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J.D. Vance Wins Ohio GOP Senate Primary

J.D. Vance Wins Ohio GOP Senate Primary

Trump’s endorsement is still powerful in the Midwest.

**BREAKING: J.D. VANCE WINS OHIO’S GOP SENATE PRIMARY. He will face Tim Ryan in November.

At 9:39 PM ET, with 68% reporting, Vance leads with 31.3% (218,053) of the votes. Josh Mandel is in second with 24.3% (169,416) of the vote.

Vance received a huge boost from Trump last month.

Mandel and Dolan have conceded and endorsed Vance.

***Previous Reporting

It’s primary day in Ohio and Indiana, but all eyes are on the Buckeye State. It’s an important GOP Senate primary because the Senate is divided 50-50. The GOP needs the right candidate so retiring Rob Portman’s seat stays red.

But we could also see if President Donald Trump’s influence remains with GOP voters.

The polls close at 7:30 PM ET. LIVE:

Senate

Senate candidates: state Sen. Matt Dolan, businessman Mike Gibbons, former state treasurer Josh Mandel, former state party chair Jane Timken, and author J.D. Vance.

Trump endorsed Vance despite being a former “never Trump” person and saying not-so-nice things about the former president.

So why did Trump endorse him? From Cleveland.com:

“He’s a guy that said some bad s–t about me. He did,” Trump said of Vance. “But you know what? Every one of the others did also. In fact, if I went by that standard, I probably never would have endorsed anyone in the country. They all said back, but they came back.

“But I have to do what I have to do,” he continued. “We have to pick somebody that can win.”

“I like a lot of the other people in the race, but we have to pick the one that’s going to win,” Trump said. “This guy is tough as hell. He’s going to win. We have to pick him. He’s right. He’s the guy. He’s the guy.”

House

The Senate race has received the most attention but there are a few House races to watch:

Ohio’s 1st Congressional District

  • The real action in this race won’t take place until November. Longtime Rep. Steve Chabot is the default GOP nominee in his bid for a 14th term after his primary opponent dropped out last week, according to The Cincinnati Enquirer. Chabot has turned back well-funded Democratic challenges in recent cycles in his Cincinnati-area district, which became more Democratic in redistricting, going from a seat that backed Trump by 3 points in 2020 to one that would have supported Joe Biden by about 9 points. The fall election is once again expected to be competitive. Cincinnati City Council member Greg Landsman is running unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Ohio’s 7th Congressional District

  • This district was almost completely redrawn this year, transforming from a largely rural district to one that included more of the Cleveland suburbs. Republican Rep. Bob Gibbs is not running for reelection, citing frustration with the redistricting process. Former Trump aide Max Miller is the front-runner for the GOP nomination, with support from his former boss, and has dominated the field in fundraising. Podcast host Matthew Diemer is seeking the Democratic nomination, but Democrats will likely find it hard to flip a seat that would have backed Trump by 9 points in 2020.

Ohio’s 9th Congressional District

  • Republicans are looking to oust the longest-serving woman in US House history, Democrat Marcy Kaptur, in this Northwest Ohio district. Kaptur, who was first elected in 1982, has seen her district shift from a safe Democratic seat that currently stretches from Toledo to Cleveland along Lake Erie to a swing district that now pushes west from Toledo to the Indiana border. The leading Republican candidates include state Rep. Craig Riedel, state Sen. Theresa Gavarone and Air Force veteran JR Majewski. Kaptur could become the longest-serving woman in congressional history, surpassing former Maryland Sen. Barbara Mikulski, if she’s sworn into a 21st term next year. But she would first have to win reelection this fall in a district that Trump would have carried by 3 points in 2020.

Ohio’s 11th Congressional District

  • Rep. Shontel Brown and progressive challenger Nina Turner are facing off in a rematch for the Democratic nomination for a deep-blue Cleveland-area district. Biden weighed in on the race last week, throwing his support behind the incumbent. Brown, a former Cuyahoga County Council member, defeated Turner in an August special election to replace former Democratic Rep. Marcia Fudge, who left to become Biden’s secretary of Housing and Urban Development. Turner, a former state senator and close ally of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, is hoping for a different result this time in a district that no longer stretches into Akron and that would have backed Biden by 58 points. The winner will be the heavy favorite in November.

Ohio’s 13th Congressional District

  • This Northeast Ohio district is up for grabs with Democratic incumbent Tim Ryan running for US Senate. The district changed significantly in redistricting and now includes all of Akron as well as Canton. Biden would have carried it by 3 points. Democrat Emilia Sykes, a former minority leader of the Ohio state House, is unopposed in her primary. On the GOP side, Trump has thrown his support behind attorney and conservative political commentator Madison Gesiotto Gilbert, who is also a former Miss Ohio USA. Gilbert served on Trump’s 2016 and 2020 campaigns, including as co-chair of the Women for Trump coalition in 2020.

HOWEVER! Ohio could have a second primary since the state cannot agree on a new Congressional map:

That appears to be the most likely scenario. An impasse over a Republican redistricting plan that the Ohio Supreme Court rejected four times means that state legislative races will be conspicuously absent from the ballot when primary voters go to the polls on Tuesday.

Barring the last-minute intervention of the courts or the legislature, Ohio will be forced to hold a second primary, which state officials have said will most likely occur on Aug. 2.

Splitting up the primaries into two elections could cost an additional $15 million to $20 million, according to Frank LaRose, Ohio’s secretary of state, who is a Republican.

At least nine lawsuits have been filed in response to the maps drawn by the Ohio Redistricting Commission, a seven-member panel controlled by Republicans.

Democrats contend that the maps give Republicans an unfair advantage in legislative races, while Republicans maintain that they reflect the election results from the past decade in Ohio.

A three-judge federal court panel in Ohio ruled on April 20 that if the commission does not develop an acceptable map by May 28, the panel will have no choice but to require the state to use the third version of the commission’s map, even though the Ohio Supreme Court previously rejected it.

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Comments

They’re already calling it for Vance.

Trump has made some potentially questionable endorsements in Vance and Oz, but I don’t think you can deny the power of his endorsement at this point.

    CommoChief in reply to Olinser. | May 3, 2022 at 10:10 pm

    Vance seems pretty solid to me as an advocate for reshoring American manufacturing and very reluctant to engage in overseas adventures. Assuming he doesn’t forget where he came from, so to speak, and despite his 2016 DJT comments he isn’t a McConnell tool; which is why the establishment gop was all in in opposition to him. If we judge him by his opposition then he passes that test.

      Barry in reply to CommoChief. | May 3, 2022 at 10:24 pm

      “If we judge him by his opposition then he passes that test.”

      My thought as well.

      Also, Trump wants America to win and is willing to forgive when it comes to petty political issues. If you’re for America, then Trump is on your side.

      Olinser in reply to CommoChief. | May 3, 2022 at 10:58 pm

      Yes, I’m willing to give him a chance, simply the fact that all of the GOPe jackasses endorsed his opponent is a pretty big positive for him.

      jakebizlaw in reply to CommoChief. | May 3, 2022 at 11:30 pm

      Yet McConnell’s NRSC has already sent out a fundraising email touting Vance’s victory.

        henrybowman in reply to jakebizlaw. | May 4, 2022 at 1:38 am

        McConnell would offer a BOGO on his mother and sister if he thought it would bring in RINO-pot contributions.

          CommoChief in reply to henrybowman. | May 4, 2022 at 5:32 pm

          The establishment top can’t help their instincts to fundraise on issues, it’s Pavlovian at this point. Now that tea party/MAGA voters are demanding results and not just a tough guy act on Hannity it will be intriguing to watch the leadership squirm and have to produce legislative wins in proportion to the level of power they have.

Trump endorsement = winning.

Ohio is no longer a swing state, it’s solidly in the R column.

Trump 20 out of 20 endorsements

I’d Say a very good day

Now they will win amd stab him amd us in the back

    Olinser in reply to gonzotx. | May 3, 2022 at 10:59 pm

    Not sure if its true but Breitbart is saying that he’s 55-0 for his endorsements in 2022.

      henrybowman in reply to Olinser. | May 4, 2022 at 1:39 am

      Nice and all, but with Trump’s record you have to wonder how many of them will turn out to be unreliable. Republican presidents are notorious for having that problem with Supreme Court nominees; Trump seems to extend it to everybody.

PrincetonAl | May 4, 2022 at 6:03 am

He may not be the establishment RINO but I am unconvinced he gets it or is for enough policies that would address the real issues facing the country.

He has enough independent wealth not to be automatically co-opted by DC but I am a long long way from believing in this guy.

Vote him in, better than Dolan or his D opponent, but let’s see what we get.

Can’t believe in an R state like Ohio we can’t do better.

    Danny in reply to PrincetonAl. | May 4, 2022 at 10:50 pm

    He actually is from the portion of the population that is what you would call the forgotten Americans so yes he does get it.

Tucker seems to like the guy… Maybe he invited the other candidates and they refused.

Ohio is not the midwest. Voted for mandel but will probably vote for vance over whatever neomarxist dem is running. System is broken. Only voting once since republican. System is broken. Soylent green is made of people end of transmission

The first general election ad for Ohio Senator was today, by the Democrat winner, Tim Ryan.