The Independents only care about inflation. Remember, it’s the economy, stupid.
A CNBC All-America Economic Survey showed the GOP leads the Democrats by two points in a generic poll but crushes them regarding economic issues.
48% of the respondents prefer the Republicans to control Congress, while 46% choose the Democrats.
The Republicans destroy the Democrats on critical issues, though.
What are the main concerns of us plebes? Jobs, security, paychecks, and providing for our families.
Inflation is the top concern among Americans, but mostly Republicans. Democrats’ first concern is “threats to democracy,” while “immigration and border security” are the main concerns for Republicans.
Independents? Inflation and inflation only.
“We tested a number of economic issues and Republicans just kind of ran the table, all except for on the cost of health care,” said Micah Roberts, partner at Public Opinion Strategies. “If this election were just about the economy, which we know it’s not, but if it were just about the economy, this would be a complete shellacking.”
Specifically, on the issue of which party is best to control inflation, Republicans have a 15-point lead, 42-27%; they lead 40-29% on dealing with taxes; 36% to 25% on reducing the deficit; and 43 -33% on creating jobs. Democrats have a 4-point lead, 42% to 38%, on “looking out for the middle class,” but that’s down from a 12-point margin they enjoyed in 2018. They have a commanding 44-28% margin on which party is best to reduce health-care costs.
“The way things are moving overall and the way things look, it’s definitely more of an uphill climb for Democrats and maybe slightly slanted downwards for Republicans,″ said Jay Campbell, partner at Hart Research.
We’re seeing it across the country. It’s not out of the question that Republicans could win a Senate seat in Pennsylvania and Nevada. The Cook Political Report rated the Arizona, Colorado, and New Hampshire Democratic seats as “Lean Democrat.”
The Cook Political Report also rated 21 Democratic House seats as “Toss-Up.”
However, the poll found that Biden’s approval rate rose 10 points from July. It’s still below 50%, but still. That’s a big jump:
Biden’s overall approval rating improved 10 points from the July survey with 46% approving and 50% disapproving. Approval of Biden’s handling of the economy also rose 10 points, with 40% approving and 56% disapproving. While they were the president’s best numbers since 2021, the improvement came largely from increased Democratic support. Approval by independents on the economy remained unchanged from the prior poll at just 25%.
The survey discovered the view “on the current state of the economy rose 5 points” but still remains low. It also found:
Americans’ views on the current state of the economy rose 5 points from the prior survey, yet still remain at a low level. Only 16% say the economy is excellent or good, up from 11% in July; 83% call the economy fair or poor, the third straight survey where the percentage has been above 80.
On the outlook, 27% expect the economy to improve in the next year, up from 22% in July, with 45% expecting it to get worse, down from 52% in July. The 45% who believe the economy will worsen is the third most pessimistic result in the 14-year history of the survey, eclipsed only by the surveys in July and a year ago.
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