Defeatism is so last weekend.
Last week’s Democratic National Convention helped President Obama improve his standing against Republican Mitt Romney, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, but did little to reduce voter concern about his handling of the economy.
The survey shows that the race remains close among likely voters, with Obama at 49 percent and Romney at 48 percent, virtually unchanged from a poll taken just before the conventions….
Compared with the survey taken before the convention, voters’ assessments of Obama’s job performance are essentially unchanged — and in vulnerable territory — with 48 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving. Also stubbornly unchanged is the negativity around his handling of the economy: Most voters — 53 percent — disapprove of his stewardship of the economy, and strongly negative views are almost twice as common as strongly positive ones.
For more than two years, a majority of voters have disapproved of Obama in this area. Those who disapprove overwhelmingly say it is because they think he is pursuing the wrong policies, not because his efforts need more time….
The rhetorically powerful “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” question was a centerpiece of the Republican convention, and in the poll, more voters say they are worse off, rather than better, under Obama.
Oh ye of little faith.
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BEST. TITLE. EVAH!!!!
Great title. Very funny! And very true!
William, you’re getting better all the time. I, for one, have not given up. It’s going to be a close fought race down to the wire: ‘Today’s Poll Numbers’.
That’s the kind of headline I want to see everyday!
As of today, there are now fifty-seven days left until Election Day … or, as they say at Obama Headquarters, one day for every state in the Union. 🙂
I can see November 6 from my backyard!
This gives a good overview of why you need to take polling headlines with BIG grains of salt.
Oh, and remember…Collectivists LIE. Every day. It is who they are.
Legal Insurrection, turning sarcasm into an art form.
lol x 100
Well, to be fair, this is all the polls were actually doing.
You, sir, have mastered the art of sarcasm. Well done!
For me, I feel like I cannot turn on a TV or visit a blog or even news site without reading something about yet another new poll in the last day or two. If only rain fell with each poll, there’d be no droughts anywhere…. It also reminds me of the famous Seinfeld episode celebrating Festivus. George Costanza was forced into a ‘feats of strength’ battle with his dad. His line was a whimpering plea for someone to, “please make it stop…” (or close). That’s how I feel lately with polls and the endless droning analysis that follows with them.
[…] Via Professor Jacobson at Legal Insurrection: Defeatism is so last weekend. […]
I love this country and it is impossible for me to believe we as Americans will allow marxists to overtake our land. The battle to remove this threat will not be done after November 6, it must be an ongoing fight to restore America!
A statistical tie in a survey heavily favoring Democrats (33% to Republican 23% with 37% saying they are independents) does not bode well for the President at all. Double plus GOOD.
This happens every Pres election cycle. If Dems can’t win on merit, they try to baffle you with bull—-
Oversampling Dems +10
I have to admit that I was getting a little distressed about the recent polling. I guess I should have know. With oversampling, intentional skewing, threats and intimidation its basically just Democratic politics as usual.
What? You’re just now realizing that most media polls regularly over-sample Democrats? 🙂
The third column is the significant one:
Liberal lies are cheap and plentiful… but the bell of truth can not be unrung.
The Liberal Media Complex must think we Americans are as stupid as those RINOs groveling at their feet for a few scraps of approval.
I want to be disapproved by the Liberal Media Complex.
It means I stand up to their bull crap and call it like it is.
Awesome title, lol. One thing that poll points to is the value of the right’s enthusiasm to vote. They will do anything to squash that down.
By all rights no one in their right mind should consider re-electing this guy but there is a lot of folks who have a feeble connection with their right minds. I downloaded the new Woodward book last night. One word, woah. Watch the media try to bury this.
Look at the questions in detail. This is a useful poll. You can draw a map for a Romney win with this.
80% of those surveyed DISAPPROVE of Obama’s handling of the economy. That is PAST a CONSENSUS for this country.
And yet, there is no strong trust that Romney (or Paul Ryan) will handle it better.
The Repubs can and should make the point that their prescriptions for the economy are based, not just on legitimate economic theory, but on experiments performed by this country over the years, and experiments performed in the several states (good and bad results included) over the last 4 years.
Make that one point, and Romney wins.
Here’s a place to start:
A lot more people need to know about this.
Also, look at what is NOT in the poll: the scandals.
The monetary scandals involving the use of an entire sector of the budget as a slush fund for rewarding fellow-travelers, regardless of the likelihood of a useful result.
Fast & Furious, which was not just a “botched” investigation, but a gun-running scheme concocted for political reasons after the Bush administration had terminated a similar plan, because the tracking devices could not be made to work.
The story of those scandals has not been told among the Democrats. They are only showing up as examples of political gamesmanship in my local paper.
In my opinion, that’s because the AP is writing the stories. They leave out the facts and reasons why the Republicans are acting as they do. With no explanation for Republican action, it sound like the Repubs are just being unreasonable.
We need another Calvin Coolidge presidency. Cutting the government by at least fifty percent is what is needed now ( heck, 75% would be good too).
I’m in for 90 Percent Reductions!
[…] Professor Jacobson has been covering the defeatist attitude pervading the “right-o-sphere” since the weekend and ginned-up analytics showing an Obama bounce. Today, in light of a Washington Post poll, the professors says: U.S.A.! U.S.A.! …”>OMG, Romney’s back, SURGE, Comeback Kid, clutching victory from jaws… […]
[…] Destroyed By Reality Posted on September 11, 2012 9:22 am by Bill Quick » OMG, Romney’s back, SURGE, Comeback Kid, clutching victory from jaws of defeat, nothing to fear… Defeatism is so last […]
If anyone is feeling down right now, just flash back to where Reagan was vs Carter in the same time frame. Or Bush I vs. Dukakis (sp?). OR… Reagan vs. Mondale. All were in much worse positions than are current.
The first debate will be a BIG thing. O’bammy has nothing and Romney has all the red meat.
I feel very good about this race!
Look! There stands Jac
kobson like a stone wall!
Even when I don’t agree with you—especially when I don’t agree with you—, I value your methodical approach, objectivity, and intellectual honesty.
Dinesh D’SouzaIt has been proved repeatedly that Rasmussen polls are among the MOST ACCURATE of all. Unlike the lunatic-left fake polls conduced by Washington Post, NYT, abc news, cbs, and the other lamestreamers, Rasmussen does an honest, real-life sampling – not a skewed mixed designed to favor the d-cRAT socialists by INCREASING the percentage of blacks and other lunatic-left leaning groups (as PPP, GfK/AP and the Washington Post, in particular, do) or INCREASING the sampling in blue-states and cities (as the NYT and A(lways)B(iased-socialist)C(lowns), in particular do), or inflating the percentage of d-cRAT socialists in the sample (as ALL of the leftist pollsters/propagandists/LIARS do).
Proof of the superior accuracy of Rasmussen polls:
“The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate?”
Published on November 5th, 2008
Written by: Richard Dunham
Answer: Rasmussen was #1 in accuracy in political polling for Presidential election year 2008.
Believe Rasmussen – ignore the others.
Buy Rasmussen! They’re less wrong than the other guys!
All pollsters are error prone, differing only in degree. Having the highest batting average guarantees nothing for any individual at-bat.
Perhaps. But in the clutch, with the game on the line, don’t you want the one with the highest batting average?
Me, I would go for the best clutch hitter, but I get your point. 🙂
…and all the Dem-O-cRats too!
Just wait…..it’s coming….
Professor, I just did a poll! ROMNEY IS PROJECTED TO LANDSLIDE OBAMA WITH 100% OF THE VOTE. My poll is every bit as accurate as the elite media’s, too!
Alas, the Democrats will win 120% of the vote.
If you take a look at the detailed breakout, and reweight it to 36%R, 35%D, and 29%I, the question “for whom would you vote” ends up being:
49.72% Obama, and 50.17% Romney, with independents breaking for Romney 54 to 43.
Interestingly enough, one of the significant factors is that democrats break for their candidate at 94%, while republicans break for Romney at only 91% That alone accounts for an entire percentage point against Romney.