This race is too close to call.

A shift in any state could change the outcome. The Real Clear Politics No-Toss Ups map (Featured Image) has Hillary winning by a few electoral points.

She could win by a few, lose by a few, or win by a lot. It’s that volatile.

Overall, she’s up about 3% in national polls. You can’t ignore that. I’d rather be up 3 than down 3 any day.

real-clear-politics-polls-11-7-2016

It’s not a question of “unskew” or any of the other things we heard in 2012.

It’s just a matter that there are still so many toss-up states, as this RCP chart shows:

real-clear-electoral-map-11-7-2016

But to to read the headlines, it’s over. Trump is done. Turn out the lights, write the obituaries, the election is history.

This is the same tactic always used. Here is what I wrote in 2012, Operation Demoralize is working just as planned:

It’s November 7.  Barack Obama has won.  The Republican presidential strategy has failed.  The media is jubilant.  The right-blogosphere is going through a serious introspection.  The left-blogosphere is dancing on our graves and shoving it down our throats.  Four years of fighting the Obama agenda was for nothing.

Oh, I’m sorry.  Let me correct that.  It’s September 9, not November 7.  The rest of the paragraph above can remain as originally written.

Operation Demoralize is working just as planned.

While Obama did go on to win, the media narrative that the race was over in early September was a self-fulfilling narrative.

I think Hillary is the favorite going into Election Day because the electoral map favors Democrats. But don’t think that the premature celebrations are honest or legitimate – they are just narratives intended to demoralize Trump voters.