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How is Door No. 2 working out for ya?

How is Door No. 2 working out for ya?

I saw it all coming.

Our bumper sticker post early this morning was Legal Insurrection’s 12,000th post since we opened the doors, turned on the lights, fired up the grill, and (help me out running out of trite analogies) embarked on this journey we call the, um, uh, ….

The first post was Obama is “Door No. 2″:

“Imagining hope” is the essence of Door No. 2. Whatever reality tells us, the possibility of something greater has an irresistible lure.

As in Let’s Make a Deal, choosing Door No. 2 carries great risks. So does choosing Obama.

Obama may be a post-racial healer, or he may be someone who carefully uses race and false accusations of racism to advance his political career. Obama may not have known about Jeremiah Wright’s political race-baiting, or he may have known but not cared. Obama may be someone who views this country as inherently good, or he may secretly share the views of his political enabler, William Ayers, that this country is inherently bad. We may know Obama better than Jeremiah Wright and William Ayers know Obama, or we may not know Obama at all.

Obama may be everything good, or the promise Obama embodies may just be a figment of our own imagination.

I saw it all coming.

(as he pats himself on the back)

(Featured image source: New neighborhood watchman)


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Many of us saw it coming but were helpless to stop it and unable to get out of the way. What a sad period in our nation’s history. No one will be unaffected by the harm to our economy and loss of our freedoms.

Seeing an approaching train-wreck is a highly mixed blessing…

when the switch levers are in the hands of people you can’t reach.

Still, it’s better to see and know stuff than to be bemused.

While I do agree that Obama has been an unmitigated disaster, I do disagree with your initial assessment.

McCain was not ever the ‘safe’ choice. He was the establishment choice. And people were pissed off at the establishment. The 24/7 media smear campaign against him was a big contributor, but nobody can deny that Bush was extremely unpopular when he left office.

A better comparison would have been ‘Deal or No Deal’. more modern TV show where you select a closed briefcase from a number of others, all containing specific and set (but hidden) amounts of money. Then the contestant starts opening other briefcases. Periodically, the host will offer you money to ‘buy’ your briefcase – an amount based on the amounts of money that have been revealed.

At the start of the show the amounts are usually laughably low compared to the amounts available – most opening values are only around $10,000. After a few cases have been opened the amounts will go up drastically.

Essentially McCain was the laughably low amount, and Obama was the promise of the big money.

I don’t begrudge people voting for Obama the first time. He did a very good job of projecting ‘hope’ and letting people project what that meant on to them.

I DO begrudge them voting for him the second time. Obama wasn’t an unknown quantity anymore. He was known, he had no record to run on, and ran the dirtiest, slimiest campaign in recent memory. And it worked because the gullible lemmings voted for him.

    tom swift in reply to Olinser. | May 29, 2014 at 6:36 pm

    But Obama was never a briefcase which might have money in it. He was a clear Ziploc bag which was obviously empty.

    Juba Doobai! in reply to Olinser. | May 29, 2014 at 9:22 pm

    McCain was the safe choice because his VP was the one with 20+ years of executive experience, a proven track record of reform, and a demonstrated record of achievement. She would have had some influence on him, no matter what his handlers said.

    myiq2xu in reply to Olinser. | May 30, 2014 at 12:05 am

    John McCain was supposed to be a token candidate in a year when a generic “any Democrat” was polling ahead of the entire GOP field. Until he crossed up all the experts and chose Sarah Palin as his VP candidate he was running behind both Democratic contenders. Some polls even placed Hillary as doing better than Obama against McCain in hypothetical match-ups.

    In addition to far outspending everyone else put together Obama had the support of a fawning media. He built a campaign organization that used a large group of cult-like followers to dominate social media. His campaign used the race card as a sword and a shield to prevent any questioning, mockery or criticism of his qualifications and record.

    Despite all of that, anyone who was paying attention could see that “there was no there, there.” There was no mystery as to what was behind door No. 2 because there was nothing behind the door. He was an empty suit.

    His policy ideas were cribbed from Hillary. His memoirs were ghost-written. He wasn’t even that good of a public speaker.

    The one person who tried to tell America the truth about Obama was swarmed and attacked by the news media. We found out more about her life and record in a few weeks than we have learned about Obama to this day.

WAJ, prescient to be sure. It looks like we have a new Carnac the Magnificent on our hands. (You’ll have to pick a new name, though, for legal reasons. But then, you already knew that.)

People voted for No. 2 twice. What more can you say?

Henry Hawkins | May 29, 2014 at 4:39 pm

Um, er, uh, not to, uh… well. If you reread your Door #2 post, you didn’t really see anything clearly – it’s all ‘he might be this, he might be that’, though I suspect you knew full well. Technically though, you saw every possibility.

Have I really been reading this blog for 6 years already?

Actually, statistics show the “Door #2” analogy to be the best choice, so comparing it to Obama is not valid.

No matter how little I think of John McCain, I could not doubt that his judicial and cabinet appointments would have been far superior. No Kagan or Sotomayor or up to 400 other leftist judges appointed to lifetime terms by the time the next President is sworn in.


The reason Door #2 is the best bet is pure math. When you made the initial choice of Door #1, it had one chance in three of being the big prize, so assign it a value of 0.333 to reflect that.

After Monty shows you that there was only a goat behind the curtain Carol opened, the value of Door #2 becomes one chance in two, or 0.50. You improve your odds by roughly half by switching to Door #2.