No, I didn't see it coming.
We didn't even plan on live coverage of VA-07, instead focusing on whether Lindsey Graham would avoid a runoff (he did).
At some point I started seeing tweets of early VA-07 numbers and thought someone was trolling. Then I checked and it was no joke.
The night of, but particularly the day after, there is much fine punditry as to why Cantor lost. And much political spin.
Looking back, with the complete benefit of hindsight, it seems that something changed along the way for Cantor. I can't put a precise date on it, but looking back on our posts about Cantor, I'd put the change sometime in late 2011, after Republicans gained control of the House, Cantor became Majority Leader, and he set his sights on even higher positions of power.
Until then, our posts reflect Cantor as a tough fighter, the "bad cop" to John Boehner's "good cop" in fighting Obamacare and the Democratic agenda. Cantor was the guy designated to take on Obama directly
in the final weeks prior to Obamacare being signed into law:
Obama also gave House Minority Whip Eric Cantor a stern talking-to when he noticed that the Virginia Republican had stacked the more than 2,000-page bill in front of him while he griped that patients would not be able to maintain the same level of coverage under the Democrats' plan.
Obama briefly addressed the coverage point and then turned to the stacked health care bill.
"You know, when we do props like this, you stack it up and you repeat 2,400 pages, et cetera -- the truth of the matter is that health care is very complicated. And we can try to pretend that it's not, but it is," Obama said. "These are the kind of political things we do that prevent us from actually having a conversation."
Note also Cantor pointing out that people will not be able to keep their doctors and coverage:
Cantor proudly earned the ire of Obama and the Democrats, and was targeted for his efforts, as this
Politico headline from March 10, 2009 declared:
