Polling Tag

Polling Guru Nate Silver Accuses Pollsters of Cheating, Herding to Make Race Appear Tight

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on November 01, 2024 46 Comments

With the exception of the New York Times, Silver thinks the pollsters are “just f***ing punting on this election for the most part.”...

https://x.com/PopCrave/status/1833684388803997809

RCP Polling Averages Flipped MI, WI to Harris; Here’s Why It Doesn’t Matter

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 31, 2024 45 Comments

"If a poll at this stage of the game will not give you the methodology behind it, it’s in all likelihood a voter suppression poll."...

https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1844754378994967029

Fox News Polling Analysis Claims Massive Kamala Lead, Countering Other Polling

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 22, 2024 56 Comments

Fox attributes Harris's 6-point lead to a concept called “inefficient vote.”...

Poll Finds Only 8 Percent of Professors Plan to Vote for Trump

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 22, 2024 3 Comments

"Seventy-eight percent support Kamala Harris and running mate Tim Walz, while only 8 percent of the respondents back Donald Trump and JD Vance"...

Don’t Discount the Message From the Betting Markets

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 16, 2024 41 Comments

Harris needs something big to jumpstart her campaign. Her upcoming interview with Brett Baier will either put her back in the game or end her chance at victory....

Harris’s Media Blitz May Cost Her the Election

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 14, 2024 41 Comments

New York Times political correspondent: Harris “keeps answering the question she wants, not the one that was asked.” ...

Democrats, Media Get Panicky As Kamala Harris’ ‘Momentum’ Stalls

Posted by Stacey Matthews on October 13, 2024 27 Comments

"Why are Democrats bedwetting? The race is closer than it was 3 weeks ago in MI, PA, & WI. Way too close to call in all 3. Also, Harris is doing 6 points worse on avg. in them than Biden at this point in 2020."...

Mark Halperin Claims to Have Seen Private Polling and that Harris is ‘In Trouble’ in Swing States

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 10, 2024 27 Comments

"I'm having with Trump people and Democrats with data are extremely bullish on Trump's chances in the last 48 hours, extremely bullish."...

CNN’s Harry Enten Says Kamala Harris in ‘Danger Zone’ Over Voter Worry About Direction of Country

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 05, 2024 11 Comments

"The bottom line is it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track."...

CNN Data Analyst Sounds Alarm for Harris Campaign About Low Support From Union Households

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 01, 2024 26 Comments

"And we know that Donald Trump has been going after that vote, and he is in a very, very strong position—more so perhaps than with any other bloc."...

New poll from 2020’s most accurate pollster shows Trump up by 2.9 points

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on September 17, 2024 58 Comments

If the election were held today, Atlas calculates that Trump has a 75% chance of winning in the Electoral College. His odds improve if you take historical polling error into account....

Liberals’ Knives Come Out for Nate Silver After His Model Points to a Trump Victory

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on September 09, 2024 45 Comments

Silver: "Harris is in fact on the decline in polls over the past couple of weeks in most of the key swing states.”...

https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1832069262585872654

CNN’s Harry Enten: Trump Outperforming His Current Numbers ‘By Just a Single Point’ in November Will Lead to Victory

Posted by Stacey Matthews on September 08, 2024 16 Comments

"We‘re talking about the closest campaign in a generation where a single point could make all the difference in the world."...

Nate Silver Douses Operation Demoralize: Harris ‘on the Decline’ in ‘Key Swing State’ Polls

Posted by Stacey Matthews on September 07, 2024 28 Comments

"One of the reasons I'm not super sympathetic to complaints about the convention bounce stuff is that Harris is in fact on the decline in polls over the past couple of weeks in most of the key swing states"...

CNN host tells the truth about RFK Jr’s endorsement of Trump: ‘It is huge, it is everything’

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on August 25, 2024 31 Comments

CNN host Erin Burnett pointed out to viewers, “It is more than the margin between Harris and Trump.”...

Polling Analyst Nate Silver Not Buying Kamala Hype, Says Trump Remains Favorite to Win in 2024

Posted by Mike LaChance on August 01, 2024 39 Comments

"His election forecast model gives Trump a 61.3% chance of prevailing in the Electoral College, while Vice President Kamala Harris is at 38.1%."...

Post-Assassination Attempt Bump: Trump Expands National Lead Over Biden, As Well As In Virginia

Posted by Fuzzy Slippers on July 20, 2024 19 Comments

"Trump’s numbers increased, up from 50 percent in a July 3 survey, while Biden dropped 1 percent."...

Pollster Nate Silver Calls on Joe Biden to Resign the Presidency After ABC News Interview

Posted by Mike LaChance on July 07, 2024 51 Comments

Meanwhile, there is a growing list of Democrats who want Biden to at least drop out of the race....

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