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Gov. Scott Walker looking strong in early recall polling

Gov. Scott Walker looking strong in early recall polling

Come on Cheeseheads.  So what if your team isn’t going to the Super Bowl, we need someone to get us out of the funk.  Or at least me.

I’ve long predicted that a Scott Walker win in the recall will be the perfect launch to the presidential campaign against The One.

Looks like Gov. Walker is doing okay in some early polling.  Remember, someone specific will have to run against him if the recall petitions hold up. When a name is put up against him, he does well (h/t @CharlieSykes):

Gov. Scott Walker holds single-digit leads over several potential Democratic opponents in hypothetical recall matchups, according to a new statewide poll.

The poll was conducted Jan. 19-22 for the Marquette Law School by Charles Franklin, co-founder of pollster.com and a visiting professor at Marquette, on leave from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. The law school plans to poll throughout the year.

In the survey of 701 registered voters, Walker leads his 2010 opponent, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, 50% to 44%. He leads former Dane County executive Kathleen Falk 49% to 42%. He also leads two other Democrats, former congressman Dave Obey and state lawmaker Tim Cullen.

In the poll, 51% of voters approved of Walker’s performance, while 46% disapproved. Those numbers are better for Walker than in other public polls in recent months.

In the same statewide poll, President Obama leads Republican Mitt Romney in a hypothetical matchup 48% to 40%.

The full poll is here:

Walker already has been raising big money, and spending big money:

A quirk in the state election law means donors can contribute unlimited sums to a recall target until petition signatures are verified, and Walker has raised $4.5 million in just five weeks. A million of that total came from just four people. Sixty-one percent of Walker’s contributions came from out of state.

But Walker has also been spending money — more money than he raised. In the same five weeks, the governor spent $4.9 million, a large chunk of it on TV and radio ads and direct mail solicitations. The unlimited funds must be spent before the recall is official (unless used for legal challenges).

You can find all the links to donate and support Walker at the Focus Page.

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Comments

With the Lord’s help Gov. Walker will conquers his opposition.

Henry Hawkins | January 25, 2012 at 4:59 pm

In that Walker’s work is a model for all states, donation sent.

How much has his opposition raised? I’d love to see the unions again blow a ton of money in Wisconsin.

    alan markus in reply to Henry Hawkins. | January 25, 2012 at 5:54 pm

    Henry, you might like reading this:

    Dems fear union cash drain in Wisconsin

    Organized labor’s plans to spend heavily to recall Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) has sparked angst on the left that the effort will come at the expense of Democrats in other states.
    ………………………………………………..
    But the Wisconsin fight will consume far more resources. This is a stomach-churning prospect for Democrats and their allies because the labor expenditures could come just months before the general election, when money will be needed for more important battlegrounds such as Ohio and Florida.
    ………………………………………………….
    A decision by labor unions to spend millions on a state-level political battle means Democrats will have that much less outside money helping President Obama and congressional candidates this fall.

      More bad news for the unions at the state level — The Indiana House just passed Right-To-Work legislation to match the State Senate’s action from last week. Governor Daniels will sign the bill before the Super Bowl in order to put off the threatened union protest at Lucas Oil Stadium.

      Henry Hawkins in reply to alan markus. | January 25, 2012 at 7:03 pm

      Oh, I might indeed. If you were here, Alan, I’d kiss you smack on the lips for that.

      Every Republican governor in the US who hasn’t already done so ought to start similar legislation in their respective states, even if defeat is likely, to further stress the union checkbooks in these months leading up to November. Helps in every race, top to bottom.

If Walker survives the recall, he instantly becomes a contender and heavy favorite for President in the next few Presidential election cycles. The Democrats, like with Palin and Gingrich, know and ALWAYS tell us who they fear. That’s the core and unspoken issue beneath the rage at Walker from Wisconsin and national Democrats.

    Yes, but they don’t fear them because they find them more formidable since they largely have the same conventional electability feelings about each person as Republicans, but because, even if the chance of them winning is much smaller, if they in fact did win, their heads would collectively explode.

I appreciate that the good Governor has a single-digit lead, but a double-digit lead would be better. The unions have yet to blow all that money, and I’m a little worried that when they flood the airwaves and get their goons thugs muscle street game going that the lead is going to narrow.

huskers-for-palin | January 25, 2012 at 9:38 pm

Hey unions, ever heard of the “Battle for Stalingrad? You’re the Germans…get a clue.

1. I have been posting that the Wisconsin economy will materially affect Walker’s prospects. That’s not what a recall is supposed to be about, but it is what it is.

2. The state economy was the centerpiece of Walker’s campaign. Unfortunately, the WI private sector has lagged the recovery (what there is of it) of the nation’s private sector. Last week, however, WI had the country’s largest drop in unemployment claims. That’s a favorable straw in the wind for Walker because IMO voters’ perception of the future counts more than their perception of the present.

3. Iirc I have posted links in support of the above claims. Unfortunately it is prohibitively difficult to track those posts down. National Review allows registered commenters to track their posts. IMHO that or, better, a comment search capability would be welcome as this site continues to grow.

For that matter, a point-and-click capability to enter hyperlinks would probably result in more hyperlinks in comments, to the continuing betterment of this site.

    JackRussellTerrierist in reply to gs. | January 26, 2012 at 12:48 am

    “Last week, however, WI had the country’s largest drop in unemployment claims.”

    I think this is even more important than you note in terms of the recall. Any sign of improvement, and this unemploment drop is significant, will translate to many percentage points in Walker’s favor. People vote their pocketbooks, especially when they’re struggling. This is a very big deal.

I lived in Wisconsin from over 25 years, and have a pension coming one day from there. I am now living in the state I grew up in, graduated from high school and college in, and where my parents still live. So I am one of those out-of-state-Walker-supporters. Wisconsin taxes retirees pensions. I knew lots of teachers who taught in Wisconsin and lived and retired in Illinois, to avoid the taxes. Reap what you sow, baby.

A caveat: It’s best to live far enough north in Illinois to get services from a Wisconsin utility company. What a person saves in taxes they lose in utilities bills. Figures, doesn’t it, that a state with a corrupt and inefficient government like Illinois would have corrupt and inefficient regulated utilities.

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