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Super Tuesday Results

Super Tuesday Results

State-by-State vote results: NY Times.

11:00 p.m. –  Santorum is up by a couple of thousand votes with 86% reporting, but the talking heads are saying some key Romney precincts are not fully reported, so it is possible and maybe likely he will eke out a very tiny win.  I’m not staying for the end.

8:36 – CBS calls Tennessee for Santorum.  Apparently Santorum was called in Oklahoma earlier, I must have missed it.  So good night for Santorum with his first two contested primary wins.

8:00 – Mitt wins Mass, but big question is, did he do it by enough or will he fall short of expectations.  No one else campaigned there, so he should get at least 90%, or it’s a failure.  (This analysis FBO awing.)

7:30 – Romney wins Vermont.  With all the states that have been called, it’s too early to talk percentages of victory as the votes reporting still is low.

7:18 – Fox News calls Virginia for Romney.  No surprise, but running now only 60/40 over Paul.  Key is if Romney gets enough of a margin to win all the delegates in each district.

7:10 p.m. CNN projects Newt wins Georgia.  No surprise there.

——————-

The polls close in Georgia and Virginia at 7 p.m. Eastern, Ohio at 7:30, and Tennessee and Oklahoma at 8.

Newt is expected to win Georgia easily.  The key for Newt is how he does in TN and OK.

The key of the night for Romney and Santorum will be OH.  Santorum has to win a primary in a big state with everyone participating, something he has not done yet.  Romney has to win the key battleground state.

Here are the Final Super Tuesday Polls.

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Comments

“Santorum has to win a primary in a big state with everyone participating, something he has not done yet. ”

like florida?

Florida: Mitt 1st, Newt 2nd, Santorum 3rd

Newt wins Georgia!

Certo!

I love me some Southern People!!! hehehehehe (I am from SC)

I voted for Newt in MA today. I didn’t think Romney should get the entire state…

Turnout is going to be very interesting today.

    abenson229 in reply to Since1776. | March 6, 2012 at 8:05 pm

    Very low in my state, MA, according to the news. I voted immediately after work and except for poll workers and detail cops the place was empty.

On twitter:

JimmyBo1313

@JonathanStein4 “Why is Ohio the big prize? GA has the most delegates!!! #Bias”……To marginalize Newts crushing victory in GA.

@NEWTGINGRICH GETS SECRET SERVICE DETAIL AT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/newt-gingrich-receive-secret-protection-203458145.html

So, Newt doesn’t have to break some imaginary line in addition to winning in Georgia like Mitt did for New Hampshire or Nevada? Interesting.

    WoodnWorld in reply to Awing1. | March 7, 2012 at 8:13 am

    Awing- Agreed. If we applied the same standards to Newt that others have applied to other candidates, him not earning 50% in his home state would be perceived as a categorical loss.

Newt Gingrich: The Truth

http://youtu.be/v6vIAXdrMPI

I almost cried!

Big Ideas – cool pic

Newt Gingrich campaigns at Space Camp in Huntsville, Ala., on Tuesday. (Evan Vucci/AP)

http://hollybailey.tumblr.com/post/18876062329/newt-gingrich-campaigns-at-space-camp-in

I voted for that looney-toon Ron Paul today. I sure wasn’t voting for Mitt! And those were my only two choices here. Some days you just can’t win…

Newt: “Rick Santorum did something very smart. He went to three states nobody was in and won them.”

theduchessofkitty | March 6, 2012 at 9:34 pm

Romney wins MA.

But of course. Let me guess: only 40 percent of Republicans there voted in that primary.

The rest of the MA electorate – make it a 70 percent Democrat advantage – cheer the results.

Surprise, surprise…

Prof, with respect: If you’re linking to the NYTimes, you’re part of the problem.

Every little bit feeds the beast. Do what you can to starve it.

O/T but saw this being retweeted and it is too delicious not to post:

“Hate to defend #RushLimbaugh but he apologized, liberals looking bad not accepting. Also hate intimidation by sponsor pullout” – Bill Maher

https://twitter.com/#!/billmaher/statuses/177186344697733120

Henry Hawkins | March 6, 2012 at 10:05 pm

Did you see the FOX reaction to Newt’s GA win and speech? They had two leads and a four person panel and all six of them not only went negative on Newt, but ridiculed him.

An old meme gathers new steam: Highlighted by FOX team: Santorum could beat Romney if Newt wasn’t running. Ignored: that Newt could beat Romney if Santorum wasn’t running.

    I appreciate Newt as much as the next man/woman. But look at Ohio, THE swing state for 2012.

    As I type this, Santorum is at 38%, Romney at 36%, and Newt at 15%.

    Unless we want Romney, I think Newt needs to drop out. And then Santorum needs to appoint him to a cabinet-level position.

    I prefer Secretary of Kicking the Media in the Ass, Repeatedly.

      Hope Change in reply to Will. | March 6, 2012 at 11:45 pm

      — and elect the man whose plan is to recite Newt’s plans. No. Being able to recite is not enough. Neither R nor S can reform Washington, D.C. and the New York – Washington Establishment Power Corridor of Crony Corruption. No, No, 900 and 99 times No.

      Newt is the man with the plan & Newt knows how to implement the plan.

      Hope Change in reply to Will. | March 6, 2012 at 11:51 pm

      Plus, Will, you definitely don’t appreciate NEwt as much as the next man or woman, because the next man or woman wants to restore our Constitution.

      So this isn’t about NEwt.

      This is about ACCOMPLISHING a set of goals.

      Santorum has done NOTHING in his life that is evidence that Santorum knows ANYTHING about planning and implementing transformative change on the scale we need to get this done.

      If you want to build a skyscraper, you get someone who knows how. Not some guy who has seen a blueprint a few times.

        Hope Change in reply to Hope Change. | March 6, 2012 at 11:52 pm

        It’s not about Newt per se. It’s about what Newt knows how to do. Master Craftsman.

          WoodnWorld in reply to Hope Change. | March 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

          And yet, with all due respect, the “Master Craftsman” can’t put together a winning campaign. How can Newt be expected to win nationally, to inspire all Americans to rally behind him if he cannot win in the primary and rally the Republicans?

    Well, I am going to have to agree with Thomas Sowell on this one, I think the odds are Obama will be re-elected. This country is too f-ing stupid to have it any other way!
    Romney = Obama Win
    Santorum = Obama Win
    Newt is the only chance we have! We NEED him to be our nominee….Mitt and Rick fall into the media trick of sidestepping the important issues and are easily diverted. Newt won’t get off topic and will expose the media and Obama for what they are.

Sarah Palin tells Fox Business Network she voted for Gingrich in Alaska caucuses. Husband Todd didn’t vote; he’s an independent. #AK

Less than 90% in Mass is a failure? Did you really say that, Professor? How many artificially ridiculous standards are we going to see this primary season?

    WoodnWorld in reply to Ryan. | March 7, 2012 at 12:45 am

    Ryan, long answer short: as many times as it takes. The Newt supporters here are going to need a day or two to process what just happened last night and a week or so to spin how “actually winning” is not as important as “really winning.”

    GrumpyOne in reply to Ryan. | March 7, 2012 at 4:43 am

    Now that Romney has captured, (you know, the state where the former guv voted for Newt), Alaska I think that the final act of this long saga is beginning to play out with the Romney win in Ohio.

    Finally something is going my way in the preliminaries of the GOP nomination process since Reagan left office. After the unwarranted assault on Cain, my next choice was Romney because both shared a non-political resume of successful executive management.

    I know that a lot of folks are disappointed, but it’s time to begin a new focus on the needed eviction of the current members of the Chicago mob who are in charge in DC and put your signature on the eviction papers to be served in November.

      Terri in reply to GrumpyOne. | March 7, 2012 at 5:59 am

      WoodnWorld, Ryan, Grumpy –

      Please enlighten us with your wisdom on HOW Romney will beat Obama?

        WoodnWorld in reply to Terri. | March 7, 2012 at 6:04 am

        You first. Never mind the general election, someone, anyone, tell us how any other candidate, Newt particularly, can win the primary after last night.

          Terri in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 6:05 am

          You can’t answer can you?

          WoodnWorld in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 6:33 am

          Can’t answer? No. Won’t answer. There is a difference. There is also no need to, tactically, right now.

          Anyone could lay out any hypothetical set of scenarios here where Romney beats Obama in November. That same person could cite numerous polls, selectively cherry pick certain authors, certain websites and certain historical precedents to buttress the case; it wouldn’t move many of you one inch right. Some of you will see only what you want to see, will embrace only what you want to agree with and will dismiss anything you don’t agree with out of hand. In my opinion, some of you are not thinking clearly right now. Give it a couple weeks, a couple months. Let things develop. Then we will have that debate.

          The bottom line is this: there will be plenty of time to make an argument comparing the Republican candidate to Barack Obama. That time is not now. As long as the current field is clouded, so too will people’s objectivity about the matter be clouded as well. When there is only Us and Them, I believe people will be better situated to see who the real enemy is.

          Terri in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 7:12 am

          Guess what? It isn’t over. Not even close. If Mr. Electable was so gosh-darn electable, why can’t he close the deal? Why does everyone else have to drop out so he can “win”? Why do we all have to compromise our principles to drag Mr. Electable’s sorry ass across the finish line?

          WoodnWorld in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 8:08 am

          Terri- Ah, but he is closing the deal. Slowly but surely, the noose is tightening on this thing.

          Everyone else doesn’t have to drop out so he can “win.” As long as he stays on pace, he will win the whole thing with or without a crowded field. Even if you magically created a “super” candidate and gave that person all of the delegates everyone else, other than Romney, has earned, that person would still be behind Mitt by a significant margin. He has won both a plurality and a majority of the delegates so far. That is all this primary is, a race to one delegate more than half (1144) of the total (2286). The winner doesn’t need to sprint; they just have to win.

          You don’t have to compromise your principles. You can vote for whomever you choose and still look yourself in the mirror at the end of the day. As far as dragging anything across the line, it looks as though the Romney camp is dragging your bottoms past the marker, in spite of the hissing and clawing and dragging of paws, not the other way around. (I won’t say they are “sorry” as I have no doubt you all have very nice bums.)

      WoodnWorld in reply to GrumpyOne. | March 7, 2012 at 6:20 am

      Re: disappointment- As much as I really want to engage in a little Schadenfreude and twist the knife over Newt, I both understand and am sympathetic to what many might be feeling right now. I prefer Newt over Rick and would have liked to see the former outperform the latter last night.

      At some point this primary will be over. When it is, current candidate preferences aside, this blog will continue to offer some of the best political and legal analysis out there and I am confident that the perspectives provided here will greatly aid in the very much needed eviction you mentioned earlier.

theduchessofkitty | March 7, 2012 at 12:23 am

Romney wins VT.

As if VTers were to vote for Romney in November… Please!

StephenMonteith | March 7, 2012 at 12:59 am

So, Gingrich wins Georgia and Santorum wins Tennessee and Oklahoma. Romney, meanwhile, comes in second in both states. This, to me, means two things: One, Mitt is competitive in the south, and two, Gingrich has only finished ahead of Mitt twice since the election season started. He’s a regional candidate, and not even doing very well in his region. Santorum, on the other hand, has beaten Romney in a number of states, in the south, the midwest, and the west, and has been more competitive than Gingrich against him in others. So, yes, Santorum is a better “anti-Romney” than Gingrich.

    GrumpyOne in reply to StephenMonteith. | March 7, 2012 at 4:49 am

    But Santorum like Gingrich has made serious gaffs, is a DC insider and has a checkered voting record. I don’t see a path for either Santorum OR Gingrich at this point.

    It’s time to focus on Obama and try and find some cunning GOP media specialists that can deal with their MSM cohorts in kind. This battle will now be fought in mainstream and the only way to make headway in a hostile environment is to out maneuver them at ever corner.

    Obama has so many failures that is is hard to choose where to start but start we must and we must leave no stone unturned to uncover every hiding liberal out there…

saveliberty | March 7, 2012 at 4:32 am

Professor, I live in MA. I wasn’t expecting to be undecided. I was glad to support Newt when he campaigned against Obama, which is one of his strengths, but was discouraged when he took the road to “fight” allegations instead of focusing on the arguments against Obama.

I thought about Romney’s business experience.

Then I compared his record in office with Newt’s.

I voted for Newt.

Romney barely won Ohio after spending millions in negative ads and worse yet, even when the fix was in for him, he only got 59% of the vote in Virginia against Paul.

So with all his Wall Street money and all those DC elites backing him, that’s the best he can do and that’s nothing to write home about.

    WoodnWorld in reply to Say_What. | March 7, 2012 at 7:45 am

    If Newt had the money, he would spend it. He doesn’t. Romney won Ohio after being down double digits, what, just a week ago? Michigan? Same thing.

    Knocking Romney for not winning by a large enough margin to satisfy the ever-changing metrics here does nothing to assuage the very harsh fact that Newt has an extremely hard time even coming in second outside of his regional stronghold.

      Say_What in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 9:29 am

      This is not about a metric. If a candidate with all the advantages can’t solidify his base, we are headed for an open convention Woodn where anything can happen.

Romney is going to have difficulty going against Obama. RomneyCare disqualifies him because there is the Op-ed article in USA Today that has him talking about the individual mandate that he can’t walk back.

If you elect a moderate, they always lose. Think McCain, Dole. It will happen with Romney as well.

We can’t afford to lose in 2012. This is serious. Newt and Rick absolutely need to get together. They need each other. I know those words aren’t what a lot of people want to see, but Romney has to be taken out.

That candidate is solidifying his base. Apparently, you and many others like you just aren’t a part of it, yet. Every time one of the “not-Romneys” falls from their perch, Mitt picks up a handful of their supporters. If you look at the average of RCP’s purple trendline, Romney has been steadily climbing for months whereas all the alternatives have done is spike and freefall.

The hopes for an “open” convention are becoming increasingly, mathematically, unlikely. Romney has earned more delegates than everyone else combined. That’s all he needs to do. If he continues to do so, he will win. The only real question that remains is, how long will it take him?

    WoodnWorld in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 9:52 am

    ^^(Was supposed to be a response to Say_What.)

    raven in reply to WoodnWorld. | March 7, 2012 at 10:47 am

    “The only real question that remains is, how long will it take him?”

    What you said a month ago when professing neutrality.

    No, the only real question is how much money he has left to keep his leaden candidacy afloat. He’s spent $200 million so far ($45 million of his own). He spent $20 million on Super Tuesday. He outspent Santorum 6:1 in Ohio.

    Without massive and out-sized proportions of money, he’d fade into the colorless background of mediocrity he came from.

    That is, no natural, self-generating and self-multiplying constituency of passion.

    Unsustainable Mitt.

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