Polls show Wendy Davis fighting a losing battle
Your modern Democratic Party doesn’t “get” Texans.
With less than 15 days to go until early voting begins, statewide candidates in Texas are running a full court press against not only the agendas of their opponents, but against umbrella strategies from national party organizations and advocacy groups.
The gubernatorial contest between state Senator Wendy Davis and Attorney General Greg Abbott is arguably the most high profile of the top-ticket races, and pollsters are busy keeping up with a race that has slowly tightened since the primary.
From the Wall Street Journal:
A poll released Wednesday by the Texas Lyceum, a nonpartisan public-policy group, showed Ms. Davis nine percentage points behind Mr. Abbott. The Rasmussen Reports, meanwhile, released a poll Friday showing Mr. Abbott 11 points ahead.
“Turnout in nonpresidential election years is always lower, and Texas voters just don’t seem interested in politics this year,” Mr. Riddlesperger said.
Ms. Davis hasn’t emphasized abortion in the campaign, largely focusing on other issues, such as increasing public-education funding and expanding health coverage. She has portrayed Mr. Abbott as beholden to moneyed, corporate interests. Mr. Abbott, in turn, has said he would work to secure the border against illegal immigration—a key concern in the state—and he has tried to link Ms. Davis, whenever possible, to President Barack Obama.
This graph from HuffPost Pollster presents a combined representation of all polling data concerning the gubernatorial race:
Note that while Davis has made inroads with Texas voters, she’s still at a 9 point spread (more or less) with less than 30 days to go until Election Day. Considering Davis’s formidable ground game, media attention, and relative celebrity, it should be much closer.
The reason Wendy Davis will lose this race has less to do with her comparative cash deficit—Abbott has $30 million on hand, Davis has less than half—and more to do with the fact that, try as she may to distance herself from her radical stance on late term abortion, she will forever be labeled as the One Who Filibustered for Abortion Rights. If not even Davis’s supporters are able to name even one of her other legislative accomplishments, what does this say about the uphill battle Davis has with moderates, independents, and voters who don’t tend to get involved in non-presidential races, and don’t vote based on pro-life issues?
Right now, Davis has less than a month to build, market, and win credibility on issues that voters actually care about: education, jobs and the economy, and spending and the debt. Barring some sort of electoral miracle, this won’t happen, largely because the base’s support of Davis has historically ebbed and flowed based on her positions on issues generally known to make the left lose its hivemind.
On November 5, the Davis for Governor campaign will stand as evidence that all the organization and media attention in the world can’t save a candidate that average voters don’t identify with and can’t bring themselves to believe in.
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No, no. I was assured yesterday by the Kos-sacks (o’crap) that Wendy would WIN Texas…!!!
I love the smell of moonbat flop-sweat in the morning…
Yeah. Not a chance. The likelihood is that this is going to be another “Wave” election. I fully expect to hear the Democrat Judges and candidates on the ballot in El Paso discussing again how candidates who haven’t had a serious challenge in 10 years lost to someone who was unknown in March simply because people checked the “R” column. El Paso is D+15 or something like that, so it’s a lost cause to try to get a “Republican” elected here, but as I’ve been fond of saying that El Paso is likely the most “Conservative” Democrat stronghold that I’ve ever seen.
“I love the smell of moonbat flop-sweat in the morning…”
That comment shows that, despite my affection for you generally, you are one seriously sick puppy.
And there are therapies available. 🙂
Calling Lyceum “non partisan” is a joke right there…
Is Fat Tony correct that the Constitution permits the implementation of Sharia law?
Thread-jacking will get you banned…again, Guz.
Is this the hill you want this suck-puppet to die on?
Hey, Counselor! Is that really ol’ short-bus Gus?
None other, Trooper. He has other suck-puppets, too.
I had a Wendy Davis supporter come and ring my doorbell on Sunday 10/5/14. I hadn’t gotten a shower yet, so I answered the door in my pajama pants and a tee-shirt that had a Shepard Fairey parody picture of Ronald Reagan on it that read “The real question is do you miss ME yet?”
The instant he saw me, he started stammering like a record with a bad scratch. It was “um… um.. Hi … I’m going door to door on behalf of, um, Wendy Davis. Do you know who you’re planning on voting for in the election for Governor?” I answered Greg Abbott, and he asked if there was anything he could do to change my vote. I told him no and he said thank you and sauntered off.
I thought about answering “No, there’s no way you can convince me to vote for single issue abortion barbie” but I thought that might be a little too crass.
Crass has its place and you blew it.
Man, you get the fun ones. All I get are the “Turn Texas Blue” people that claim to be employees of the county registrar(they get in trouble when they do that). I still get the most rewarding look on their faces before I shut the door when I tell them that I would rather eat s–t and die than vote for abortion Barbie.
Are there other states besides California and Texas?
Well, Texas is the only one that counts.
lol, ok. Seems like 90% of the state-level stories here concern TX or CA. What about the other 55 states?
With the exception of New York (and maybe Illinois), those are the two with the most influence on national affairs.
Not sure how one measures that. Does the influence wielded by TX and CA outweigh the other 55 states entirely?
Wendy Davis was never more than a one-trick pony for the Texas GimmeThat party. She is a place-holder (think of her as a zero) until something better comes along for the blue-hearted. Now they will say she lost because she didn’t have as much campaign money as Greg Abbott, but if the GimmeThats truly believed in her, the money would have been provided. But she is quite shallow (don’t dive into a conversation with her—you’ll hit your head on the bottom), and after her pink shoes stunt she actually believed all the fawning bright sunshine that fell on her.
“Wendy Davis was never more than a one-trick pony for the Texas GimmeThat party.”
Texas “Gimme” Party sounds much better. There isn’t a piggy bank or fund they don’t want to raid around here.
The Left was caught up in its own enthusiasm of the moment. The party of Feelings Over Substance were enraptured that “Wendy got a good write-up in The (NY) Times!” In true hive behavior, they co-conviced one anther that she was “The Real Deal” and could beat anybody the GOP could field. After all, she got people excited in a way that drugs, a rave or a TU bowl win, could not!
So, without looking at anything but their feeeeeeelings The Travis County People’s Soviet® (aka: Democratic Part of Texas) appointed and anointed “Wennnnn-dy” their People’s Choice.
Skills and competence mean nothing. It’s all about name rec and ability to fundraise. This is how you get Clay-F**king-Aiken running for the US House here in NC. I am so embarrassed for my state.
yee ha! she got them hairy-legged austin fembot critters so excited they were slinging their own poo and pee and un-sanitary napkins around!
OMG! That dive in comment is funny as all git out.
Excuse me but I have to go clean my monitor now.
Video of the Day recommendation: play “Tomorrow, Wendy” by Concrete Blonde on Monday, November 3rd.
” If not even Davis’s supporters are able to name even one of her other legislative accomplishments”
C’mon, be fair. She wears pink tennis shoes and she’s kind of cute.
Sam, you need to be real careful. There ARE certain things she could look cute doing but…
gonna let you all in on a lil secret: education is not a concern… and specifically when it comes from a liberal it means ‘liberal-tard brainwashing education’
….which will aggrevate more texan’s against Wendy than it will gain her… so there is no way, that is going to be a winning issue for her.
jobs and economy may be… however over-regulation of businesses, 0bamacare, and high taxes do nothing to help businesses/create jobs which Texans know Democrats represent/are all for and are anti-business/anti wealth …you can’t be against businesses or making money. if you are for businesses/job creation.
…now the border that is a very important issue…
but likewise… given how adamant libs/dems are AGAINST voter ID laws. Texans wouldn’t trust Wendy to secure the borders against illegals over Greg primarily because it’s in Wendy’s/Democrats favor to have illegals come in and vote for her/dems in massive waves in elections.
Do you really think Texans don’t pay attention to other state elections like Wisconsin? …and don’t see what dems are trying to pull there? I have family in Texas and they know all about the Democrats attempts to use the courts to block voter ID laws for illegals/dead there… Dems of course say, it’s because it disenfranchises the poor… but come on, you need to show ID for everything else in this country ranging from smoking a pack of cigerattes, to opening a bank account, to getting an EBT, to purchasing alcohol, to driving a car, buying a gun, or getting a passport. so all of those ID laws must disenfranchise the poor too, right? …those must if voter ID laws do… so you’d have to get rid of all the ID laws in the country.
if the poor are still able to do those things… and I see poor idiots buy alcohol/cigs/ebt/drive cars all the time. then it truly doesn’t hinder them any to have to show an ID.
….the only people it would hinder are the illegals or trying to vote as someone your not …like a dead person.
Wendy doesn’t have any winning issue… unless you count ebola, but 0bama is to blame for ebola and letting it into the country… so wondering why wendy hasn’t called him to yell at him to shut down the flights coming in and out of the USA from ebola infected Africa?
which brings up another important thing texans seem to notice more about Dems… than republicans… Dems are not even below potentially killing Americans with an ebola outbreak to accomplish there agenda.
so when it comes to safety and well being… even if some of the conservatives deviate slightly from the principles of conservatism…. they are a damn slight better than Democrats any day.
Wendy doesn’t have any shot in hell in this election…
….she essentially represents every dem ideal (which caused Detroit’s bankruptcy) which is most definitely what Texas does not want for their cities or state.
she should just concede. *lol* but she won’t… and it will just humiliate her and the dems even more.