Hillary favorability: Drip, drip, drip …
Cumulative effect of years of scandals, down to 39% overall and falling among Dems.
Long ago and far away I predicted that the effect on Hillary’s presidential campaign of the multiple scandals would be cumulative.
Since a large portion of the electorate, the younger generation, didn’t know the real Hillary of the 1990s, Hillary’s vulnerability was that the manufactured “nice grandma” and glass-ceiling breaker image of her would be supplanted by the controlling, paranoid figure of the 1990s.
There is increasing evidence that the scandals, particularly the email scandal, is having an effect.
You can see from the HuffPo Pollster chart that Hillary has been on a horrible favorability trajectory for the past two years:
There is more evidence today, in an AP-Gfk Poll that shows Hillary’s favorability dropping to 39% among all voters, and even dropped among Democrats (though still high):
Hillary Rodham Clinton’s standing is falling among Democrats, and voters view her as less decisive and inspiring than when she launched her presidential campaign just three months ago, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll.
The survey offers a series of warning signs for the leading Democratic candidate. Most troubling, perhaps, for her prospects are questions about her compassion for average Americans, a quality that fueled President Barack Obama’s two White House victories.Just 39 percent of all Americans have a favorable view of Clinton, compared to nearly half who say they have a negative opinion of her. That’s an eight-point increase in her unfavorable rating from an AP-GfK poll conducted at the end of April.
The drop in Clinton’s numbers extends into the Democratic Party. Seven in 10 Democrats gave Clinton positive marks, an 11-point drop from the April survey. Nearly a quarter of Democrats now say they see Clinton in an unfavorable light.
Perhaps most important, and as I predicted, Hillary’s compassion and honesty ratings are falling:
The survey suggests that voters aren’t sold on her reinvention: Only 4 in 10 voters say they view Clinton as “compassionate.” Just 3 in 10 said the word “honest” described her either very or somewhat well.
The full poll is here (.pdf). Republican candidates don’t do well on favorability, but many of them are unknown to the general public (Donald Trump is a big exception).
For example, look at Scott Walker’s numbers — hardly anybody knows him enough to have an opinion:
Most important, none of the Republicans is being anointed in the manner Hillary appears to be. Republican candidates have time to shape their images (which Dem operatives will attack early on), but Hillary is a known name who has spent years and millions of dollars on image consultants.
For Hillary, being known as not compassionate and dishonest at this early stage and on this trajectory should be particularly worrisome to Democrats.
Since Hillary has such a big operation, assisted by outside groups run by David Brock and others, there will be circling of wagons for now. But if these trends continue, anything is possible.
Anything.
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Comments
I have friends who love Hillary in priciple. And, they refuse to confront any of her realities. They prefer to believe she is who they want her to be a politician that empowers women. They put blinders on and eat cognative dissonance for breakfast because that is what it takes.
The same people do the same thing for Planned Parenthood. They pretend it is what they want it to be – a place that empowers women.
Shorter Matt–some people I know are stupid. You can’t fix stupid.
You’re too kind Rags.
They’re Criminally Insane!
PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT:
Warren is Hillary’s Identical Twin Sister!
They’re not really that close.
I can see how a none-too-bright voter with strong socialist leanings might find Warren at least partially palatable.
But even plain ol’ stupidity in the eye of the beholder wouldn’t make Hillary attractive. She’s just a nothing candidate. Unless of course you admire grifters—then she’s a role model.
Rags you are absolutely right. Especially when people CHOOSE to be stupid.
She was born sucking a pickle, she was soaked in brine all her life, and now she’ a sour puss on both ends.
The smoke clears, the mirrors shift, you take one sniff, you desperately grab your nose and her favorability—–what the hell favorability you talking about bro? What planet are you on where somebody like this could even be considered in the first place?
Hellary has gotten MUCH worse since the 1990 version, IMNHO, Prof.
She’s worked hard at proving herself a mean, old (I mean that in the sense she’s got no new ideas), grasping, corrupt, outlaw, lying Collectivist bitch.
And that’s all I have to say about that–Forest Gump
She’s worked hard at proving herself a mean, old (I mean that in the sense she’s got no new ideas), grasping, corrupt, outlaw, lying Collectivist bitch.
Nah, I don’t think she had to work at it.
She’s a natural.
Yes, I think she’s still the same Lucifer-worshipping Alinsky-acolyte she has always been.
It’s just that she had better handlers in the 90’s.
Hillary’s next book:
“To Run Unopposed, and Lose”
Living under a spotlight for all these years has shriveled up any tiny vestiges of Hillary’s integrity and/or credibility. I shudder to think about what really lurks beneath the surface of that professional political personality. No surprises here, just move along folks.
It seems to me that a Hillary nomination would be a good thing for conservatives. She is probably the most vulnerable candidate they have and the easiest to beat unless the Stupid Party decides to nominate someone equally vulnerable or totally uninspiring (which they have shown they are fully capable of doing).
A last second switch to Warren will be a problem. The people of Mass knew about her “indian” problem and elected her anyway. She is far more electable and far more dangerous than Hillary. The Warren/Main Stream Media/Academia/Union coalition along with the utero-fascist vote will be a real challenge.
In an election, who you run against is almost as important as who you nominate.
I also wonder if part of her dropping poll numbers is that those of us who lived through the Clinton years are just not willing to go through another 8 years of Bill and Hillary. Hillary is lucky to be mentioned as a candidate simply because she was First Lady. As for Bill, well if I wanted to have a great night at the bar I would hang out with Bill. Other than that, please go away, both of you!
She is dropping because she is Just Not As Good A Liar as Bill!
And because (Rags ducks as he says this) men are more picky about who they find “sexy”.
What???????
No Secretary of State Monica??????
Monica will be the press secretary. After all she and our classically trained professional journalists with the highest ethical standards have a lot in common. During press briefing breaks they can discuss various kneepad options and styles.
The first graph needs some labels to make it understandable. All it has is a falling red line and a rising black line with no indication of what they show.