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Florida Supreme Court Leaves DeSantis Redistricting Map In Place, In Blow To Democrats

Florida Supreme Court Leaves DeSantis Redistricting Map In Place, In Blow To Democrats

538 on final national map: “The GOP is positioned for a net gain of three to five seats in 2022 just thanks to the new lines alone.”

The Florida redistricting urged by Gov. Ron DeSantis and enacted by the legislature, gives a big advantage to Republicans, wiping out much of the Democrats gains elsewhere. The last we checked in on litigation over the maps about two weeks ago, Florida Redistricting Map Netting Republicans Several Seats Reinstated By State Appeals Court:

Florida redistricting was the flip side of the original NY gains, with the map proposed by Ron DeSantis as approved by the legislature to gain Republicans 3-4 seats, DeSantis Proposed Congressional Map May Wipe Out Dems National Redistricting Advantage, Says NBC News.

The advantage DeSantis had, I wrote at the time, was that his map was developed by opposing racial gerrymandering in a district designed to keep a black Congressman in office …

The DeSantis map was put on hold by a state court trial judge who issued a temporary restraining order. Under Florida law, the TRO was subject to an automatic stay, but the trial judge lifted the stay, effectively putting the TRO back into effect and taking the map out of effect.

An appeals court today reinstated the stay pending appeal, meaning the TRO no longer is operative and the map is restored.

In a Decision earlier today, the Florida Supreme Court refused to hear the case:

Petitioners’ request for a constitutional writ is denied. “[T]he doctrine of all writs is not an independent basis for this Court’s jurisdiction,” but instead “is restricted to preserving jurisdiction that has already been invoked or protecting jurisdiction that likely will be invoked in the future.” Roberts v. Brown, 43 So. 3d 673, 677 (Fla. 2010). Here Petitioners ask this Court to intervene in the First District Court of Appeal’s ongoing consideration of an appeal of an order imposing a temporary injunction. At this time, this Court does not have jurisdiction over that matter. And it is speculative whether the First District’s eventual decision will provide an appropriate basis for this Court’s exercise of discretionary review—meaning that we cannot say that it is likely that there is any jurisdiction to protect. Assuming without deciding that this Court would have the authority in these circumstances to issue a constitutional writ, we decline to exercise such authority. All pending motions are denied and no motion for rehearing will be entertained.

Politico notes that this means no change from these maps for 2022, even if the underlying litigation continues:

The high court’s ruling comes just two weeks before candidates must qualify for this year’s elections, meaning that the legal challenge won’t be resolved in time for a different map to be in place for the 2022 elections. Florida’s primary will be held on Aug. 23.

It also freezes in place for now a new congressional map for the nation’s third-largest state that will likely give Republicans a potential 20-8 advantage in a state where the GOP has only a slight voter registration advantage. This is another big blow to Democrats’ hopes of holding onto their majority in the U.S. House.

This new map also dismantles the North Florida congressional seat held by Rep. Al Lawson, a Black Democrat.

The sky is falling!

The final national redistricting nominally nets Democrats more “Biden” seats, but the redistricting reality favors Republicans, 538 notes:

Although Republicans went into the cycle with control over drawing more districts, the number of Democratic-leaning seats actually increased as a result of redistricting. The new maps have six more Democratic-leaning seats than the old ones and the same number of Republican-leaning seats. This is due to aggressive map-drawing by Democrats in states such as Illinois as well as court decisions overturning Republican gerrymanders in states like North Carolina.

After accounting for incumbency, however, Republicans are actually the ones who have gained ground from redistricting: The GOP is positioned for a net gain of three to five seats in 2022 just thanks to the new lines alone. Republicans have benefited from their own brazen cartography in states like Florida and courts striking down Democratic gerrymanders in Maryland and New York. Republicans have also shored up their existing position by converting light-red districts into safer seats in states like Texas.

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Comments

538 on final national map: “The GOP is positioned for a net gain of three to five seats in 2022 just thanks to Ron DeSantis alone forcing the RINOs to get off their asses and actually win.”

FIFY.

Here in Florida the picture becomes a lot more grim for Democrats. They don’t have the money to compete politically, they are now behind Republicans in voter registration by 134,000 while falling deeper and their standard bearer is……Charlie Crist.

    Paul in reply to natdj. | June 2, 2022 at 8:19 pm

    Crist, who just came out today to join the circle-jerk of gun-grabbing virtue-signaling.

      natdj in reply to Paul. | June 2, 2022 at 8:42 pm

      Good Ole Charlie is seen by many of us as biggest phony in Florida Politics. The only people (they/them) who support his candidacy are nutty Democrats, Never Trump Republicans and Ron DeSantis.

    randian in reply to natdj. | June 2, 2022 at 9:55 pm

    The Florida Democrats have increased their margin of vote fraud by hundreds of thousands of votes, I’m sure they’ll manage.

    sestamibi in reply to natdj. | June 3, 2022 at 3:29 pm

    What’s even grimmer for them (and they don’t want to admit), is that they have LOST over 300,000 Dem registrations in the last year, even as Florida has added 225,000 new residents (speaking as a five-year Floridian myself). The unpleas

      sestamibi in reply to sestamibi. | June 3, 2022 at 3:31 pm

      . . . and reality for them is that all those newcomers from NY/NJ/New England who were supposed to bring their blue voting habits with them have turned out to be escapees from high taxes and housing costs, and crime. Not to mention the surge in GOP support from the minority community. Florida is barely 50% white Anglo, a share that has dropped precipitously over the last ten years, even as GOP registration has surged.

I love this man

goddessoftheclassroom | June 2, 2022 at 8:05 pm

I thank God that I was able to move to Florida last summer.

A leader who surveys the political and legal landscape before just wading in YOLO style. Pushes back effectively v hostile media. Gathers and grows support then delivers victories legislatively and judicially. Fighting is fine but anyone can do that and lose. DeSantis picks his fights and wins decisively. His fights and his victories all advance the populist right /tea party agenda. He doesn’t let personal issues enter into his decisions. We could all learn something about true selfless leadership from DeSantis.

    Paul in reply to CommoChief. | June 2, 2022 at 8:22 pm

    I love his announcement today that he intends to veto a bill giving $35 mil to the Tampa Bay Rays. Advocate for infringement of our fundamental rights? Piss off then.

      ooddballz in reply to Paul. | June 3, 2022 at 5:05 am

      The Rays donated 50k to everytown for gun grabbers.
      They can pay for their own damn stadium.

        The Gentle Grizzly in reply to ooddballz. | June 3, 2022 at 6:30 am

        ALL of the athletic teams can pay their own way. It’s bad enough the taxpayers buy them stadia to play in, but then, 12 years later, the team leaves town, and another comes in. “Twelve year old facility?!? Tear it down and build us a new one or we won’t move there.

        Side note: Los Angeles has a boxing and wrestling venue (if it is still there), called The Olympic Auditorium. With various companies buying naming rights to such places, maybe Novo-Nordisk should buy in and call it The Ozempic Auditorium?

        Just a thought…

          Grand Olympic is still there, but not as a sports or music venue. It’s a Korean language Christian Church. LA built other venues to replace the near 100 year old building.

henrybowman | June 2, 2022 at 8:15 pm

W.I.N.N.I.N.G…

Now Dems will be force to cheat harder.

    natdj in reply to Whitewall. | June 2, 2022 at 8:47 pm

    Here in Florida it is much more difficult to cheat then in a state like Pennsylvania. For instance, all Absentee Ballots by Florida Statute are to be counted by the time polls close on Election Day. No funny business like in Pennsylvania where Election Day has become Election Months. Plus, more counties are getting rid of drop boxes and now with a new Election Department created this year that would include the power like the AG to go after election fraud it makes are system better. Though not perfect and more should be done at least we no longer drag out elections for months.

DeSantis 2024!

healthguyfsu | June 3, 2022 at 12:19 am

Guess they lacked standing…or latches…or both.

Great job a Florida. It was only a few years ago there were U-haul trucks with ballots and other funny business. Now everything seems secure. Very inspiring. Now do PA, AZ and the other states with a problem.

“In Blow To Democrats”
Was Kamala involved somehow?

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