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Legal Insurrection Authors’ 2020 Predictions

Legal Insurrection Authors’ 2020 Predictions

(Don’t hold us to it)

Another year has passed—and what a year it’s been!  Our very own Kemberlee started a New Year LI tradition of our authors making predictions for the coming year, and I’m honored to compile the post for her while she tends to her precious miracle, Baby Walt.

Click the links to see how we did in 2018 and 2019.

So without further ado, here are the 2020 LI author predictions.

William Jacobson

I’m going big and bold this year. The center cannot hold.

1. Trump will not be removed by the Senate, but Romney and Murkowski will vote with the Democrats for removal. Doug Jones and Joe Manchin will vote against removal.

2. If no Democrat has a majority of delegates, but it looks like Bernie or Warren will be in a strong position at the convention, Michelle Obama or Hillary will parachute (figuratively) into the convention to save the party from general election disaster. It won’t work in the General Election, as Bernie supporters go all Great October Revolution on the Democrat Party.

3. Trump will win a second term, Republicans will narrowly retake the House, and will hang onto the Senate with their current 53-seat majority. There will be crying circles.

4. Notorious RBG will announce her retirement at the end of the term in June, just to dare Trump to appoint a successor on the eve of the elections. Trump will nominate Amy Coney Barrett, and Mitch McConnell will ram the nomination through the Senate just after Labor Day.

5. On July 5, a very special date, AG William Barr and prosecutor John Durham will announce that James Comey has cut a plea deal that avoids jail time, and has turned state’s evidence against senior officials in the Obama White House regarding spying on the Trump campaign and attempting to disrupt the incoming administration, including Obama who will be listed as an unindicted co-conspirator.

6. There will be war in the Middle East between Iran/Hezbollah and Israel/U.S./Saudi Arabia. Tel Aviv will take 300-500 direct missile hits. Beirut and Damascus will be flattened. Tehran will be without water or electricity for months, and Iran’s oil refining capacity will be obliterated. The Mullahs will be overthrown in a popular uprising.

Happy New Year!

Mary Chastain

I’m not good at predictions, but I can see Trump rolling over the Democrat nominee in November. I expect 2020 to be just like 2016.

Fuzzy Slippers

It’s a presidential election year, so that is top in my mind as I think about the coming year.  Based on the Democrat’s impeachment fetish and abysmal group of presidential candidates, I don’t see much of a challenge to President Trump.  He’s got a great economy, rising approval numbers, and a list of campaign promises he either kept or worked hard to keep.  He wins by another Electoral College landslide, and if the Democrats pick the wrong candidate (i.e. any of the current contenders), he may even win the popular vote.

It’s hard to see how the Republicans lose the Senate, and it’s possible to see how they might retake the House.  For President Trump to accomplish his goals and have lasting impact (beyond the courts), he’ll need both houses of Congress.

The meltdown on the left will make 2016 look like a gleeful celebration.

Happy New Year everyone!

Mike LaChance

Democrats and the media will demonstrate repeatedly that they still have not learned the lessons of 2016. As it becomes clear that none of their attacks on Trump are working, they will simply double down. The closer we get to the election, the more insane they will sound.

More colleges will close. So far, this has been limited to small schools, but 2020 will probably bring a few surprises. Schools no one ever imagined as endangered will suddenly be at risk.

Trump will win reelection. The popular vote will be closer and Trump will add two states to his 2016 electoral map. The left will react just as they did in 2016 but possibly with more violence and unrest.

Republicans will hold the Senate and the House will be extremely close. If Republicans take the House, it will only be by a handful of seats, some of which will be disputed by Democrats and the media as illegitimate wins.

Enraged by their loss, the far left will revolt and try to completely take over the Democratic party which will ultimately fracture into two separate entities, the Democrats and the Democratic Socialist Party.

Leslie Eastman

My 2019 prediction included a massive volcanic eruption (while not cataclysmic, the White Island eruption in New Zealand was certainly deadly for tourists), the resignation of Pope Francis (that was a bit of a miss, but faithful Catholic are rebelling against his social- and green-justice antics, including dumping idols in the Tiber river outside the Vatican), and troops withdrawing from Afghanistan (as it looks like the Taliban is declaring a cease-fire, I am going to also put this in my win column).  So, by my standards, I batted 100%!

Looking ahead at 2020, here are my forecasts:

1) Trump will win re-election, with a 36 state mandate and the popular vote.  The press push-polls will be entirely wrong, once again.  The Republicans will make historic gains in the House, Senate and governorships.  ABC’s Martha Raddatz will weep openly.

2) Joe Biden will win the nomination, thanks to the Democrat Political machine.  However, within a week, he will step-aside for health reasons and be replaced by Michelle Obama or Hillary Clinton (if Michelle really doesn’t want to run).

3) Durham will bring forth many indictments in the summer, and there will be a huge one in late October as well…because Trump will plan to have his own October Surprise this election.

4) The Senate will shoot down the current impeachment articles, but the Democrats in the House of Representatives will continue to issue articles…depending on them to excite the base. Impeachment is the drug of choice for Democrats.

5) There will be reports of plague in Los Angeles, infecting the homeless.  Trump with then declare a national-level emergency, forcing the state to enact some common sense policies.

May everyone have a blessed New Year.

Vijeta Uniyal

Having written political commentary for almost five years, I have learned to keep away from the realm prophesy and forecast. But looking at some global trends unfold, I will still go ahead and make three safe projections for the coming year:

With the UK pulling out of the European Union next year, the 27-member-bloc will come out weakened. Britain, Europe’s second largest economy, has been the biggest cash cow for Brussels since the island nation joined the group more than four decades ago. Germany, already trying to fend off an economic recession, can’t be expected to plug the gap left by the Brexit. An economically weakened EU is also a house divided against itself. With the gravy train slowing down, inner conflicts are bound emerge within the bloc.

Much will depend on the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The political class in Brussels, Berlin and Paris will be rooting for a Democratic win. When Trump took office three years ago, many of them consoled themselves by the hope if sitting out his four-year term. A Trump re-election will leave them inconsolable. This would mean a death knell to joint EU-Obama legacy projects: Iran Deal, Paris Climate Accord and UN Migrant Pact.

I will be keeping an eye on Iran’s expansionist designs in the Middle East. The U.S. sanctions may have economically weakened the regime, but Tehran continues to engage in military adventures across the region. The Islamic regime once again revealed its brutal face by gunning down over a thousand civilians during the recent protests. Mullah regime, driven by its seventh century theology, hasn’t given up the dream of reigning over a Shi’a corridor stretching from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean.

Stacey Matthews

Joe Biden will win the Democratic nomination for president – and one of his first priorities will be to name Rep. Tulsi Gabbard as his running mate. You heard it here first, folks!

David Gerstman

Last year I made two predictions.

One was that the Women’s March “would collapse.” It still exists but with a muted presence after the big names departed. I think I can get partial credit for that one.

The other one was that a more major publication than the Weekly Standard would cease publication. I don’t believe that happened.

1) Trump will win reelection. Go on Twitter, and see how frequently Ken Gardner tweets, “All they have to do is not be insane…”

2) Republicans will re-take the House. See prediction #1.

3) Israel will have a decisive election in March. I can’t believe that anyone wants an extension of the caretaker government. Either the right will unite behind Netanyahu. Or enough Likud voters will drop off due to the legal war of attrition against Netanyahu. My guess is that unless there’s a major military or diplomatic accomplishment the attrition is more likely to determine Netanyahu’s fate. I’m not convinced that Netanyahu’s legal woes short of conviction will disqualify him. Israeli prosecutors are very aggressive when it comes to political figures, but a lot of politicians have been acquitted or had their cases thrown out.

New Neo

Here we are again. It’s the end of another year, and it’s time to make predictions for the new one. Luckily, few people check back a year later to see whether we were correct.

(1) So first I’ll stick my neck out and predict that Trump won’t be found guilty by the Senate. I know, I know; that was an easy one.

(2) I’ll add that I think that Nancy Pelosi won’t even submit the articles of impeachment to the Senate at all, and that she’ll give as her excuse some variation of “The Republicans are inevitably going to run an unfair show, so they’re the ones who are keeping me from bringing Trump to justice.”

(3) But if I’m wrong, and she does submit them, the trial will be very short.

(4) I predict that Joe Biden’s “gaffes” will increase in severity and make it difficult for the Democrats to stomach him as their candidate, but he’ll be nominated nevertheless because there really is no one else even marginally acceptable.

(5) Brexit will finally happen, and Boris Johnson and Donald Trump will sign a trade agreement.

I refuse to make election predictions, because I get superstitious about them.

And this last bit isn’t a prediction – but I wish everyone at Legal Insurrection a healthy and happy 2020!

Samantha Mandeles

1. Unfortunately, I believe that violence against American Jews, by people of many different hateful ideologies, is going to get worse before it gets better.

2. I predict that we’re going to see more American Jews making Aliyah (moving to Israel) than we have in a long time.

3. Anti-Israel purportedly Jewish groups such as IfNotNow and Jewish Voice for Peace will continue to make the situation for American Jews worse by deliberately dissembling about any non-white-nationalist-motivated attacks on Jews.

4. All the while, IfNotNow and Jewish Voice for Peace will also continue trying to erode support for the world’s only Jewish state and national safe-haven: Israel.

Also, 5. I predict that my family’s beloved, longtime-favorite football team, the Oakland Raiders, will continue to fail just as spectacularly in their new Las Vegas home. We will continue to love them anyway.

But, a happy prediction: in 2020, I predict that my long-term significant other (Ben) and I will stop procrastinating and finally get around to setting a date for our eventual wedding. We’ll keep you posted.

Happy new year to all!

[Featured image via YouTube]


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I really like your predictions, Professor (except for the first part of #6).

Enraged by their loss, the far left will revolt and try to completely take over the Democratic party which will ultimately fracture into two separate entities, the Democrats and the Democratic Socialist Party.

Divide the Dimocrat voting block. I like the sound of that. And I hope it happens just after they get their wish to eliminate the EC, and get their ‘popular vote’ Presidential elections. 🙂

Major voter fraud which will allow the Dems to keep the House. Ironically, the Dems will allege massive voter suppression.

The have been refining this tactic for years.

    The_Mew_Cat in reply to rightway. | January 3, 2020 at 11:14 pm

    They will keep the House all right, but legalized fraud (ballot harvesting) will only be a small part of it. The Dems will retake the Senate as well. The main factor is the presidential contest will be a 3-way race Trump v Bernie v Bloomberg. All the socialist Bernie Bros and Millennials will show up for Bernie while all the suburban women will show up for Bloomberg – boosting Democratic turnout to unheard of levels. Overall national turnout will exceed 85%. Bloomberg’s strategy will be to get the election into the House, so he will do everything to flip key states into his column, and he will spend $5 billion on House races so members owe him something.

1) Impeachment fails 54-46 – Manchin no and all Rs.
2) Trump wins re-election with 36 states.
3) Rs win the House.
4) Durham is a dud with a few small indictments.
5) Rs hold all their Senate seats and win MI & ME to add to the majority.

The left and media continue their freakout.

With the grave train slowing down,


The grave train will unfortunately be speeding up.

    Fixed, thanks!

    userpen in reply to Milhouse. | January 1, 2020 at 1:56 pm

    “Grave train” is no doubt a reference to the mode of transportation required to remove RGB from the Supreme Court in the unlikely event she should expire before signing her resignation.

    Whereas “gravy train” is a reference to the sole source of transportation utilized by Bernie Sanders since he was weaned from his mother’s breast.

    “Gravy splatter pattern,” on the other hand refers to………well, you can use your imagination.

Professor’s #5.
Who says law professors don’t have a sense of humor?
Happy New Year everyone!

Samantha Mandeles, בשעה טובה ומוצלחת

No ME shooting war They’ll attempt attrition, a myriad ant-bites confusing & alarming the elephant. Long-term siege against the US’ Baghdad Embassy clearly planned & just beginning. Can they wear down the Elephant’s will? They think Khe San to Dien Bien Phu. The US – Bastogne, & ‘Don’t give up the Ship! Needless & cowardly Syrian withdrawal not a good US omen. Korea? Waiting in the wings.

I don’t believe Iran will start a full scale war. Trump is wise to the efforts to goad him into one, and Iran has insufficient offensive capability. 1989 redux. Iran as currently governed, cannot survive a Trump reelection.

One of many nations to bet on Trump removal and lose.

    The_Mew_Cat in reply to Petrushka. | January 3, 2020 at 11:05 pm

    I agree that Iran won’t start a full blown war with the US, but they will do a nuclear test and go pedal to the metal on their nuclear weapons program. Iran will join a war btw Israel/Palestinians/Hezbollah once it has tested a nuke. Iran’s regime is strong and will survive for a century unless Israel wipes them out in a nuclear exchange.

Prediction for 2021:
The first meme of that new year will be “Hindsight is 2020”, no matter what happens.

2020 Predictions:
As the sane Dems continue pushing Biden – just because he has, in the past, not been a full-on communist totalitarian – he will eventually fail, either due to health or some massive gaffe that has his handler dropping him on stage with a tranquilizer dart. The Dems will be torn by the rivalry between the full-on totalitarians, the Hillary-deserves-it crowd, and a shrinking sanity caucus. This will lead to fun times at the convention, regardless of where the votes might lie before reaching that point.

Also, we will receive at least 4 “October surprises” throughout the year, and each one will be a flaming nothingburger, with the final one (actually in October) achieving stupendous levels of douchebaggery and emptiness.

    Petrushka in reply to GWB. | January 1, 2020 at 1:00 pm

    I’ve thought for a couple of years that the slow rollout of justice in spygate is timed to peak this year.

    Prosecutions will be lengthly and difficult, due to jury selection and nullification. Started too soon, they will be out of the news cycle.

From your keyboards to Gods ears. Happy New Year!

I’ve been wondering if wealthy Dems could sabotage the stock market. Like Soros did with the British banking system.

    notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital in reply to gibbie. | January 1, 2020 at 3:49 pm

    We’re on to them this time and it ain’t gonna happen (by the Grace of God).

    The FED is dead and stinks to high heaven – bury it!

notamemberofanyorganizedpolicital | January 1, 2020 at 3:47 pm

Easy to predict that the psychopathic Dems/Progressives/Leftists/Communists will continue to twist themselves ever more corkscrew in their lies.

More take downs of their Evil actions like this will be openly discussed by all nations’ citizens also.

Douglas Murray on gender, race and identity (an explanation of the left’s “Divide and Conquer” strategy)

1) Dems with Hollywood help will fabricate major “incident” which will fail.

2) If war in ME, sleeper cells for Iran and supporters will create hostage situations in USA. Trump would demand release otherwise nuclear strikes on Iran. Outcome uncertain.

3) Loss of election brings major planned uprising such as antifa.

4) Hung Democrat convention…. Michele nominated despite husband indicted over 2016 election spying and leaked details of Iranian ties.

5) Attempts made to wreck economy in summer as was seen in lead up to 2008.

6) Dem governors unleash police and national guard in gun sweeps to deflect from Dem convention disaster. Declare martial law when fails.

Far fetched? I truly hope so but …..

    MarkJ in reply to alaskabob. | January 1, 2020 at 8:45 pm

    My take on predictions 3 and 6:

    3. A planned antifa uprising will be quickly and ruthlessly crushed when Trump invokes the Insurrection Act.

    6. Democrat governor attempts to use police and National Guard and/or impose martial law will fizzle after police and troops refuse to commit suicide and instead call in sick with “blue” and “green” flu, openly disobey orders, or, in the particular case of the National Guard, Trump preemptively federalizes them.

      ConradCA in reply to MarkJ. | January 2, 2020 at 5:51 pm

      Civil war breaks out in Virginia as the progressive fascists attempt to confiscate firearms and the citizens resist. Trump federalizes the national guard and sends the military into the state in order to defend liberty and arrest the progressive fascist politicians for civil rights violations. Democrats reverting to their past of violating civil rights.

smalltownoklahoman | January 1, 2020 at 5:35 pm

Trump winning reelection is an easy one. Barring something tragic happening to him Dems had best resign themselves to four more years of Trump in the White House. And yes the meltdown will be spectacular! I just hope police departments in a lot of the major cities will be prepared for the riots that come after Trump wins.

If some things can just hold steady until after the election I predict Trump will do some pretty bold stuff for his second term. Don’t be surprised if immediately after he’s sworn in next January if he starts getting tough on some Dem strongholds. Watch for serious fines for San Fran coming from Trumps EPA, maybe even see some federal charges thrown at city officials. Another possible to watch for: Antifa finally being declared a domestic terrorist organization and being dealt with accordingly.

I like the predictions especially Professor Jacobson’s except for the first part of #6.

My predictions:
– the Democrats will cheat like crazy in the 2020 election including false allegations.

– RBG will retire mid Summer or early Fall to get the Democrat base up in arms

– Obama and the anti-Pope Francis will both still be with us in 2021 and both will be working to destroy Christians and promote invaders/Islam.

– Biden will be near or get nomination and he will be Clintoned with Hillary looking to do a replacement and/or Democrats looking to delay or draft Michelle Obama.

– The radioactivity from the Japanese meltdown will be shown to be worse than expected and have seriously contaminated the Pacific and to lesser degree the other Oceans.

– One majority Leftist MSM and/ or Hollywood studio will go down financially – total woke and gone broke

    Milhouse in reply to Sunlight78. | January 2, 2020 at 12:59 am

    – The radioactivity from the Japanese meltdown will be shown to be worse than expected and have seriously contaminated the Pacific and to lesser degree the other Oceans.

    That’s ridiculous and impossible. You seem to have no idea how big the Pacific is.

      Sunlight78 in reply to Milhouse. | January 2, 2020 at 9:48 am

      And you don’t know how corrupt the govts can be. Radioactivity was already being measured on US West Coast post the initial melt fown and its spread.

      Just something to think on as you guzzle Pacific caught tuna in your sushi dinner. I am sure the death cult Leftists will blame global warming.

        Sunlight78 in reply to Sunlight78. | January 2, 2020 at 9:59 am


        My suggestion if you want to test the theory and you (personally) live on West Coast, is to up your local Pacific fish intake particularly the larger higher food chain fish. More data points always helps to prove a hypothesis.

        Given what I heard from Japanese friends and how this is potentially (I have not seen actual official documentation) being covered up to stop a global freak out and law suits, I personally decided I am fine living on US East Coast and have adjusted my diet accordingly. I still eat sushi but have switched more to salmon and etc that are lically sourced.

        Actually not sure this counts as a prediction – so I change my prediction to – it becomes more widely know and a global issue.

        Sunlight78 in reply to Sunlight78. | January 2, 2020 at 10:35 am

        Here is the official word on it from 2014. No worries – safety for all and they have stopped monitoring. The key take aways though are that cesium-137 has a half life of ~30 years, the disaster is still leaking, and radioactivity sequesters in higher food chain longer lived organisms. I also used to work as part of my job as a radiation safety officer.

        I haven’t stopped eating tuna but I eat it much more rarely now and have substituted East Coast Salmon and Portugal sardines.

        However if you would like to go with – the Pacific is big and I am stupid. I am more than fine with that. I was just making a list of predictions though this one might be a bit to “hot” for the govts to let come to light at least for a while. They can always correlate the cancer rates to other causes and the Left is always happy to squeal global warming for no good reason.

        Milhouse in reply to Sunlight78. | January 2, 2020 at 3:32 pm is a garbage site, run by a lunatic, and anyone who cites it as evidence of anything (except itself) cannot be taken seriously on any subject. No reasonable person thinks Pacific fish is less safe after Fukishima than it was before. The ocean is huge, and there is no amount of radiation that could possibly be dumped into one end of it that could affect more than a small local area.

          Sunlight78 in reply to Milhouse. | January 2, 2020 at 3:56 pm

          Like I said – I don’t care what you believe and have at it. It was a list of predictions and that is one of mine. I am a firm believer of the Darwin award and I am more than fine if you even want to binge tuna and etc to prove me wrong. In fact given my interactions with you in the past and my respect for you might I suggest –

          Milhouse in reply to Milhouse. | January 2, 2020 at 10:37 pm

          And I’m telling you that if you cite anything from as fact then you are a crazy person whose opinions are worth nothing at all.

          Sunlight78 in reply to Milhouse. | January 3, 2020 at 11:22 am

          And we feel the same about each other then given your baby tirade below.

      alaskabob in reply to Milhouse. | January 2, 2020 at 12:57 pm

      Totally agree… detection has nothing to do with amount of exposure. If one is worried about the ocean… better really worry about the amount of thorium and radium in one mile square by one foot deep of the earth around one. The ocean is a VAST dilutional sink.

      oh… and one of my degrees is a B.S. Nuclear Engineering.

About Trump and re-election –

Everyday that (bleep) Obama was in office was a day to worry what evil (bleep) he was going to pull to damage the US or to destroy something related to Judaism or Christianity. Alternatively what self aggrandizing lie Obama was going to tell. I used to cringe to see his US holiday/event selfies because it was all about him. One of the worst was instead of a picture of Rosa Parks, Obama had picture of him on bus looking thoughtful.

At least with Trump it is the opposite each day seems to bring something to help the US, US allies, and the US citizens. Today it was to help clear the back log of rape kits. I will crawl on broken burning glass In a hurricane to vote for Trump and I am an Independent.

“4. Notorious RBG will announce her retirement at the end of the term in June, just to dare Trump to appoint a successor on the eve of the elections. Trump will nominate Amy Coney Barrett, and Mitch McConnell will ram the nomination through the Senate just after Labor Day.”

From your keyboard to God’s eyes Prof.

    The_Mew_Cat in reply to Edward. | January 3, 2020 at 11:23 pm

    I don’t expect RBG will ever retire. She will stay alive through sheer will power until the Democrats control either the Presidency or the Senate. I predict the Democrats will have Senate control in Trump’s second term, and then she will sit back, relax, and allow herself to die as soon as Chuck Schumer is majority leader.

Oberlin College’s clusterf**k with Gibson’s is not on people’s radar at the moment, but JD Nobody’s prediction is that the responsible members among the College Trustees will start waking up and do what all competent managers who have been lied to do.

Everyone with any knowledge of Oberlin knows that when enough Oberlinians recognize an egregious injustice the wrath of Hell will be unleashed. It might be a long shot and wishful thinking, but do not be totally surprised if the college administration is decimated before it is all over. Cancer in the Board and Administration is advanced enough that curing it will require drastic measures. The pathetic, obsequious PR lackeys hired to obscure the current lies will learn the hard way that integrity sometimes matters.

JD thanks LI for its support of decency and justice in the Oberlin matter. is similarly indebted to Professor Jacobson’s work in making the world aware of the Gibson story.

Prof. Jacobson has been declared to be a persona non grata by the president of the college due to his being an inferior lawyer. She loves the freedom of speech. Nothing like the pot calling the kettle black. JD thought that it was a violation of legal ethics for one lawyer to badmouth another lawyer.

JD predicts that at some point in the new year Prof. Jacobson will be seen strolling around the College-owned Tappan Square and telling people the other side of the Gibson story. Who knows? Things work out in funny ways, so before it is all over the College may grant the good Professor an honorary degree.

/s/ JD Nobody, OC ’61.

1. The election will be a 3-way contest Trump v Bernie v Bloomberg. Trump wins (barely), but the overwhelming surge in Democratic turnout from having both Bloomberg and Bernie on the ballot, and from Bloomberg spending $5 billion on House races, results in a fully Democratic Congress.

2. Trump’s second term is a never ending impeachment

3. RBG holds off death by sheer willpower until the Senate is Democratic, and her seat stays vacant in 2021 and 2022.

4. Durham will prosecute Brennan, but the major media won’t cover it.

5. No war with the US, but Iran will conduct a nuclear test and go pedal to the metal on its nuclear weapons program.

6. The long overdue war btw Israel and Gaza will finally erupt, and will be joined by Hezbollah and a West Bank revolt, and directly by Iran once Iran has tested a nuke.

I doubt this one

1. Trump will not be removed by the Senate, but Romney and Murkowski will vote with the Democrats for removal. Doug Jones and Joe Manchin will vote against removal.

Murky survived 2010 as a write-in, but she was lucky. She will not invite a primary loss in 2022 by voting against Trump. Neither will Mr. Mittens.

Detroit will put forward the worst team in each of the major professional sports leagues: The Tigers, The Lions, The Pistons and The Red Wings.

On the other hand, the city will continue to improve on its way to once again becoming a shining star for the state of Michigan. Of course, that process will take a couple of decades.