The Great Realignment: Democrats Increasingly The Party of Elite Whites, Republicans Increasingly Racially-Diverse And Working Class

WILLIAM A. JACOBSON JUL 14, 2022 11:00 AM

My oh my. The Democrats had a plan. They called it “Demography is Destiny,” Democrats were going to ride race and ethnicity to permanent power, to pidgeon-hole Republicans as the party of the shrinking elite whites.

A funny thing happened on the way to the Democrats great replacement theory — Democrats became the party of elite — and woke — whites. The party of Karen.

We’ve seen plenty of evidence of a realignment. Trump received a higher percentage of Latino votes than any prior Republican nominee. Non-white Republican candidates, particularly women, are rising stars. Democrats are so worried that their media outlets are stoking fear of Republican “Far-Right Latinas.”

We’ve documented this trend, so it will not come as a surprise to Legal Insurrection readers:

• Dem Pollster: Use of Term “Latinx” Hurting Democrats, Latinos/Hispanics Hate It (Dec. 6, 2021)
• Biden and Democrats are Losing Their Advantage With Latino Voters (Dec. 21, 2021)
• Voting Data in Texas Suggests the Hispanic Shift to the GOP is Real (Feb. 24, 2022)
• Hispanic Republican Women Make Big Gains in Texas GOP Primary (March 4, 2022)
• Liberal Media Starts to Notice Democrats Have a Hispanic Voter Problem (March 22, 2022)
• NBC Poll: 30-point Shift Toward GOP In Hispanic Congressional Preference (April 10, 2022)
• NY Times: Be Afraid Of ‘Far-Right Latinas’ Like Republican Mayra Flores (July 7, 2022)
• Republican Latinas Are Scaring Democrats (July 8, 2022)

Josh Kraushaar at Axios reports on this Great Realignment:

Shifts in the demographics of the two parties’ supporters — taking place before our eyes — are arguably the biggest political story of our time.The big picture: Republicans are becoming more working class and a little more multiracial. Democrats are becoming more elite and a little more white.Why it matters: Democrats’ hopes for retaining power rest on nonwhite voters remaining a reliable part of the party’s coalition. Democrats’ theory of the case collapses if Republicans make even incremental gains with those voters.

• Even small inroads with Hispanic voters could tip a number of Democratic-held swing seats to the GOP.

Here are some of the details leading Kraushaar to this conclusion, particularly a collapse of support for Democrats among Latinos:

What the data show: Democrats are statistically tied with Republicans among Hispanics on the generic congressional ballot, according to a New York Times-Siena College poll out this week. Dems held a 47-point edge with Hispanics during the 2018 midterms.

• An NBC News poll in April found Democrats held a 38-point lead among women with college degrees — up from 10 points from 2010. Democrats lost ground with nearly every other demographic group tested in the survey.

If Demography Still Is Destiny, then Democrats are on the wrong side of history.

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