Last month I warned about post-Election Day chaos and civil unrest if the election is close, If the November election is close, expect bad things due to a surge of mail-in ballots.

That likelihood was a combination of the surge of mail-in ballots mostly from Biden supporters, normal delays in delivery of mail-in ballots (having nothing to do with the insane conspiracy theories leveled against Trump), and the high percentage of mail-in ballots that have been disqualified as non-compliant in Democrat primaries so far this year.

Combine a surprise Trump win though Biden was ahead in the polls, mail delays, election board incompetence, and massive disqualification of (mostly Biden) ballots, and you have the recipe for an eruption.

Hell, Democrats rioted at the 2017 Inauguration even though Trump won fair and square. Expect rioting, looting, arson, and violence that will dwarf what has happened so far post-George Floyd killing.

A court fight may suit Democrats just fine, it may even be part of the plan….

What if Trump loses in the midst of such a mess? Will the 82nd Airborne need to remove him from the White House? Will Trump supporters loot Target and attack courthouses. Doubtful, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be civil disruption.

Unless one candidate wins by a margin outside of delayed and disqualified ballots, there are going to be problems. Big league.

Writing about this likelihood is becoming more frequent as the polls tighten. Axio had an article today that is generating a lot of attention, Exclusive: Dem group warns of apparent Trump Election Day landslide:

A top Democratic data and analytics firm told “Axios on HBO” it’s highly likely that President Trump will appear to have won — potentially in a landslide — on election night, even if he ultimately loses when all the votes are counted.

Why this matters: Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these. This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night.

  • Imagine America, with its polarization and misinformation, if the vote tally swings wildly toward Joe Biden and Trump loses days later as the mail ballots are counted.
  • That is what this group, Hawkfish, which is funded by Michael Bloomberg and also does work for the Democratic National Committee and pro-Biden Super PACs, is warning is a very real, if not foreordained, outcome.

What they’re saying: Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn calls the scenario a “red mirage.”

  • “We are sounding an alarm and saying that this is a very real possibility, that the data is going to show on election night an incredible victory for Donald Trump,” he said.
  • “When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage,” Mendelsohn said. “It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted.”

What is the significance of all this?

Democrats are going to try to steal the election after Election Day. The way they tried to steal Florida 2000 through selective recounting until the Supreme Court stopped them. If Trump is far ahead on Election Day, there will be pitched battles in swing states to count ballots in Democrat areas that arrive late or that don’t comply with the rules, and to disqualify valid ballots in Republican areas. The “Red Mirage” theory is the excuse to try.

Having spent four years perfecting resistance litigation against Trump, there is little doubt that Democrats will try to find a judge somewhere somehow who will issue an injunction or other relief to enable this theft to take place. Such relief may not ultimately prevail, but it will further the chaos.

I don’t think we’ll get to a situation where we have to figure out what the Presidential Succession Act of 1947 means in such a situation. Because if we do, and there is no elected President by January 20, 2021, then hell will already have broken loose not because of a Red Mirage, but because of post-Election Day mischief.


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