Scott Brown needs to rediscover what got him elected in the first place
No one could have seen this coming, right?
Democrat Elizabeth Warren has opened up a lead against Republican incumbent Scott Brown for the first time in their U.S. Senate showdown, but a barrage of attack ads appears to have damaged Warren and Brown’s standing among Massachusetts voters, a new University of Massachusetts at Lowell/Boston Herald poll shows.
Warren leads Brown by a 49-42 percent margin, outside the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 5.3 percentage points. That number includes voters who say they are “leaning” for either candidate. But even without the “leaners,” Warren still leads by a 46-41 percent margin, barely within the margin of error.
Who is going to rally to Brown’s side? Karl Rove’s Crossroads group is helping with negative ads against Warren, and Brown has a lot of cash to deploy against her. But the thrill is gone.
I still wish him well, as do LI readers.
I’ll offer this advice:
Rediscover what got you elected in the first place, and don’t try to out liberal a real liberal.
Update: Even if true, I’m not sure whining about this helps, GOP Cries Sabotage of Brown’s Bipartisanship:
Sen. Scott Brown says he has been stymied this year in his effort to build a record of bipartisan legislative successes — a problem Republicans blame on Democratic efforts to sink his 2012 re-election bid.
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It might be a good idea to find out where the negative information on Scott is coming from, and directly counter it. Describe the process and the lies in an ad.
Yes, I am guessing that it’s not a positive campaign, and that you have people using very limited media for their information.
Other than to stir up controversy, I don’t have a clue why ANY responsible media outlet issues a “news” story on a poll with such shaky results as +/- 5+%. Immediately upon writing that, I realized that there are NO “responsible” Main Stream Moron outlets. I would NEVER advise a candidate on how to act with such a shaky result. The sample size is so small that the results are going to be wrong 1 out of 20 times the poll is taken.
From a campaign management standpoint, it really ticks me off. Spend the money to get to the numbers you need for a 3-% accuracy rating, or don’t bother.
As for substance, Brown needs to be hammering Warren on her Socialist-Statist comments. Her blatant redistributionism policies, her disdain for free markets and her chairmanship of the 2008 Banking Bailout are easy targets.
PS. Liberal voters know that Conservatives have something worthwhile to offer, and that there is a season to take away control of the government from an entrenched group. I would suggest positive ads: “Scott Brown — keep ’em honest.” as a slogan.
Forget it Jake, it’s Chinatown. (MA voters are going to revert back to the liberal norm)
To think of Elizabeth Warren with a six-year Senatorial megaphone makes me nauseous.
Isn’t there a Siberian Gulag clamoring for her leadership?
Now he votes for Cordray for Consumer Protection Agency. Lost cause.
Given the choice between a liberal and a half-liberal, voters will usually choose the real deal – due in large part to people that prefer a Conservative staying home and not bothering to vote. Given the choice between a committed Conservative and a Liberal, voters will usually choose the Conservative.
Remember ‘New Coke’? Pepsi was gaining market share so Coke decided to replace its successful brand with a new ‘improved’ version that tasted more like Pepsi. It went over like lead balloon. People that liked Pepsi stayed with it, people that liked Coke refused to by the crap that tasted like Pepsi.
I’ve never understood why so many Republicans never seem to grasp this. The Democrats have no problem with it on their side. Give people something to vote FOR and they’ll get excited and turn out. No one’s going to get excited about a candidate that’s a middle-of-the-road squish that doesn’t stand for anything. No one wants a guy that’s pretending to be sortof like his opponent. Stand up and make a case for what you believe in.
“Who is going to rally to Brown’s side? Karl Rove’s Crossroads group is helping with negative ads against Warren, and Brown has a lot of cash to deploy against her. But the thrill is gone.”
Would it be more thrilling if we stood by and allowed the Massachusetts Miracle to be replaced by a Marxist Miracle?
Warren is not option.
[…] Seat: Soon To Be the Lefty Seat? Again? Posted on December 8, 2011 9:18 am by Bill Quick » Scott Brown needs to rediscover what got him elected in the first place – Le·gal In·sur·… I’ll offer this advice: Rediscover what got you elected in the first place, and don’t try to […]
Maybe Warren is surging and Brown will soon be toast, but this is a great poll and news story reporting it to use as an example why some polls often turn out to be very misleading.
Nothing in this poll justifies the Herald’s reporting it as Warren “surging ahead.”
First, it’s inherently not a very reliable poll because of its small sample and gargantuan margin of error — 5.3 percent!
Worse, the Herald’s reporting that Warren at 49 and Brown at 42 is “outside the margin of error” is flat out untrue (lots of reporters do not understand this).
Margin of error applies to each percentage of responses obtained from the entire sample. In this case, Warren 49, Brown 42, and presumably (though not reported by the Herald), undecided or don’t know, 9. Simplifying the margin of error down to an even 5.0, this means that Warren has somewhere between 44 and 54, Brown somewhere between 37 and 47, and undecided between 4 and 14.
Similarly, in the September poll, which was reported as Warren 38 and Brown 41, the range of equally probable percentages is from 33 to 43 for Warren and from 36 to 46 for Brown.
Thus, repeating the two surveys on the same days in September and December with a sample of the same size composed the same way could have yielded results showing Warren’s moving from 43 to 44 and Brown moving from 46 to 47.
These results are just as probable as the results reported by the Herald — in which case, the story would clearly have been, not much change with both holding even — not Warren surging.
(And this does not take into account the confidence level which was not reported — ie, the results would be 49/42 plus or minus 5.3 percent ninety five percent or ninety percent of the time, but never 100 percent).
Generally, comparing results over time from the same pollster using the same methodology gives you a fair reading of the direction things are moving in. But that becomes suspect in the case of polls with small sample sizes, high margins of error or low confidence levels. Unfortunately, we have seen a proliferation of such polls by media outlets, colleges and others eager for the exposure.
Senator Brown might want to consider the saying I learned a million years ago in Texas: “dance with the one that brought you.” He’s done nothing but poke a stick in the eye of the Tea Parties and other conservative groups who worked to support him in every way possible.
Even in the People’s Republic of Massachusetts there’s nothing “conservative” about Scott Brown’s voting record. He’s only marginally preferable to Elizabeth Warren, unfortunately for all of us.
A here here to you, dogzilla, and I’ll add my disgust. I didn’t vote for the proabortion, pro-homo porn star, and will probably not again. Why should I vote for Liz Warren light just because he has an “R” label? It only encourages the RINO establishment to give us more of the same.
Yep, right out of the gate he made some bad calls. Instead of living up to his billing he crushed the hopes of his supporters all over this nation, all the way across the continent. Now, it’s a conundrum – she’s worse, by far. But – he failed and is tarnished. It’s a shame.
I’d say, buck up and support him. It’s not worth risking having her in there.
Since energy usage has become the equivalent of harlotry, murder & adultery, energy users are being threatened with the lake of fire by Adam, Eve & the Lord Jesus Christ. I am now married to Anders Behring Breivik 09/20/2011 by the Lord Jesus Christ. I already have children, grandchildren & great grandchildren. Thank you for reading.
GOD IS NOT WILLING THAT ANY SHOULD PERISH, BUT THAT ALL MIGHT BELIEVE ON HIS NAME-JESUS.Repent & be baptized! Jesus said, “I am God there is none besides me.” “I am the Way, the Truth & the Life. No man comes to the Father except by me.” “For God so loved the world that He gave His only begotten Son that whosoever believes in Him should not perish, but have everlasting life.” “For the wages of sin is death, but the gift of God is eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord.” “As many as received Him to them He gave the power to become the sons of God the Father even to those who believe on His name.” Jesus’ healing ministry began with adult baptism.
A New Agenda: We the people need no gas & no electric to have a man child with the spouses of our youth around the world. We shall build homes without electric, without gas, without roofs that exceed 7 & 1/2 feet, & with incinerators to burn garbage, burn dung, burn urine, & burn blood rags so that the entire sisterhood has a man child with the husbands of their youth.
TAKE MY CONFESSION WITH YOU. I have smoked cigars for 11 years & have no lungs, liver & kidneys at 45 years old. I continue to live through the Lord Jesus Christ as I received the Holy Spirit at 4 years old & was baptized as an adult in 1997. I continue to read my Bible& now use burned dung, urine, blood rags & tobacco butts to make meat offerings to eat. The Old Testament says that burned dung, urine, & blood rags were a part of the laws of Moses. Yes, it was in 2001 while I was driving to Florida that I was talking to the saints in heaven & Isaiah said, “You know that 70 years from now the sun will be dimmed in the sky” Oh, I said, “I don’t know.” I went back over the Old Testament& it said, “The sun shall be dimmed in the sky” & “I shall make them eat the grass of the field.” & “all these things shall come to pass” before theLord Jesus Christ returns.
4 years ago I was stamping my feet at work over the excessive electric usage & complaining that I didn’t have a husband & children to God the Father. I prayed, kneeling at my bed as to adopting children. Then while I was at work I adopted over 500 children in Swahili (I was born with a spot-was a reject in Hebrew) to find out what day it was. I had been taught prophesy at Wheaton Evangelical Free Church in 1979 & 1980. We went back & forth in time while Governor Blagovich was verifying. We came up with 17 years of darkened sun before July 29, 2081.
July 29, 2081-the rapture of believers in Christ Jesus-all those who received the Holy Spirit-at the trumpet sound in heaven-1st the dead & then the living ascended to heaven in a twinkling of an eye
July 29, 2081-2088-the Great Tribulation-God’s wrath is poured out on the earth, Judgment of the Believers in Christ Jesus & the Marriage Supper of the Lamb in heaven
2088-3057-the Reign of Christ Jesus-(the Bible stated “1000 years” & in actuality it was 969 years)
3057-3059-the Devil is loosed out of the pit –(the Bible stated “a time & a half” & in actuality it was 1 & three fourths years)-the battle of Armageddon-the nations are drawn together for the last battle in the Valley of Megiddo-the Lord Jesus comes down of a white horse with the words, “King of Kings, Lord of Lords” written on His thigh & a sword comes out of His mouth to destroy all who are in the battle. The bible says that the blood runs a “horses’ bridle high” & birds feed on the bodies.
3059-the old heavens& the old earth pass away & the new heavens & new earth are created by the Lord Jesus Christ-at this point in time the Lord Jesus says,“Depart from me I never knew you.” to all who died in the battle of Armageddon, to those who took the mark of the beast in their right hand or forehead during the tribulation, to all who died during our time without receiving the Holy Spirit, & to all those who died during the flood of Noah’s day in wickedness. Jesus says, “In this world you shall have trouble, but I have overcome the world.”
Jesus says, “If we confess our sins He is faithful & just to forgive us our sins & to cleanse us from all unrighteousness.” Sincerely through Lord Jesus Christ & Wishing You A Merry Christmas, Allison Grace Karalus
Bye bye, take it elsewhere.
Brown will reap what he’s sown. No real support from conservative because he isn’t one. The Prof. is right…Brown should go back to why people supported him to begin with. It wasn’t because he’s a RINO.
As a conservative Texan I have been unimpressed with Scott Brown. He may have an R by his name, but being from Mass. he is closer to a Houston communist than Texas Hill Country conservative.
Speaking of Houston communists, the former candidate for governor and former mayor of Houston, Bill White, I am reminded of some bumper stickers I spotted today. The stickers were on the back of a Prius (natch). One was a “Bill White for Governor”. The other read “My other car is a centaur”. I guess the fool couldn’t afford a unicorn.
I sent Senator Brown $25 the first time around, not this time. To echo earlier comments, why vote for a fake liberal when you can vote for the real deal? Sorry Senator, I realize you ran as the 41st vote, but other people who don’t despise me need that $25 far more than you do. McCain lost because he was only pretending to be liberal, while 0bama was a real liberal. Conservatives stayed home.
“dance with the one that brought you.”
works as does
“You can dance-every dance with the guy
Who gives you the eye,let him hold you tight
You can smile-every smile for the man
Who held your hand neath the pale moon light
But don’t forget who’s takin’ you home
And in whose arms you’re gonna be
So darlin’ save the last dance for me”
Really? Senator Brown is shocked that Democrats would rather have a Democratic Senator than have a “consensus building, bridge building, hand extending Republican”? Maybe those positions are already filled: Princess Murkowski of Alaska, The twins from Maine, to name just three. Golly, us conservatives would rather have a real conservative than a bridge building consensor.
(new word: consensor— a person who strives to build a consensus.)
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