Take nothing for granted

Take nothing for granted

While Richard Mourdock is rising, don’t count Dick Lugar out.  He’s throwing everything he has at Mourdock this week, each day multiple new accusations.  A poll just out shows Lugar with a two point lead, via National Journal:

Sen. Richard Lugar and Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock are in a dead heat according to a poll released Wednesday that was conducted for the Lunch Pail Republicans, a pro-labor group that announced its support for Lugar on the same day.

Lugar leads Mourdock 44 percent to 42 percent, separation that is within the margin of error.  Fourteen percent of respondents said they were undecided.

The live-caller poll was conducted entirely on Tuesday. One-day polls typically arouse a bit more skepticism than surveys conducted over the course of several days.

But most observers expect a close election and the findings of the survey is consistent with that line of thought.

A Wenzel Strategies poll conducted in late April for the pro-Mourdock Citizens United Political Victory Fund showed Mourdock leading Lugar 44 percent to 39 percent.

The Magellan Strategies poll of 400 likely Indiana Republican primary voters was conducted for the Lunch Pail Republicans on May 1 and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Same story in Wisconsin, where there essentially is a dead heat in a Marquette Poll just released:

With less than a week until the primary in the historic Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election, a new Marquette Law School Poll shows Tom Barrett leading Kathleen Falk 38 percent to 21 percent, with 8 percent for Doug La Follette and 6 percent for Kathleen Vinehout. In a June general election between Barrett and Governor Scott Walker, Barrett leads by one percentage point, 47-46, among all registered voters, while Walker leads by one percentage point, 48-47, among likely voters. Both results are well within the margin of error of the poll. Walker leads former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk 49 percent to 42 percent among registered voters and 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters.

Given how close the Walker recall will be, it’s a good thing Wisconsin will have voter photo  i.d. to prevent voter fraud.  Oh wait.

Update: H/t Michelle Malkin, some interesting background on the Indiana pollster:

i did some digging and from their April FEC report, it shows $100,000 transferred to the group from 1 PAC called “ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE” which is a union PAC that has given to a littany of Democrats with a rate repub.

So a union is hiding under a shell so called Lunch Pail Republican PAC to hide the fact they are helping Lugar. Gotta help Obama’s favorite Republican I guess.

That doesn’t mean the poll is wrong.  Take nothing for granted.

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