I love RealClearPolitics and The Cook Political Report. I doubt individual polls since 2016.
The latest RCP Senate forecast map is a sea of red with a few blue islands.
The map shows the GOP will enter the new Congress with 54 seats and Democrats with 46 seats. That means the GOP will pick up four seats and the Democrats…none.
We learned at the debate why the Democrats didn’t want Pennsylvania Senate candidate John Fetterman to debate Republican candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz. Fetterman gave a painful and awkward performance, showing us he needs to devote all his time to his recovery from the stroke.
Before the debate, Fetterman led in projections and forecasts. After the debate? Oz gained steamed and is now projected to win and hold the seat for the GOP.
But the GOP will likely flip New Hampshire, Nevada, and Arizona.
New Hampshire is the craziest because incumbent Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan has had comfortable leads. As of now, Hassan’s RCP average is 0.5%. But newer polls have GOP candidate General Don Bolduc with a slight lead. The momentum is swinging towards Holduc.
The Georgia race is confusing, with RCP predicting we’ll end November 8 hearing the need for a December 6 runoff between Democrat incumbent Raphael Warnock and GOP candidate Herschel Walker.
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