Jews are a core Democratic liberal constituency, except for Orthodox Jews.
In the greater New York City area, there is a demographic time bomb for Democrats in the form of a surge in Orthodox Jewish children who now constitute over 60% of all Jewish children in the region:
The New York City area’s Jewish population is on the rise again, thanks largely to the growth of Orthodox households.
The number of Jews in the city and three suburban counties jumped to 1.54 million, up from 1.41 million a decade ago, according to a comprehensive population survey released Tuesday by the UJA-Federation of New York.
In New York City specifically, the Jewish population, which in 2002 was found to have dipped below 1 million, now stands at 1.086 million …
While 32 percent of the area’s Jews live in Orthodox households, Orthodox households are now home to 61 percent of the area’s Jewish children — a staggering statistic, said Brandeis University’s Jonathan Sarna.
“It serves as a reminder that while we talk about intermarriage, singleness/childlessness among non-Orthodox Jews may actually be a far more important long-term trend,” he said.
Change will come, but it will take a decade or more to be felt at the polls.
In the meantime, I’m slowly coming around to the view that maybe there is a possibility of a chance that the Democratic strangehold on Jewish voters is breaking.
I’ve resisted polling showing Jewish support for Obama slipping as contrary to my life experiences, but it is so bad on so many fronts that even the Jews seem to be coming around to reality (via Israel Matzav):
President Obama’s support among Jewish voters in the state of New York has dropped 22 percentage points in only a month, according to the results of a just released poll.
The poll, conducted by Siena College, finds that currently President Obama has the support of 51 percent of Jewish voters, while 43 percent are opposed to him. Five percent are undecided. That means, Obama’s lead among Jewish voters is at 8 percentage points.
Previously, in Siena’s May poll, Obama had the support 62 percent of Jewish New Yorkers, while 32 percent opposed him. That means, last month, Obama’s lead among this group of voters was at a strong 30 percentage points.
My people are letting go!
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“Let my people go!”
I’ve read that somewhere…
PharaObama?
Left/liberals no longer the dominant political force in Judaism?
Dayenu indeed.
Re-tweeted the EBM, well changed just a little so it good get thru the portal censor! Charge! 🙂
The support that Obama has had among Jews and Catholics baffles me. I do not understand what connectedness they have with him and his politics. It would seem to me that both groups would be especially sensitive to and cautious about anything suggestive of a personality cult, communism/socialism, fascism, or any other -ism antithetical to their religious beliefs.
I never have claimed that I’m the swiftest oar in the water. However, I don’t believe that I’m the slowest. It (Obama and Jews and Catholics) doesn’t add up to me. I do hope that a shift, even if a modest one, is taking place.
* GRIN * ….I don’t know why but I just had this picture flash into my head with the good Professor as Moses crossing the desert or Manhattan
Yeah but, can you imagine the permits and permissions and how many government agencies Moses would have to deal with in order to part the Hudson river.
boggles the mind
I’m lovin’ this. When I read that poll a few hours ago I posted it on Twitter so fast that I failed to mention the oh-so-awesome fact that these are not just any Jews, but Jews who live in the super-liberal State of New York.
🙂 🙂 🙂
“You can’t fool all of the Jews all of the time.” (But sadly, you can fool some of the Jews all of the time.)
I wish I could go along with the enthusiasm (and optimism). But the fact is that most Jews are secular, and their religion is liberalism. They (we) don’t know any better than to pull the lever for the same party their great grandparents did (for no discernible reason) in FDR’s day.
In their ear where the Torah and Talmud aren’t is a voice that whispers, “It’s a shonda” to vote Republican. At least 70 percent will vote for Obama and feel swell about it. Sigh.
And I hate to say it, but when some prominent Jew goes out for Dear Leader and stokes their Jewish guilt about their not voting for the Party of FDR, those numbers will start to evaporate.
It’s a little too early to take comfort in those numbers. If it were October 31, then I’d say the numbers are encouraging.
The statistic about the high percentage of liberal Jews who are childless actually brightened my day when I thought of how many DINK liberal couples there are. Because it’s not just Orthodox couples who are having children: it’s cultural and political conservatives as well.
The Bi-coastal, ultra-liberal, uber-trendy, professional Boomer couples (the ones who populate every Woody Allen movie ever made) have irrevocably lost the demographic socio-political war which they and their handmaiden the traditional media have waged against conservatives for 40 years. Because while they’ve chosen not to have children so that they could maximize their self-actualization, they were at the same time self-selecting for extinction.
And at the same time traditional conservative married couples in flyover country – the ones whom all the movies, “papers of record” and “important” magazines have ignored as inconsequential – have been having 2-4 kids for the last three generations.
We win.
They know it. Which is why they are so desperate for more illegal immigration.
We can’t congratulate ourselves until we control the schools and universities to prevent them from perverting our fruit.
What’s really cool is how sometimes the young Orthodox Jew having all those babies turns out to be the offspring of a bi-coastal, ultra-liberal, uber-trendy, professional Boomer couple straight out of a Woody Allen movie. Where did they go wrong?
The “Plopping Jews” haven’t been …
[…] Professor Jacobson seems particularly thrilled about another demographic breaking away from the blue…And Lonely Conservative reports on a poll in which Obama is losing 25% of the black vote. […]
Best headline I’ve seen in a long while!
Talk about people letting go — A new poll shows OBAMA LOSING 25% OF THE BLACK VOTE.
Only a Communist mulatto president could, by the unemployment disaster created by his economic policy of destroying America, provide the incentive and stimulus for black people to liberate themselves from the Democrat plantation. When Obama leaves office in 2013, all across the fruited plains, there will be joyful shouts of “Free at last, thank God Almighty, we’re free at last!”
The Lord told Moses what to do, My people are letting go;
To lead the children of Israel through, My people are letting go.
Go down, Moses, way down in Egypt’s land,
Tell old Pharaoh: My people are letting go.
This was everyone’s favorite hymn to sing at school. We would shout “LET MY PEOPLE GO!”
Great suggestion from ncmont:
The Lord told Moses what to do, My people are letting go;
To lead the children of Israel through, My people are letting go.
Go down, Moses, way down in Egypt’s land,
Tell old Pharaoh: My people are letting go.
Good suggestion from ncmont:
When Israel was in edict land, My people are letting go;
Oppressed but they did not understand, My people are letting go;
Go down, Moses, way down in edict land,
Tell old Pharaoh: My people are letting go.
The Lord told Moses what to do, My people are letting go;
To lead the children of Israel through, My people are letting go.
Go down, Moses, way down in edict land,
Tell old Pharaoh: MY PEOPLE ARE LETTING GO!
l can sense a dawning hope that has been too long dormant in your post Professor. Can it be demographics will bring your people out of bondage? lt would be cosmic justice if the secular jew were to spend his dotage on his porch listening to the cries of Orthodox children at play.
Maybe it is the fact that those of the Jewish faith are realizing that putting being liberal above their faith has serious long term ramifications to their financial well-being? Maybe it is Obama’s pathetic treatment of Bibi. Maybe it is because he has not been to, nor defended Israel?
I can remember in 2008 some Republicans did a small street march through Manhattan.
People in sidewalk cafes were laughing at them & worse.
Jews are just part of NY -they are no better & no worse.
As someone who has followed Crown Heights since 1991 -I am seeing there has been some individuality since mid 2010. An east Synagogue was forced to cancel an Al Sharpton (!!!) address on the 20th ‘anniversary’ mostly on the outrage of Yankel’s brother in Australia & Melbourne’s Jewry. Some of us will never forget.
NY Jews have a lot of work to do to clean up their own corruption cabal.
Excellent news on two fronts. First, that Obama’s support is dropping amongst our people. Secondly, it shows that our people are finally getting (or using) some seichel (common sense).
And thank you Professor for making me blog of the day. 🙂
Found on Theo Spark’s (if this works):
OK, it didn’t. The image is here:
http://www.theospark.net/2012/06/are-jews-turning-on-obamafrom-mike.html
Something on the order of two years ago it seems, a Deemocrat pundit wrote that Obama was destroying the Deemocrat Party.
I thought at the time he was right, and events have certainly borne that out.
http://www.businessinsider.com/barack-obama-african-american-vote-black-north-carolina-2012-6
The American people are not a stupid people, though sometimes we make stupid choices. We still learn. Hopefully we learned enough and quickly enough.
[…] His support from the Jewish communitiy is dropping. Implosion, I tell ya. Share this:TwitterFacebookTumblrStumbleUponMorePrintDiggEmailLike this:LikeBe the first to like this post. […]
Professor Jacobsen, President Obama has done more to breaking the stranglehold than we could have ever imagined. One of the best books to read on this subject is Norman Podhoretz’s “Why Are Jews Liberal” (Doubleday), covering among other subjects, FDR worship,the NYT as Torah, the Reform Rabbinate joining Sarah Silverman in 2008 to “schlep” for Obama, etc. For a less erudite treatment of the subject, check out S.G. Lawrence’s parodies of Debbie Wasserman Schultz launching “Operation NO EXODUS From the Democratic Party in 2012.”
1.) DNC Chair Wsserman Schultz Launches “Operation NO EXODUS” to Retain Jewish Voters http://thewashingtonfancy.com/2011/01/02/6718/6718
2.) DNC Chair Wasserman Schultz Channels Paul Newman to No Avail in Operation NO EXODUS http://thewashingtonfancy.com/2012/05/25/dnc-chair-wasserman-schultz-channels-paul-newman-to-no-avail-in-operation-no-exodus/11712
3.) Wasserman Schultz Signed Obama Up to Volunteer at Israeli Kibbutz This Summer http://thewashingtonfancy.com/2012/05/30/wasserman-schultz-allegedly-signed-obama-up-to-volunteer-at-israeli-kibbutz-this-summer/11749
[…] in the face of Israel, it is a wonder how it has not fallen further. Could it be true, is it as Legal Insurrection says, could the NY Israelite be breaking the political chains of bondage? President Obama’s […]
[…] And it’s not just Black Americans I’ve resisted polling showing Jewish support for Obama slipping as contrary to my life […]
The recent growth of Orthodox Judaism is fascinating. Many years ago when I was with a Jewish owned CPA firm some of the Reform Jews were actually quite embarrassed when everyone in the office and quite a few clients were invited to attend an Orthodox wedding. The groom was one of the managers. He had been from a non observant home and had adopted Orthodoxy in his early twenties with the usual fervor of a convert. At the wedding some of the Reform Jews kept telling us gentiles what we were watching was not representative of Judaism.
The groom seemed to be ahead of a trend. As it has turned out many of the children of those Reformed Jews who were poking fun at age old rituals either married gentiles or returned to a form of Judaism that values dogma and tradition.
[…] Israel Matzav & Legal Insurrection we see the President’s numbers are apparently dropping in more than just the Black community: […]
[…] Israel Matzav & Legal Insurrection, we see the President’s numbers are apparently dropping elsewhere than just the Black […]
What about the 51% that still support Obama and the liberal Democratic party agenda. They are liberal Jews that unfortunately just do not get it. Only until they are told by someone with a loudspeaker to go into the streets and bring only 1 suitcase with them, will they then understand, but by then, it will be too late, as usual. They mine as well just support, finance, and vote for Hitler’s re-election. That’s how serious this is. Do these liberal Jews not learn anything from Holocaust..
[…] Israel Matzav & Legal Insurrection we see the President’s numbers are apparently dropping in more than just the Black community: The […]
With every passing day, “A Vote for Obama is a vote to destroy Israel”.