The Illinois Senate has just approved the massive income tax hike, two days after the House approved it. This bill will permanently raise the income tax 32% from 3.75% to a little under 5%. It also raises the corporate tax rate from 5% to 7%.

Republican Governor Bruce Rauner vetoed the bill this afternoon. The Senate voted to override Rauner’s veto 36-18. Now the bills go back to the House, which will vote tomorrow.

Rauner posted this update on his Facebook

https://www.facebook.com/GovRauner/photos/a.337331063140023.1073741829.313710615502068/676858049187321/?type=3:

Here is the roll call on the override votes:

The Senate voted 36-18, with one Republican voting yes and two Democrats voting no.

From The Chicago Tribune:

Under the tax measure, the personal income tax rate would increase from the current 3.75 percent to 4.95 percent, which would generate roughly $4.3 billion. An increase in the corporate income tax rate from 5.25 percent to 7 percent would bring in an additional $460 million. The surplus revenue could be used to cover the cost of borrowing to pay down unpaid bills, Democrats said.

The legislation also would reinstate the research and development tax credit, which would expire in 2022, and increase the earned income tax credit for low-income families. It also would end several corporate tax breaks, including those for companies that operate on the continental shelves or shift production out of state.

The Tribune mentioned a little reported part of the bill:

An accompanying budget plan, which the Senate also quickly approved 39-14, would have the state spend a little more than $36 billion, about $4 billion more than it currently takes in from taxes.

Wait a second. The government wants to spend MORE than it brings in? Another prime example that the two houses have no desire to actually fix Illinois’s financial problems.

Here’s the other problem with that. You want to spend more than what you bring in, which means you need a loan. As I have blogged numerous times, Illinois’s credit rating is JUST ABOVE JUNK.

Fitch Ratings and S&P Global Ratings have urged “Rauner to accept” the bill when he receives it. Of course Democrat House Speaker Mike Madigan cheered at this idea, but Fitch told him to calm down:

Fitch wants to see a full-year spending plan, not a stop-gap measure like the one that financed Illinois’ government for just the last six months of 2016.

“Temporary or partial measures, or a failure to enact a budget within the context of this session, would result in a downgrade,” it said.

S&P also stated that “long-term damage has already been done.” From The Chicago Tribune:

“Even with a budget, however, it’s likely that Illinois’ finances would remain strained and vulnerable to unanticipated economic stress,” the agency said. “In addition to having accumulated record amounts of payables, the state’s university system has been deprived of state funding since January 2017. If a budget is enacted, the degree to which it closes the state’s structural deficit, provides a pathway for addressing the backlog of unpaid bills, and its impact on cash flows, will be important factors in our review of its effect on Illinois’ credit quality.”

But even if the ratings agencies don’t downgrade Illinois, the state still holds a crap rating, which will make it harder and more expensive to receive loans.

Veto

As mentioned above, Rauner has officially vetoed the bill. But the House may have the votes to override the veto since it passed the bill 72-44. Illinois legislative rules state:

(c) The house to which a bill is returned shall
immediately enter the Governor’s objections upon its journal.
If within 15 calendar days after such entry that house by a
record vote of three-fifths of the members elected passes the
bill, it shall be delivered immediately to the second house.
If within 15 calendar days after such delivery the second
house by a record vote of three-fifths of the members elected
passes the bill, it shall become law.

After the House passed the bill, Madigan acknowledged that Rauner will probably try “to change the minds of 15 House Republicans who joined a 72-vote supermajority” to pass it. Madigan needs those 72 votes to override the veto.