Given the cancellation of flights into and out of Ben-Gurion Int’l Airport at the urging of the FAA backed up by the White House, many are predicting it’s likely that the next day or two will be decisive — either militarily or diplomatically.

Anshel Pfeffer at Haaretz writes that the airport shutdown may lead to a heavier Israeli military strike:

This may prove to be a game-changer in a conflict which is now entering its third week. It could provide further impetus for the government in seeking a speedy ceasefire with Hamas, but that seems doubtful.

Even a partial suspension of operations at Ben-Gurion is a major coup for Hamas, which has been so starved of any real achievements that they are pretending to have captured an IDF soldier who was almost certainly killed on Saturday night, though his remains have yet to be identified. Accepting Hamas’ terms for a ceasefire now is unthinkable. It is much more likely that, faced with the prospect of more rockets cutting Israel off from the international air routes, the government will be inclined to order a much more devastating blow, a wider ground operation to occupy the rocket-launching sites or even directed at Hamas’ underground headquarters, with dreadful implications for the people of Gaza living above.

Times of Israel analyst Avi Issacharoff argues, in Worse may yet lie ahead, that Hamas, while talking tough, is in trouble:

Until a couple of days ago, most Gazans were supporting Hamas — that is, supporting the fighting. The battling in Shejaiya changed that to some extent. “Enough of this; we’re exhausted,” Gazans say in phone conversations now. Every few minutes there’s another Israeli attack, and more death. The atmosphere is one of despair. Eid al-Fitr, the celebratory end of Ramadan, is on Sunday. The killings of 27 Israeli soldiers and the possible capture of one more (likely dead) does not amount to sufficient comfort.

Hence the trap. Hamas will find it hard to end the fighting without a significant achievement. But such an achievement — the opening of the borders, for instance — is not at hand. Egypt has no desire to come to its aid. Israel has no intention of freeing prisoners.

And so after quite a few bad days for Israel and for Gaza, worse days still seem to lie ahead.

We will keep track of any developments overnight and into tomorrow and update this post.

You can follow the events at the live video and Twitter feeds at the bottom of the post.

Israeli troop morale appears to be high. See the video posted yesterday of Israeli soldiers on combat break singing “the nation of Israel will never give up.

The Druse commander of the elite Golani Brigade, who was wounded in combat, has returned to the field:

The IDF also released this video of the killing of Hamas infiltrators dressed in IDF uniforms:

Overnight events and news:

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