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SHOCK POLL: Almost Statistical Tie to Recall Gov. Gavin Newsom

SHOCK POLL: Almost Statistical Tie to Recall Gov. Gavin Newsom

More pandemic double standards: Newsom pulls his son from summer camp after maskless photos surface.

I have written in my past posts about the recall effort surrounding California Governor Gavin Newsom that he was more at risk than the elite media would have us believe.

A poll by UC Berkeley and the Los Angeles Times (hardly right-wing entities) shows that California voters are now evenly split on recalling Newsom.

Californians who say they expect to vote in the September recall election are almost evenly divided over whether to remove Gov. Gavin Newsom from office, evidence of how pivotal voter turnout will be in deciding the governor’s political fate, according to a new UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times.

The findings dispel the notion that California’s solid Democratic voter majority will provide an impenetrable shield for Newsom, and reveal a vulnerability created by a recall effort that has energized Republicans and been met with indifference by many Democrats and independent voters.

The poll found that 47% of likely California voters supported recalling the Democratic governor, compared with 50% who opposed removing Newsom from office — a difference just shy of the survey’s margin of error.

Ace of Spades wrote that the 3% difference was within the margin of error, so the results can be considered a statistical tie.

This is a far different story than earlier this year, when people doubted that the recall measure would even appear on the ballot. Then Newsom decided to violate all his pandemic restrictions when having dinner at a stylish restaurant, The French Laundry.

There was a subsequent surge in the number of recall petition signatures, primarily driven by Democrats and independent voters tired of both the politicized pandemic restrictions and the hypocrisy.

Newson’s pandemic double standards may be his undoing.

Gov. Gavin Newsom removed his children from a summer camp after photos surfaced of his son attending the camp indoors maskless.

“​​The Newsoms were concerned to see unvaccinated children unmasked indoors at a camp their children began attending yesterday. Their kids will no longer be attending the camp,” the governor’s communications director, Erin Mellon, told Fox News in a statement Tuesday when asked about the photos.

California’s current guidance for children aged 2-11 states they must wear masks during “camps for youth, youth sports and other youth activities, including theater and music performances and band. Updated CDC guidance is forthcoming for youth settings.”

California officials announced July 9 that students and teachers returning to the classroom this year will also be required to wear masks, regardless of vaccination status.

Many parents are angry over forced mask-wearing and concerns that vaccination mandates or vaccine passports will follow. Newsom’s actions today merely underscore that powerful politicians who make the COVID-rules do not feel the need to abide by them.

I am confident that one or two of Newsom’s recall challengers bring up this latest incident. Don’t forget a parents group wants to end school mask mandates.

A San Diego-based parent group sued the state Thursday seeking to end California’s mask mandate for schools.

The Let Them Breathe group argued that masks hurt children’s social, mental and physical health. It said masks should be a choice for families, not a requirement.

“We’re seeing kids be more anxious, more depressed, have difficulty engaging in their education when they’re unable to see each others’ faces, share smiles, and just start getting back to life with some type of normalcy,” said Sharon McKeeman, a Carlsbad parent and founder of Let Them Breathe, in an interview.

“The bottom line is the government should not be doing parents’ jobs. We’re the parents; we know what’s best for our children.”

At this point, Newsom should look at himself. But instead, Newsom is doubling down and blaming…the conservative media.

California Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom blamed conservative media and Republicans for the recall effort against him.

On Monday, Newsom was a guest on “MSNBC Reports” to discuss the upcoming recall election. MSNBC anchor Ayman Mohyeldin used the subject to bring up Newsom’s COVID-19 policies which he admitted were “a driving force behind the recall effort.”

…Newsom blamed the number of unvaccinated citizens primarily on “overwhelming majority of misinformation by right-wing pundits.” However, he also added that these pundits are the same people behind the recall efforts in California.

I am shocked to learn “conservative media” includes Instagram accounts, in which pictures of restriction-rule-breaking are voluntarily posted.


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Statistical tie? Not to worry, a little cheating will put him over the top easily.

Well we all know what a media-reported “statistical tie” means, don’t we!
Newsom can schedule the movers now.

Real American | July 28, 2021 at 4:42 pm

Speaking of “morons”…

henrybowman | July 28, 2021 at 5:07 pm

Oh, a poll. Thank God, I thought the election had been held, and there was a statistical tie, which would ensure six more months of Democrat-nurtured uncertainty.

That Newsom is (allegedly) polling so high is evidence that California is a lost cause.

When I moved to moron jokes, the morons started complaining.

The pollsters got the 47-50 result by sorting out those they determined were likely voters based on interest and history. Without that sorting the result among all registered voters was 51-36 in favor of the Newsom.

Sounds like the recall has a chance if his opponents get their voters to the polls – however:

“Every active registered voter will be mailed a vote-by-mail ballot for the recall election.”

– California Secretary of State

The “likely voter” calculation is meaningless in such a situation.

Here’s another statistic that is not helping Hair Gel at all:

The more the politicians restrict our civil rights, the worse it gets. Not the vaccine is worse than the virus. And Hair Gel believes Democrats are okay with this. Get ready for Governor Larry Elder.

Rise in new pandemic, more mail votes, California vote harvesting, does it really matter what the actual people vote on?
I hope so.

Considering how they weight polls, this could be very bad news for the communist dictator.

When the election results are due to be certified, three little old ladies will be spotted riding a bus within two miles of the state Capitol, and the government of California will be brought crashing down.

What a low-life. He’s cut from the same oily cloth as Kamala Harris.

Newsom is counting on new COVID restrictions combined with a narrative blaming Trump supporters, making Democrats angry at their opponents and thus motivated to vote for their party. Since everyone gets a ballot there is a very low bar to voting in this election. And if there is a lockdown around Sep 1, people will be stuck at home with their ballot.