Michelle Obama has repeatedly said she doesn’t want to run for president, and she will not run for president.
I believe her. But her husband once made a declaration that he would not run for president, until he did.
We have been on Michelle-for-President-watch longer than just about anyone else:
The logic of Michelle as Hail Mary Pass is as clear as it ever was. At least to me.
The Democratic field is expanding, with Joe Biden set to announce tomorrow, if someone remembers to wake him up.
And therein lies the problem. It’s Bernie’s nomination to lose. He may lose, but there’s no obvious person, other than Biden perhaps, who can stop him.
I don’t believe that establishment and non-lunatic Democrats will allow a Bernie nomination. Bernie as nominee would be extraordinarily risky to Democrats. He’s not only a socialist, he wants the Boston Marathon Bomber to be able to vote from prison!
Is there any doubt for whom, as between Trump and Bernie, the Boston Marathon Bomber would vote? Republican attack ad makers never had it so easy.
Bernie’s chance of beating Trump is more than zero, which will turn out Republican voters. As unthinkable as Trump was to liberals, Bernie is to non-liberals. That hurts, not helps, Bernie’s chances. Democrats were lulled into believing that Trump couldn’t win because they lived in a liberal media bubble, Trump supporters and non-socialists live in reality and they will vote.
Bernie may inspire his lunatic anti-Israel, anti-capitalist, pro-socialism base, but they can’t win a national election for Bernie. Trump hatred will help any Democrat candidate, for sure, but even many Democrats acknowledge that won’t be enough. The people who hate Trump now are pretty much the people who hated Trump in 2016.
Faced with the likelihood of 4 more years of Orange Man Bad, the loss of the House, and continued Republican control of the Senate, what will Democrats do? Will they march off a cliff behind Crazy Bernie, or lead an insurrection?
For Obama Democrats the stakes are even higher. Trump has not managed to wipe out the Obama legacy completely, in part because the lower federal courts have stymied him. A second Trump term could mean the everlasting wipeout of the Obama legacy.
You know who cares about the Obama legacy? Mr. Obama.
Mr. Obama says he will not endorse early in the primaries, and may not endorse at all during the primaries. Curious.
If Biden looks likely to win the nomination, I expect the Obamas to fall in line behind him. But if not, all bets are off.
There’s no reason for Michelle to get in the race now, where she’d have to demean herself by appearing on debate stage with clowns, kooks and fakes. Time is on her side. She will pounce at the right moment, if the moment presents itself.
Rush made this point today:
RUSH: Portland, Maine. This is Bob. I’m glad you called, sir. Welcome to our program. Hi.CALLER: Hi, Rush. First-time caller, longtime listener.RUSH: Yeah.CALLER: Yeah. I was just wondering, alluding back to what you said earlier about how the Democrats really don’t have anybody that’s electable. My wife brought this up to me the other day. What do you think about them at the last moment, as a dark horse, putting in Michelle Obama, where —RUSH: You know, I go back and forth on this.CALLER: Do you? I wonder if the… (crosstalk) Okay. I was just wondering if, you know, the ghost government, you know, if they can still — like Obama, can still — kind of control a situation (unintelligible).RUSH: Oh, see, I think that’s it. I am convinced that The One wants back in. I think The One is sitting there seething over the dismantling of his agenda and the Trump verbal assault on it every day. But he can’t run again. And they got the Michelle book out there. It sold very well. That will tell them that she is immensely popular. If they are thinking about it, there is no way that they’re gonna get in this soon.They’re gonna let these people eat each other up and spit each other out, beat each other up because this is gonna happen. You can’t avoid this. Every one of these candidates wants the nomination. Some of them, no, they’re not gonna get it and they’re doing it for other reasons. But there are enough people in this race that really want it. And enough of them who really think they can get it….So they’re gonna be ripping each other apart, and in some cases they’re gonna be doing lasting damage in terms of presidential-electability. And after enough of that happens, the Obamas will survey the landscape, they will not pull the trigger and get in if they don’t think it is a lock that she would win. The last thing the Obamas can afford is for Michelle (My Belle) to get in there and not win….
How could this come down? The most likely scenario is at the Democrat convention. In March 2019, liberal Ed Kilgore at New York Magazine explored how Yes, a Contested Convention Could Actually Happen in 2020.
Michelle would win by acclamation. That her memoir is set to become the best selling memoir of all time is a sign of her star power. Democrats would swoon. The Obama coalition would be resurrected. Who would oppose her among Democrats?
Michelle as Hail Mary Pass to prevent a Bernie electoral apocalypse. Don’t rule it out.
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