New study warns of . . . solar cooling!
Another study shows a “sinking” island is actually growing.
While following climate change news for the past year, I have marveled at the lack of attention given scientific specialties outside of “climate science”, despite the fact the foci of those studies could significantly impact global weather patterns.
Take, for example, heliology (the study of the Sun). A new study released by a team from the University of California San Diego has focused on our home star. It indicates that the Sun will experience a cold period where all solar activities will be reduced drastically.
A study by the University of California San Diego has claimed that by 2050, the Sun is expected to become cool. You might think “what’s the big deal,” but remember that this means the solar activities that create the heat of the Sun to sustain life on Earth may diminish. And the last time it happened was in the 17th Century, when the Thames River froze. Scientists call this the “Maunder Minimum”.
Physicist Dan Lubin at the university and his team studied the past event and concluded that were are in for a worse case. The Sun is expected to get much dimmer than last time and, in scientific terms, it is a “grand minimum” — a time period in the 11-year solar cycle when the solar activities are at the lowest point.
According to the study, titled Ultraviolet Flux Decrease Under a Grand Minimum from IUE Short-wavelength Observation of Solar Analogs and published in the journal Astrophysical Journal Letters, this grand minimum will be 7 percent cooler than such periods from the past.
For those who want a better understanding of the Maunder Minimum, please see my previous post on the Sun’s impact on Earth’s climate.
Scientists believe that “grand minimum” is triggered at irregular intervals by random fluctuations related to the Sun’s magnetic field. Their theory is based, in part, from data gathered from other stars.
…Lubin and colleagues David Tytler and Carl Melis of UC San Diego’s Center for Astrophysics and Space Sciences arrived at their estimate of a grand minimum’s intensity by reviewing nearly 20 years of data gathered by the International Ultraviolet Explorer satellite mission. They compared radiation from stars that are analogous to the Sun and identified those that were experiencing minima.
The reduced energy from the Sun sets into motion a sequence of events on Earth beginning with a thinning of the stratospheric ozone layer. That thinning in turn changes the temperature structure of the stratosphere, which then changes the dynamics of the lower atmosphere, especially wind and weather patterns. The cooling is not uniform. While areas of Europe chilled during the Maunder Minimum, other areas such as Alaska and southern Greenland warmed correspondingly.
Lubin and other scientists predict a significant probability of a near-future grand minimum because the downward sunspot pattern in recent solar cycles resembles the run-ups to past grand minimum events.
If you like your science straight-up, the article prepared by Lubin’s team is HERE.
Another science often ignored by global warming proponents is geology, especially as it relates to plate tectonics. In that vein, another new study shows that a previously “sinking” land is actually getting bigger.
The Pacific nation of Tuvalu—long seen as a prime candidate to disappear as climate change forces up sea levels—is actually growing in size, new research shows.
A University of Auckland study examined changes in the geography of Tuvalu’s nine atolls and 101 reef islands between 1971 and 2014, using aerial photographs and satellite imagery.
It found eight of the atolls and almost three-quarters of the islands grew during the study period, lifting Tuvalu’s total land area by 2.9 percent, even though sea levels in the country rose at twice the global average.
Co-author Paul Kench said the research, published Friday in the journal Nature Communications, challenged the assumption that low-lying island nations would be swamped as the sea rose.
“We tend to think of Pacific atolls as static landforms that will simply be inundated as sea levels rise, but there is growing evidence these islands are geologically dynamic and are constantly changing,” he said.
So it appears that the only thing “settled” about science is how much good science is ignored when it fails to promote green activist dogma.
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“…please see my previous post on the Sun’s impact on Earth’s climate.”
The Sun’s impact? No, no. It’s your evil exhale of CO2 that must be taxed into oblivion to save manki…. personkind from its Malthusian dysfunction. We are the ones we’ve been waiting for!
The news about Tuvlu (and Kiribati) growing rather than shrinking is not new. I remember reading about it at least five years ago, and I think closer to ten. The whole “OMG we’re sinking, we’re all going to drown” thing has been a scam all along, with the end goal of getting visas for every citizen to Australia or NZ.
In a recent local article on the effects of “climate change” on the Outer Banks of North Carolina, the author actually admitted that parts of the northern barrier island were actually sinking, but all of the other erosion was due to sea level rise.
Can any of you armchair scientists out there explain to me how the ocean can be rising in different areas at different rates along a sixty mile stretch of beach? Honestly, with the single exception I cited above, there is no assumption of sinking land mass factored into the breathless accounts of a rising sea level. Is it dishonesty or stupidity?
The barrier island at Duck Beach, NC is sinking “faster than the ocean is rising.”
As my electrical engineer buddy tells me when I ask him about how electrical gremlins occur – “It’s effing magic”. Only he doesn’t use effing.
Concerning the differences along a stretch of beach, here are a few options …
– timing is everything (when do you measure?)
– moon phase & tides,
– nearby storms, wind direction, pressure
– poor maintenance of the the measuring equipment
– cherry picking data as well as changing the info
I remember sailing on Lake Huron and being at a marina on the Canadian side. Within a few hours, the non-floating dock went from being above water to submerged. Since tides are not supposed to impact the Great Lakes, the local explanation was that there was a significant atmospheric pressure difference between Michigan and Ontario, moving the water from one side of the lake to the other. Within a few more hours, things were back to normal.
The climate scientists also seem to ignore the effect of volcanoes and the amount of ash that spews out. Even volcanoes that are underground will impact the sea temperatures when they erupt. The Antarctica section that calved off – funny that there is an active volcano range in the sea.
Forest fires produce a lot of ash but CA won’t let people clear out dead brush and trees, creating worse fire hazard.
And, what about that launch of the Tesla roadster? I think they burned up a few gallons of fossil fuel in that launch.
“The climate scientists…”
You mean the leftist climate scientists.
It’s like saying ‘media’, without stating whether it was democrat media or not.
Explaining climate change science & rebutting global warming misinformation:
The Tesla Roadster’s carbon credits negated the rocket fuel…
Wouldn’t it be great if we found out that inside the ‘Starman’ spacesuit seated in the Tesla launched towards Mars was al gore?
If the sun went dark, the final word would be global warming will continue. In about 5 billion years the sun will expand and turn the earth into a larger version of Mercury.
Carry the G. Drop the W. Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Cooling.
Oh, and babies will still be delivered by Stork at a time and place of your Choice.
Sounds like we need climate scientists who chew about science and not about appeasing their leftist paymasters. Find a real climate study. No fudging readings. Just the truth. Guess there is no money for honesty in science. Ugh
Obviously you don’t believe in science – as every liberal will tell you if they were to read your article.
This was predicted some time ago by another group of researchers:
Research climate predictions from the early 1970s.
It was all about “Global Cooling!”