“it’s unclear whether women alone are enough to power a blue wave in November”
Democrats are counting on their identity-based coalition to carry them over the finish line this fall but they could be facing a shortfall. According to more than one recent report, Latino voters are not as fired up to vote for them as the left needs them to be.
Melanie Zanona of The Hill raised this issue a few days ago:
Dems struggle to mobilize Latino voters for midterms
Democrats have a major edge when it comes to support among female voters, but they have struggled to lock down another key voting bloc: Latinos.
While midterm voter turnout among Hispanics has historically been lower than other demographic groups, many on the left have been hoping that President Trump’s hard-line immigration policies and heated rhetoric will lead to a surge of energized Latinos at the polls in favor of Democrats on Election Day.
But with less than four weeks before the Nov. 6 midterm elections, there are signs that Democrats have room for improvement with Hispanic voters…
Latinos are positioned to help decide key races in California, Texas, Arizona, Nevada and Florida, where Democrats need to notch victories in order to take back the House and Senate. And while female voters on the left are extremely fired up, it’s unclear whether women alone are enough to power a blue wave in November…
“There cannot be an expectation that people are going to vote on the outrage period,” said Jose Parra, head of the consulting firm Prospero Latino. “You need to give voters something to vote for, not just against. You can’t have the attitude that Hispanics are going to vote for us just because the alternative is horrible.”
“Because there is an alternative: it’s called staying home,” he added.
Matt Vespa of Townhall has more:
The Democrats’ 2018 Achilles Heel: Latino Voters
If Democrats want a blue tsunami, well, the Latino voting bloc is forming a massive seawall to break a possible incoming wave. Democrats are also to blame for this, which is mentioned in the piece by Alex Seitz-Wald and Benjy Sarlin. The Democratic insanity over Trump is turning off whole hosts of voters to politics. Latino voters break heavily Democratic this year in terms of preference for who should control Congress, but no one is jacked up to vote this year (via NBC News):
In Nevada, incumbent Republican Sen. Dean Heller has been able to cling to a narrow lead by keeping a healthy 38 percent of Latino voters in his camp, according to a recent NBC News/Marist poll. And in the Las Vegas suburbs, handicappers just downgraded Democrats’ prospects of holding onto the majority non-white 4th Congressional District.
Not far away in California, where Democrats are well-positioned to overcome 80 years of Republican dominance in the wealthy suburbs of Orange County, two GOP incumbents, Reps. Jeff Denham and David Valadao, look relatively strong in heavily Hispanic parts of the Central Valley.
And in Arizona, Democrat David Garcia’s campaign to become the state’s first Latino governor has struggled to gain traction, even though Clinton came closer to winning that state in 2016 than any Democrat in years.
Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel has been doing what she can to reach out to the Latino community on behalf of the GOP. FOX News reported back in March:
Like the midterms of 2010 and 2014, the outcome this fall is all going to come down to turnout.
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