Further Proof There’s No Blue Wave Coming to Texas: Cruz Leads O’Rourke by 11 Points in Latest Poll
Be careful media, or you’ll get Wendy Davised again
I don’t really want to say “told ya!”, actually, yes, I kind of do.
The latest Quinnipiac Poll conducted in the Texas Senate race shows Ted Cruz with a double-digit lead over Democrat contender, Rep. Beto O’Rourke. 11 points to be exact.
The breakdown:
Texas Senate poll (Quinnipiac)
Ted Cruz (R) 50%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 39%***
Men: Cruz leads 57-35%
Women: Cruz leads 44-42%
Hispanic: Cruz leads 46-44%
White: Cruz leads 62-28%
Black: O’Rourke leads 70-15%***
Favorables:
Cruz 49/38
O’Rourke 30/19https://t.co/CaoeSaWYUN— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) May 30, 2018
The most delicious demographic upset here? Cruz leading by 2 points among Hispanic voters.
Rep. O’Rourke is fluent in Spanish (Cruz speaks more Spanglish than Spanish) and tried to make a campaign issue of Cruz’s refusal to accept a Spanish-language debate. O’Rourke’s current district is home of El Paso, which we may as well just give back to Mexico at this point.
Cruz also has a two-point lead among women voters polled.
Donald Trump is president and Texas Democrats are struggling to beat his ally Ted Cruz among women and Hispanic voters. Ponder that for a minute. https://t.co/obfVQZcXfA
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) May 30, 2018
A Q Poll released in April had the whole political media world worked up into a tizzy as it showed O’Rourke a measly 3 points behind Cruz.
Not a soul who has followed Texas elections closely believed the race was remotely close. The poll itself had several issues, not to mention the fact that national polls conducted on Texas elections consistently underestimate Republican voters.
Like I’ve said before, there ain’t no blue wave down here. Not this election cycle, anyway. Sure, there are very real challenges ahead for the deep red Lone Star State, but they won’t show up at the polls this cycle or the next.
If Democrats are looking for a red state upset to claim a fictional, but oh-so-important anti-Trump mandate, they’re not going to find it in Texas.
Lastly, and because it’s one of the best cases of schadenfreude in recent political media narrative history: Wendy Davis.
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Comments
On election day, Cruz will be a clear winner.
And the media will focus on how many Dems turned out and percentages of this and that, and other trivial statistics and data with the implied point that things are looking up for Dems in Texas in the future.
And if its Quinnipac, you know he’s actually probably up by 20 points or more.
Mark this down – November election results are going to be Cruz 66%, Beto 33%, give or take a point. Governor, Abbot 70%, Valdez, 30%, again give or take a point. Valdez is such a comically bad candidate that she may even drag the numbers lower than that in both races.
last week it was revealed that Valdez was delinquent in $12k of property taxes, she said seriously that it was Governor Abbot’s fault that she didn’t pay her taxes. She really did.
I’m sure that Beto can pull it off. He just needs more Hollywood and New York money and celebrities to libsplain to Texas.
Hey NYTs, call me. I have an unimpeachable source who claims to possess proof that Cruz colluded with Martians to steal the election.
Meet me at 666 Dark Alley. Come alone.
Now, now. Tsk Tsk!
You are such a r****t b*****d. Don’t you dare bring illegal aliens into this. Especially ones from another planet.
The vicous rumors that they make IEDs out of Illudium Q-36 Explosive Space Modulators is a false narrative promulgated by the notorious white supremacist Mel Blanc.
You know very well, according to Kermit, an Amphibian-American activist, it is not easy being green in a white man’s world. 😉
It’s even worse. I’m pretty sure that that Blanc character was one of them Jooooooooos…
Cruz has 15% black support –
I have read that if (R)’s get 15 or greater % black support (R) cannot lose.
I do not believe any polls,even favorable ones. It could be they are trying to supress the republican turnout.
I might get a Beto sign just to screw with my neighbor.
I have three neighbors with Beto signs up in my neighborhood.
I have debated about putting up a
Beto Mussolini
vote for El Douche Bag
sign in response.
Cruz is a fine Senator, and I am glad we have him.
Its a matter of perspective.
If you have the stature of an ant, any movement in the water looks like a terrifyingly big wave, a tsunami.
Apply that to morals or politics.
It’s wish-casting… and propaganda. The press and the Democrats have a lock on narratives… mostly. Here in Texas, we were repeatedly told Wendy Davis, the red-shoe Democrat was going to win as Governor … she was polling great… huge turnout expected… millions donated from out of state and support….. and she was crushed on election day by Greg Abbott. Just like Trumps’ election, right up until the votes were tallied… all the talk was… how Texas was turning blue. After the election, they moved on to talk about other stuff.
It was 9 points a week ago; now it’s up to 11.
That ain’t a lot for what is supposed to be a red state.
Polls in the elections can give some feel for the mood and leanings of the country, but they are not reliable at this time, and used more to drive opinion pieces on the news pretending to be news, and to try to influence voters.
The media has done this for so long, and the old play book is having it’s covers torn off. I think Trump’s success is in causing the masks to drop off the phony media. Many of the polling firms are left leaning, and while you see more valid numbers when it is closer to the elections, now is when they look to push their hopes without looking totally useless, so it has to be shown to reflect some reality.