out of control, I don’t see how President Biden gets reelected. He looks weak and ineffectual. Which Republican? I have no idea.
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Happy New Year to all of our readers and commenters from all of us!
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