Elizabeth Warren’s opportunity: Hillary has fallen, and she may not get up

Elizabeth Warren’s opportunity: Hillary has fallen, and she may not get up

All the pieces are falling into place for Elizabeth Warren to enter the presidential race.

First, long before Hillary began to falter, I predicted that Elizabeth Warren would crush Hillary, and they both know it:

For all my criticisms of Warren, and they are extensive, I am convinced that if she ran, she would crush Hillary, just as Obama did.

Warren, as did Obama, has a unique ability to demagogue the core Democratic narrative of victimhood in ways that would make Hillary blush. She is more cunning than Hillary, more popular with the base, would bring an excitement the contrived Ready-for-Hillary movement could only dream of. Democrats may be “ready” for Hillary, but they don’t really want her.

Bernie Sanders’ success in mounting a credible campaign is the best evidence that Warren would crush Hillary.

Sanders is a proxy for Warren, the second choice of the progressive movement when Warren declined to run (for now). Imagine how HUGE the crowds would be for Warren, if Sanders is getting crowds in the tens of thousands.

Second, Sanders’ message is Warren’s message. The system is rigged by Wall Street and the banks against the little people:

Third, I always argued that Warren would wait for the right moment, when Hillary already was faltering and Warren could come in to save the Democratic Party.

Sanders cannot be that savior because he’s a Socialist. That’s not going to sell in America even in 2015. So Liz is a far better messanger for the “you didn’t build that on your own” message.

Fourth, now Hillary is faltering. She’s actually losing to Sanders in New Hampshire:

Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders has rocketed past longtime front-runner Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, a stunning turn in a race once considered a lock for the former secretary of state, a new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll shows.

Sanders leads Clinton 44-37 percent among likely Democratic primary voters, the first time the heavily favored Clinton has trailed in the 2016 primary campaign, according to the poll of 442 Granite-Staters….

Clinton is still viewed overwhelmingly by voters as the likely Democratic nominee, but the results suggest she faces an unexpectedly difficult fight to prevent an embarrassing opening loss in the first-in-the-nation primary.

The Franklin Pierce/Herald poll shows that most New Hampshire Democrats are lukewarm to Clinton, despite her campaign’s concerted effort to soften her image and connect with voters.

Just 35 percent of likely primary voters say they are “excited” about Clinton’s campaign, according to the poll. And 51 percent of voters say that while they could support her, they aren’t enthusiastic about her White House bid.

Fifth, the email scandal presents an enormous risk for Democrats to put all their presidential eggs in Hillary’s basket.

Now that the server and thumb drive are in the hands of the feds, who knows what analysis will show.

At a minimum, it will show a deliberate effort to conceal evidence. If some of the data is recoverable (the feds can work wonders), that data may puncture the Hillary balloon completely.

“Save Us Liz”

Hillary is faultering. Bernie’s message is resonating. Democrats are nervous of a late email scandal surprise.

This is the opening Warren has been waiting for.

If she jumped into the race, it would fit the pattern from the 2012 Senate race, her first run for public office. Warren insisted for months she was not running, and waited until the chorus begging her to enter the race grew loud enough that she would say she was answering the people’s call.

At some point the Democratic Party power brokers lose faith in Hillary’s ability to run, and join the progressives.  When that happens, Democrats will demand that Warren run.

The question is, does Liz want it?

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