Over 2400 votes cast.
Herman Cain wins with an overwhelming 46% based on the current field, with Perry (21%) and Romney (10%) far behind. Sarah Palin wins big in an expanded field including Chris Christie, at 58% with Cain dropping to second at 14%, Christie at 13% , Perry at 8% and Romney at 3.5%. (These numbers are rounded, full and precise results here.)
First all the usual caveats. Not a scientific poll. Not even a poll. Like a true straw poll a measure of who showed up and enthusiasm. Not surprisingly, this blog has a large pro-Palin contingent, and there were some links to the poll in the comment sections of pro-Palin blogs which may account for her higher numbers to some extent.
My observations from this straw poll:
- Cain likely is getting the vote from those not happy with the two frontrunners, similar to the “no confidence” vote (Bill Kristol’s term) in the Florida straw poll. When the field expands Cain’s percentage dropped dramatically.
- Support for Romney and Perry is a mile wide and an inch thin. They lose when others get in or gain momentum, as in the Florida straw poll.
- Chris Christie (at last report, still not getting in) takes votes away from Romney, consistent with Dan Riehl’s theory that Christie is being pushed by the establishment not as an anti-Perry candidate, but out of fears that Romney is weak.
- Palin has an ethusiastic base of support, more organized on the internet than any other candidate. That there were some links at pro-Palin blogs reflects that there are pro-Palin blogs but few if any blogs backing the curent front runners. (Someone please point me to pro-Romney or pro-Perry blogs which are not creatures of the campaign.)