Everything You Need to Know About Key Races on Election Day
The Democrats and Republicans will use these races as guides for the 2026 midterms.
The government remains shut down, but we have a few big races on November 4 that could drastically change the political landscape in a few states and cities.
Those races could also affect the rest of the country, as Democrats and Republicans will use them as guides for the 2026 midterms.
I gathered some information about those races for you.
New York City
Does the city win no matter who wins the mayoral race tomorrow? The people will likely elect socialist Zohran Mamdani.
Polls open tomorrow from 6 AM to 9 PM. However, over 735,000 people have voted early, too.
Anything that happens in New York City can affect the rest of the country. It’s the financial hub after all.
According to The New York Post, over 765,000 New Yorkers plan to leave the Big Apple if Mamdani wins:
If those residents were to leave, it would be equal to the population of Washington, DC, Las Vegas, or Seattle fleeing the city.
Another 25% of New Yorkers — about 2.12 million — said they would “consider” packing up and leaving.
Among high earners, 7% of those making over $250,000 a year said they would definitely flee.
Mamdani has a history of antisemitism, which should concern New York City’s Jewish population. By the way, the city has the highest Jewish population outside of Israel.
Mamdani is also stuck on the word free…even though anyone with a brain knows nothing free. Someone somewhere is paying for it. Free rent! Free buses! Free child care!
The socialist also wants to bump the minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030. This one bothers me the most. It is the Big Mama domino because it leads to job losses, job relocation, and fewer work hours:
Contrary to progressive opinion, most academic assessments of state and local minimum wage hikes find disemployment effects like fewer jobs and employee hours, especially when the increases in the wage floor are large. The Congressional Budget Office estimated a federal $17 minimum wage by 2029 could eliminate up to 2 million jobs nationally. Given Mamdani’s proposed floor is much higher, even adjusted for New York’s higher productivity, significant employment losses, hours reductions, and business closures would be inevitable. Seattle’s much-cited experiment with a $15 minimum wage notably resulted in a meaningful reduction of hours worked for low-wage employees, for example.
What’s more, a growing literature finds that even where firms avoid layoffs, they often adjust in ways that mitigate the net benefits to many low-skilled employees: by reducing non-wage benefits, altering schedules, cutting back on workplace amenities and training, demanding more of their workers, or hiring more experienced employees. There is no free lunch here.
New York City’s small businesses, restaurants, corner stores, and hospitality venues—where labor constitutes the dominant cost—would bear severe pressure. New York’s geographical and economic context makes it susceptible to displacement effects too. Companies in industries not tied strictly to local consumption, such as production and logistics, might relocate facilities across nearby borders—like New Jersey or Connecticut—if New York City’s labor costs soar disproportionately. No handwavy theorizing about correcting for “monopsony power” will avoid those adjustments, given this wage floor will be approximately 75 percent of projected median hourly wages or still higher by 2030, even assuming robust wage growth.
Virginia
Virginia will elect a new governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general.
The Washington Post claimed the Democrats and Republicans consider Virginia’s races “as a trial run for next year’s congressional midterm elections and a referendum on President Donald Trump’s policies.”
Polls are open from 6 AM to 7 PM.
Over one million people have already voted.
Either way, former Rep. Abigail Spanberger or Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Spears will become Virginia’s first female governor. Earle-Spears could become the first black female governor in the country!
Spanberger leads Earle-Spears by 11 points in the latest poll.
Then we have the attorney general race. Democrat Jay Jones leads Republican incumbent Jason Miyares, 49% to 47%.
Yes, Jones still leads despite those awful texts.
Then at one point, the source said, he suggested he wished Gilbert’s wife could watch her own child die in her arms so that Gilbert might reconsider his political views, prompting Coyner to hang up the phone in disgust.https://t.co/RHs2BnpD9d
— National Review (@NRO) October 3, 2025
New Jersey
The New Jersey governor race is BONKERS. Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherill leads Republican Jack Ciattrelli 49% to 48%.
Who knows who will come out on top? This is Ciattrelli’s third straight governor race. He almost beat Phil Murphy in 2021.
Polls are open from 6 AM to 8 PM. Over 1.1 million people have already voted. As usual, the majority of the early voters are Democrats.
It’s another race being watched by Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Cittarelli wants to lower property taxes, income taxes, and corporate taxes. However, I haven’t found much of his plan to cut spending. You cannot cut your revenue if you don’t cut spending.
Sherrill is your typical Democrat. Her “Affordability Agenda” includes housing, tax relief, child care, food prices, and freezing utility hikes.
California
How will California vote on Prop 50? The polling looks like it will pass.
Gov. Gavin Newsom is obsessed with redistricting the heavily blue state to carve out more blue districts:
Voters in heavily blue California will vote in November on whether to set aside their popular nonpartisan redistricting commission for the rest of the decade and allow the Democrat-dominated legislature to determine congressional redistricting for the next three election cycles.
The vote will be the culmination of an effort by Gov. Gavin Newsom and California Democrats to create up to five left-leaning congressional seats in the Golden State to counter the new maps that conservative Gov. Greg Abbott signed into law a couple of months ago, which will create up to five more right-leaning U.S. House districts in the red state of Texas.
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Comments
Unfortunately the Communists are going to win every single race
Trump was too
Busy with running the world he forgot there were meaningful elections
No Trump, much fewer voters
Like are conservatives that lazy and dumb?
Trump has certainly been supporting Ciattrelli.
He’s also finally endorsed Cuomo and more importantly DISendorsed Sliwa:
He should have written that two weeks ago, before early voting started.
Meanwhile 0bama, who was in Newark campaigning for Sherrill, refused to endorse Mamdani, or cross over the river to campaign in NYC. Mamdani’s campaign claims that 0bama doesn’t make endorsements in local races, but that’s just not true. He endorsed De Blasio, and Karen Bass in LA. He’s not endorsing Mamdani because he knows that if he does it will be in every Republican campaign ad next year.
And Mamdani has been desperately calling around Jewish community leaders, begging for a photo op, but they’ve all refused. The one Jewish “community organizer” (or as we used to say, “ward heeler”) who did endorse him was promptly disavowed by his own community, which is now likely to endorse Cuomo.
He has not been pounding the streets for him having rally’s, his signature
According to something I read Trump never endorsed Sliwa so how could he DISendorse him?
Yes he may have endorsed Cuomo, but do you really want to vote for a man with that much blood on his hands? And no I’m not saying Mamdani is better.
He never endorsed Sliwa, but now he has DISendorsed him, i.e. urged people not to vote for him, even though he’s the Republican nominee.
Do I want to vote for the granny killer? Of course not. But I did vote for him, because it’s that important. It’s like the time all decent Republicans campaigned for Edwin Edwards, even knowing what kind of person he was. The slogan then was “Vote for the crook; it’s important!”
He’s a Democrat, of course a Democrat voted for him.
While smearing the Republican in the race.
Genuine question – would you leave with a Mamdani victory?
Go back to Hell, Azathoth, you disgusting defaming liar.
Eric, in my specific circumstances, probably not, but I’d certainly be considering it. Leaving would be very difficult for me, but it would depend on how bad things get.
Who’d you vote for in the primary, Democrat?
Mamdani? Cuomo?
Azathoth, so long as you keep calling me a Democrat, you should go back to Hell and don’t deserve for me to satisfy your curiosity. If a decent human being wants to know they can ask me.
This is a pretty dumb take fella.
Given the majority of these races are in Democrat shit holes I’d be surprised if Republicans made any gains anywhere 🤔
Stop hyperventilating, it’s not gonna help your already sunny disposition G 😜
is it possible that NYC will ever be able to hold an even semi-valid election?
if Mandami wins, will Yonkers and the 5Towns become the 6th and 7th boroughs?
The Muslims will live in the boroughs now populated with jews
No, why would Yonkers and the Five Towns want to be annexed to a Mamdani-run NYC? And why would the state legislature approve that?
“Another 25% of New Yorkers — about 2.12 million — said they would “consider” packing up and leaving.”
Of course, as we have seen from Hollywood, Democrats love to talk big and do absolutely nothing,
Yeah, but these aren’t Democrats. And even those who are, when they said they’d leave if Bush or Trump won they knew they had no actual reason to do so. They knew life under Bush or Trump would be good, so the threat to leave was just for show. But if Mamdani leaves life is likely to actually be bad, so they’ll have a reason to leave.
Don’t come to Texas
Dont
If Mamdani wins, no federal funding should be provided that would fund, or find its way into, any of his Marxist efforts.
And Trump should send in the National Guard on the day the Marxist takes office.
The National Guard has been constantly in NYC since 2001.
Is it because they’re Jews?
Is it because they’re women (or think they are)?
Is it because they’re rabbis?
You decide!
The only movement more brain-damaged than
“Queers for Palestine!”
Is it because they’re rabbis (or think they are)?
FIFY
Actually the “transwoman” is a genuine honest-for-goodness rabbi. Studied, passed his exams, and got certified at the Vizhnitz yeshivah in the Catskills. Total lunatic, doctrinaire leftist on every topic, including “Palestine”, but “her” rabbi certificate is still valid.
Where is the seattle mayor’s race? That’s a bleak one also for anyone looking for sanity.
Socialism comes to America under the guise of ‘affordability.’ Not a bang but a whimper.
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