It’s more than the polling. You can just feel it. Biden is flailing, selling off the strategic petroleum reserve in a desperate last minute attempt to lower gas prices. He can sense it, and the Team Obama running him can sense it.
Can you feel it?
The Democrat media eeyores certainly have, as I pointed out two days ago, Democrat Media Ramps Up Operation Demoralize – Against Democrat Midterm Hopes.
No one, other than Nancy Pelosi after downing a few, is predicting Democrats will hold the House. The Senate is tougher because each race is so specific, but the generic polling on which party you will vote for (the framing of the question sometimes varies) depicts a rising Republican tide.
The Real Clear Politics average of polls for the generic congressional ballot (featured image) shows a Republican breakout. Almost every recent poll not only shows a Republican lead, but given historical undercounting of Republican voters, the lead is likely higher.
The movement in specific districts is towards Republicans.
🚨 POLITICO: Ten races out of 12 are moving toward Republicans
CA 13: Lean D to Toss Up
OR 06: Lean D to Toss Up
OR 05: Lean D to Toss Up
OR 04: Likely D to Lean D
WI 03: Lean R to Likely R
MI 10: Lean R to Likely R
FL 15: Lean R to Likely Rhttps://t.co/2UlSzqEied
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 19, 2022
Key Senate races Democrats were expected to hold have tightened and the momentum is towards the Republican.
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) October 19, 2022
Even assuming Democrats hold Arizona, it is likely (certainly not definite) that Republicans also retake the Senate.
There is absolutely no guarantee of a red wave. *Anything* can happen. But when Democrats are scrambling to defend deep blue territory like New York, and Oregon, and Washington State, you know it’s real.
Not that it necessarily *will* repeat the pattern, but as Kornacki noted, this "late shift" to Republicans is building harder and faster than it did in 2014.
That year, polling missed SIGNIFICANTLY in Senate races, including North Carolina (Tillis never led), Kansas, etc.
— Rich Baris "The People's Pundit" (@Peoples_Pundit) October 19, 2022
It’s more than the polling. You can just feel it. Biden is flailing, selling off the strategic petroleum reserve in a desperate last minute attempt to lower gas prices. He can sense it, and the Team Obama running him can sense it.DONATE
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