With hope for Republican victory in Pennsylvania, via Real Clear Politics, h/t Charles:
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Obama (D) | Romney (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/1 – 10/9 | — | — | 47.8 | 43.3 | Obama +4.5 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/9 – 10/9 | 500 LV | 4.5 | 51 | 46 | Obama +5 |
| Philadelphia Inquirer | 10/4 – 10/8 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 42 | Obama +8 |
| Susquehanna | 10/4 – 10/6 | 725 LV | 3.7 | 47 | 45 | Obama +2 |
| Siena | 10/1 – 10/5 | 545 LV | 4.2 | 43 | 40 | Obama +3 |
This is cruel and usual punishment.
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Comments
Yeah, the administration helped themselves by not releasing those fracking regulations before the election. If everyone knew (rather than just suspecting) theat they’ll curtail oil and gas then Pittsburgh would go along with the T thus giving Romney Pennsylvania.
Ultimately it’s going to come down to turnout. That’s the one thing polls can’t measure accurately.
Torment:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q34z5dCmC4M
It’s a trap!
As a Pennsylvanian, I’m not quite so sure that the state can’t be won. I’m not going to tell you that it will be easy, but the enthusiasm is high in the traditional GOP-leaning areas and flat in the Dem areas (outside of Philadelphia). The key is getting the congenital Dems in the coal regions (northeast, southwest)… who have more in common with the GOP than with the elites who now run the D party… and in getting sufficient buyers’ remorse in the Philly burbs. I’m seeing signs that the latter is happening, and hearing from kinfolk that the congenital Dems are now open to RR.
Unfortunately, Tom Smith isn’t the most “energetic” of GOP Senate candidates, but Democrat Bob Casey (AKA Senator Zero) has been running a totally negative Tom Smith TV campaign.
Casey has done nothing, claimed nothing, promised nothing.
You really have to wonder why anybody would want to be a “rubber stamp,” but that is Bob Casey.
So you can’t allow yourself optimism because of your fear of being disappointed. You sure you ain’t Jewish or sumptin, Perfesser?
After all, the mighty state of New Hampshire seems to have come to its senses and shifted to Romney, and Indianapolis beat Green Bay, so don’t give up just yet…
[BTW, as a resident of Manchester, NH, I never could understand why people put it in the lean-D camp. Based on the highly sensitive and accurate yard-sign statistic it was obvious it was moving to the R side for a while. Now if we can just control the double-voting out-of-state university students…]
With the latest polls looking good in Florida and really, really good in Virginia, Romney should go for it.
What’s the Matter with Rhode Island?
Next week the news will be reported that the COLA increase for Social Security recipients will be only about 1.4%. Considering the increase coming for Medicare Part B of close to 10%, that will wipe out the small increase for most seniors. This is not going to sit well, since most seniors’ income is spent on food, gas, and healthcare, all of which have much larger inflation increases than 1.4%. This helps to explain why Florida is becoming a lock for Romney. And it could make the difference in states such as Pennsylvania.
One can only hope, because it’s disturbing to believe that so many people agree with BO’s policies, way of thinking and reasoning, the direction he would take this country, in addition to his attitudes and beliefs about our nation with its place in the world. Surely, practical and reasoned people out weigh those who are not in PA, as well as those in other “border” states?!
“MITTMENTUM”
The thing is that if PA is legitimately in reach – and it might be, although some of the polls have Obama at or over the magic 50% level – then we are probably winning even without it.
It is impossible to conceive of PA going Republican unless Ohio also does, and if we win Ohio, we will win.
From patton
There is a time to take counsel of your fears, and there is a time to never listen to any fear.
Thus
Go big or go home
and
Ride right through them, they are as demoralized as hell