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Hillary falling in Iowa: “This feels like 2008 all over again”

Hillary falling in Iowa: “This feels like 2008 all over again”

Meanwhile, Trump leads Republican field as his favorables rise dramatically.

We know from recent polling that Hillary Clinton is in trouble in New Hamspshire.

Now she has problems in Iowa, according to a Des Moines Register poll released Saturday night:

Liberal revolutionary Bernie Sanders, riding an updraft of insurgent passion in Iowa, has closed to within 7 points of Hillary Clinton in the Democratic presidential race.

She’s the first choice of 37 percent of likely Democratic caucusgoers; he’s the pick for 30 percent, according to a new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll.

But Clinton has lost a third of her supporters since May, a trajectory that if sustained puts her at risk of losing again in Iowa, the initial crucible in the presidential nominating contest….

“This feels like 2008 all over again,” said J. Ann Selzer, pollster for the Iowa Poll.

The trendline is horrible for Hillary:

Des Moines Register Poll August 2015 Clinton Sanders Chart

Even without being in the race, Joe Biden takes 14%:

Des Moines Register Poll August 2015 Democrats Chart

Put this together with the unbelievably bad word association poll recently released by Quinnipiac, in which Clinton is most described as a liar, dishonest and untrustworthy, and it should be panic time in Clintonworld.

Poll Word Cloud Association Hillary Quinnipiac 8-27-2015

What difference does it make?

Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Donald Trump leads:

A new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll finds that Trump, the flamboyant real estate entrepreneur, has 23 percent support here. But Ben Carson, a soft-spoken retired neurosurgeon, has been a submarine, quietly cruising into second with 18 percent, just 5 percentage points from the front-runner.

Carson has the highest favorability rating of the 17 Republican candidates, with 79 percent who view him positively. Only 8 percent have negative feelings about him.

All the other candidates are grinding away in the single digits, in this order: Ted Cruz and Scott Walker (both 8 percent), Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio (both 6 percent), Carly Fiorina (5 percent), and Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul (both 4 percent)….

Bringing up the rear are Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal and John Kasich (all with 2 percent); Rick Perry and Rick Santorum (both 1 percent); and Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki (all with less than 1 percent).

Des Moines Register Poll August 2015 Republicans Chart

Here are the breakdowns of some of the top contenders. Most interesting is that Trump’s favorable are up dramatically and business-establishment types favor him over Jeb:

Trump has pulled off a reversal in how caucusgoers view him. In May, his favorability was upside down: Just 27 percent viewed him favorably and 63 percent unfavorably. Now, it’s 61 percent favorable, 35 percent unfavorable.

Business-oriented establishment types are going for Trump over Jeb Bush 30 percent to 16 percent, said J. Ann Selzer, pollster for the Iowa Poll.

Scott Walker needs a serious turnaround:

Caucus goers still really like the Wisconsin governor, but he’s no longer their first choice.

Walker gets half the vote he got in May (now 8 percent, down from 17 percent).
Even so, he is up a bit in favorability, trailing only Ben Carson in that measure.

He does best with tea party Republicans (85 percent favorable, 11 percent unfavorable).

Ketzner said: “Walker has had a rough summer. He made a great first impression but hasn’t capitalized during the spring and summer months. Iowa is a must-win state for him, and he needs to reignite his campaign soon.”

Jeb is treading water, and doesn’t excite:

Iowa Republican likely caucusgoers are tepid toward Jeb Bush, with just 10 percent saying their feelings are very favorable, Selzer said.

He’s upside down on overall favorability at 45 percent favorable, 50 percent unfavorable, including 19 percent very unfavorable.

Bush is right side up with moderates (60 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable), business-oriented establishment Republicans (64 percent/33 percent), those with household incomes of $100,000 or more (59 percent/38 percent), first-time caucus attendees (52 percent/41 percent), those with a college degree or higher (51 percent/44 percent) and those living in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, in southeastern Iowa (51 percent/44 percent).


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NC Mountain Girl | August 29, 2015 at 10:26 pm

The same magical thinking that propelled Obama into the White House seems to be behind Trump.

    Say what you will about Obama, but Trump is not a contrivance. Trump’s writings, school records, birth records are not fake. Trump’s education is not fake. Trump’s loyalty to his nation is not fake. His religion is not fake. His accomplishments are not fake. His marriages were not fake. Trump’s competence is not fake. His wealth is not fake. The Saudi government did not buy Trump’s way into Columbia and Harvard. Trump is making history on his own – in spite of attacks from those who have not.

    The GOP hack convention is a year away. We have plenty of time to vet Trump, and everyone else running. Meantime, Trump is doing the work the GOP hacks won’t do. The GOP hacks should be cleaning toilets. Better yet: they should be drinking from them.

    Ragspierre in reply to NC Mountain Girl. | August 30, 2015 at 9:58 am

    Now, see, you can’t say that. Observing the “magical thinkers” gets them all riled up because…magical thinking!

    What they don’t get is that they are using T-rump as a projection screen, very like Obama voters did in 2007-2008, but for different reasons.

    With Obama, it was a mix of his race, his artful lies, and the fact that the screen was blank.

    With T-rump it is a mix of his celebrity, his status as an outsider (who calls people names), and the fact that he has “positions” that foolish people can pick and choose from to shape him into their ideal, never mind all the other FACTS.

    I read on one of these treads the other day that T-rump speaks the TRUTH, and that he’s ONE OF US (emphasis by the poster).

    Which is just appallingly religious.

      Wait a sec… are you suggesting that declaring bankruptcy four times is not conservative?

      That someone who has been a registered member of the Democratic party as recently as a few years ago probably isn’t really conservative?

      That a guy who shamelessly leans on government funds and protections to build and maintain his businesses, a GINORMOUS crony capitalist, isn’t really conservative?

      That a guy who lies about what church he attends and is a serial adulterer probably doesn’t have the strongest moral backbone?

      He’s hitting a nerve talking about things that need to be talked about after two terms of the lying, Constitution-shattering motherfucker we have in office now, but that is ALL he is doing.

      “Make America Great Again!” is no more of a plan than “Hope and Change!” Wake up people.

      Let us pray that he fades and someone with a real chance and ability to govern can carry forward fixing the problems we face.

        Ragspierre in reply to Paul. | August 30, 2015 at 2:15 pm

        I know.

        The guy who supported Harry Reid in his last re-election is Our Savior.

        But I’m a RINO Jebite. (chortle)

        That’s just sooooo weird.

Jeb Bush called and he said that everything is going according to his plan to “lose the primary to win the general” election…

    Eventually, Bush and Clinton are going to get drunk together in a bar somewhere, bemoaning their humilations, wondering how, with all the money behind them, everything could have gone all wrong. When Hillary Clinton walks outside, she’ll be arrested and spend the night in a drunk tank prior to being arraigned in federal court the next day.

    Bush will just go home. And then he’ll go on to offer his winning advice to the next rino chasing the GOP nomination.

‘On Point’ with Gov. Sarah Palin & Sen. Ted Cruz

Palin interviews Cruz — a smile on your lips, and a song in your heart 🙂

“Liberal revolutionary Bernie Sanders…”

The idiot agenda media at work. He’s a socialist reactionary not a “liberal revolutionary.” There’s nothing liberal or revolutionary about a thing he’s ever said or done — it’s old, failed, playbook socialism.