Millennials abandon Democratic sinking ship
Last year at this time we noted the Harvard Institute for polling showed a shift in Millennials’ allegiance, Harvard Survey: Obama and Obamacare push Millennials support off cliff:
Havard’s Institute of Politics just released a devastating study showing a massive drop in support among Millennials for Obama and Obamacare.Bottom line is that Millennials don’t like Republicans, but for the first time they don’t like Obama and Democrats almost as much.Here is the key finding in the Executive Summary (at pp. 5-6):
Additionally, we found that a majority (52%) of 18- to 29- year olds would choose to recall all members of Congress if it were possible, 45 percent would recall their member of Congress (45% would not) and approximately the same number indicate that they would recall President Obama (47% recall, 46% not recall).
Harvard IOP just released its 2014 Fall Survey, and the results show Millennials abandoning ship:
… slightly more than half (51%) of young Americans who say they will “definitely be voting” in November prefer a Republican-run Congress with 47 percent favoring Democrat control – a significant departure from IOP polling findings before the last midterm elections (Sept. 2010 – 55%: prefer Democrat control; 43%: prefer Republican control). The cohort – 26% of whom report they will “definitely” vote in the midterms – appear up-for-grabs to both political parties and could be a critical swing vote in many races in November….Overall, President Obama’s job performance among America’s 18-29 year-olds has fallen from 47% (April 2014) to 43 percent (53%: disapprove), the second-lowest rating in the IOP polls since he took office (41%: November 2013). Among 18-29 year-olds saying they will “definitely be voting in November,” the president’s job approval rating is 42 percent, with 56% saying they disapprove….
The enthusiasm gap in favor of Republicans also is dramatic:
Further, compared to the last midterm election of 2010, traditional Republican constituencies seem to be showing more enthusiasm than Democratic ones for participating in the upcoming midterm elections and are statistically more likely to say they will “definitely be voting.” By a significant 12-point margin, 42 percent to 30 percent, a greater proportion of young Republicans say they are definitely going to vote in November than young Democrats, a wider margin that seen in Sept. 2010 IOP polling (38%: Republicans “definitely” voting; 33%: Democrats “definitely” voting).
The Millennial attitudes seem to be a reflection of the rising tide of anger demonstrated among the population in general, which we noted yesterday, Fear Stalks the Land:
You don’t need polls to tell you that there is a fearful, ornery mood out there.But it is confirmed by the polls, and Democrats are the primary recipients of that anger.
The loss of faith in the Obama administration is both surprising given the Obamamania of the Millenial generation, and heartening in that younger people may finally have woken up to the fact their futures have been sold out.
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