Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio vote on Tuesday. Florida is the big trophy due to the delegates. It has 248 delegates with 219 of them being pledged delegates.

After stomping Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) two weeks in a row it looks like former Vice President Joe Biden will once again claim victory in a top delegate state.

The University of North Florida took a poll from March 5 to 10. It found that “66 percent of likely Democratic primary voters” prefer Biden. Only 22% chose Sanders:

“This is down to a two-man race and Biden is looking toward a blowout in Florida,” said Michael Binder, the director of UNF’s Public Opinion Research Lab. Sanders, he said, “is facing a do-or-die debate on Sunday if he hopes to swing the momentum.”

The poll of 1,339 Democratic likely voters “paints a bleak picture for the Sanders campaign.”

A Florida Atlantic University poll found that Biden leads Sanders 61% to 25%. He gained 19 points since January in that poll. Among those polled 10% remain undecided while 3% chose Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI).

Biden probably gained a huge lead due to his support with Latinos. A Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy poll showed Biden leading with Latino voters in Florida, 48% to 37%.

Why did this happen?

Well, Sanders pushed away Latino voters after he praised Cuban dictator Fidel Castro on 60 Minutes:

“We’re very opposed to the authoritarian nature of Cuba but you know, it’s unfair to simply say everything is bad. You know?” Sanders said at the time. “When Fidel Castro came into office, you know what he did? He had a massive literacy program. Is that a bad thing? Even though Fidel Castro did it?”

Democratic State Rep. Javier Fernandez warned Sanders that he would lose Florida if he is the Democratic nominee:

“Donald Trump wins Florida if Bernie is our nominee,” warned State Representative Javier Fernandez, a Miami Democrat. “If Bernie Sanders is atop the ticket, it’s going to make it tougher for all of us to win in Florida.”


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