Polling  (Page 3)

Polls Paint Increasingly Dire Picture for Trump

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Posted by  ▪  Tuesday, August 16, 2016 at 7:30pm 8/16/2016 at 7:30pm

Electoral success is looking bleak for Republican nominee Donald Trump and his supporters.

Among the conventional poll-reading wisdom is that trends, not individual polls, provide for a more accurate overview.

Despite his headline popularity and ability to pull around 30% in primary elections, Trump has never polled consistently well against Democratic contender...

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Fox News Poll Shows Hillary With Double Digit Lead Over Trump

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Posted by  ▪  Wednesday, August 3, 2016 at 7:00pm 8/3/2016 at 7:00pm

You see, this is the problem with having a campaign predicated on the fact that you’re leading in all the polls — when polling data turns unfavorable, your alleged mandate dissipates.

A new poll released by Fox News shows Hillary with a double-digit lead over The Donald. Hillary might me the...

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Polls Show Voters Do Not Trust Hillary, Now Tied With Trump

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Posted by  ▪  Thursday, July 14, 2016 at 5:00pm 7/14/2016 at 5:00pm

Democrat presumptive presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers have slipped after she escaped charges for her emails at the State Department.

A New York Times/CBS News poll shows that 67% of voters do not find Clinton “honest and trustworthy.” In a month, she lost her 6% lead over Trump in the CBS...

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13% of Voters Prefer Apocalyptic Meteor Over Hillary or Trump

https://twitter.com/TheFix/status/678688616931921921
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Posted by  ▪  Friday, July 1, 2016 at 5:30pm 7/1/2016 at 5:30pm
https://twitter.com/TheFix/status/678688616931921921

New polling data released from Public Policy Polling indicated 13% or respondents would rather the Earth suffer a collision with a giant meteor before voting for Hillary or Trump. Apparently, “Giant Meteor” is more popular than any independent candidate actually running for president.

Giant Meteor was a particular favorite among independent voters,...

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Not-Quite-Super Republican Tuesday

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Posted by  ▪  Tuesday, March 8, 2016 at 1:00pm 3/8/2016 at 1:00pm

Here’s the primary/caucus schedule today, followed by Real Clear politics poll averages:

Mississippi · 40 delegates

Last poll closes at 8:00 PM ET

There’s only one recent (2/29) poll, showing Trump ahead by 24 points.  Fair to assume Trump will win, but I doubt it’s by 24 points.

Michigan · 59 delegates

Last poll closes at...

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Cruz surges in key state polling, but national polling conflicting

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Posted by  ▪  Wednesday, December 23, 2015 at 8:30am 12/23/2015 at 8:30am

Whether it’s an Overton Window effect, an example of Boyd’s “OODA Loop,” or something else, Ted Cruz is enjoying a surge in both state and national polls.

According to the latest Quinnipiac poll, Cruz is now only four points behind the current Republican front-runner, Donald Trump.

CNN reports:

Donald Trump’s lead over Ted Cruz...

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Jeb Bush Fails to Move the Needle in Post-Debate Poll

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Posted by  ▪  Sunday, December 20, 2015 at 11:00am 12/20/2015 at 11:00am

Despite acting a bit more aggressive in the last Republican debate, Jeb Bush has been unable to move his poll numbers up and break away from the pack.

Dana Blanton reports at

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Polls: Trump Regains Lead, Carson Loses Ground, Cruz Surges

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Posted by  ▪  Sunday, November 22, 2015 at 12:00pm 11/22/2015 at 12:00pm

In light of the terror attack in Paris and (presumably) Obama’s weak performance against ISIS and bizarrely petulant performance in Turkey, terrorism now rivals the economy as the single most important issue to American voters.

ABCNews reports:

Terrorism suddenly rivals the economy as the single most important issue to Americans in the 2016...

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Rasmussen: War on Terror Concerns at 11 Year High

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Posted by  ▪  Monday, October 12, 2015 at 1:00pm 10/12/2015 at 1:00pm

According to a Rasmussen poll released Monday morning, more voters than ever believe terrorists have an advantage over the United States and her allies.

Conducted from October 4-5, the poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters, asking two questions:

1) Who is winning the War on Terrorism—the United States and its allies or the terrorists?

2)...

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New Polls Have Carson Surging While Trump Falls

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Posted by  ▪  Sunday, October 4, 2015 at 10:00am 10/4/2015 at 10:00am

A poll released by Investor’s Business Daily Friday shows Dr. Ben Carson sailing past Donald Trump. While Trump’s numbers are steadily declining, he remains one of three contenders pulling in doubly digits in IBD’s poll, the third being Senator Rubio.

IBD writes:

The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared...

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CNBC debate rules could be bad news for some big names

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Posted by  ▪  Wednesday, September 30, 2015 at 7:45pm 9/30/2015 at 7:45pm

Republican Presidential candidates wanting a podium on the debate main stage will have to first qualify. CNBC set a 3% polling floor for the upcoming October 28th presidential debate.

There will be an undercard debate, but that too has a polling floor. To qualify for the kiddie table, candid...

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The Media’s Cycle of Churning Through Candidates, Trump Edition

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Posted by  ▪  Friday, September 18, 2015 at 4:25pm 9/18/2015 at 4:25pm

For everything that might be wrong with large media outlets, there’s no escaping the control they wield over election cycles. They possess the power to crush White House dreams or make them a reality.

Which is part of why headlines like this are hilarious:

Yesterday, we discussed a report released by the ...

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Polling Update: Wordplay Spells Trouble for Hillary

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Posted by  ▪  Thursday, August 27, 2015 at 3:10pm 8/27/2015 at 3:10pm

Quinnipiac University released a new poll today showing a slight shift in the way Democrats perceive their potential field of candidates. The numbers also indicate that those surveyed on the Republican end still crave candidates who by their nature are separated from “business as usual” in Washington.

More from Quinnipiac:

Vice President...

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Rasmussen Poll: Narrative of Hillary’s inevitability tanking

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Posted by  ▪  Tuesday, August 18, 2015 at 1:17pm 8/18/2015 at 1:17pm

Polling released by Rasmussen Tuesday show’s the “Hillary meter” dropping dramatically.

Rasmussen explains:

Last month, we introduced this year’s edition of the Hillary Meter to regularly update public perceptions of the f...

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Hillary favorability: Drip, drip, drip …

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Posted by  ▪  Thursday, July 16, 2015 at 10:47am 7/16/2015 at 10:47am

Long ago and far away I predicted that the effect on Hillary’s presidential campaign of the multiple scandals would be cumulative.

Since a large portion of the electorate, the younger generation, didn’t know the real Hillary of the 1990s, Hillary’s vulnerability was that the manufactured “nice grandma” and glass-ceiling breaker image of...

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Has Israel lost Democratic “opinion elites”?

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Posted by  ▪  Monday, July 6, 2015 at 4:15pm 7/6/2015 at 4:15pm

Frank Luntz recently conducted polling of American “opinion elites” attitudes toward Israel.

The results, but not the data, were published in an article by David Horvitz, Editor in Chief of The Times of Israel, Israel losing Democrats, ‘can’t claim bipartisan US support,’ top pollster warns:

Three quarters of highly educated, high income, publicly...

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Poll shows Bush, Walker leading the pack in NH

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Posted by  ▪  Saturday, March 28, 2015 at 10:45am 3/28/2015 at 10:45am

Still ten months away from New Hampshire’s primary, and with only one official candidate, this election season is sure to be a horse race. A poll released by Suffolk University Thursday shows Jeb Bush and Scott Walker taking early leads among likely voters.

Conducted between March 21-24, Jeb Bush is the...

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