Polling Tag

Iowa Pollster Ann Selzer Retires From Election Polling After 16-Point Miss

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on November 17, 2024 29 Comments

"Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course. It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite." Yes, it is....

Pollster Behind Massively Botched Iowa Poll Showing Kamala Leading Deflects Blame

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on November 08, 2024 26 Comments

Ann Selzer claims her 17-point miss may have been due to Republican voters being "energized" and "activated" by her poll showing Kamala up by 3 points....

Jon Stewart Lashes Out at Pollsters After Harris Defeat

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on November 06, 2024 54 Comments

What Stewart fails to understand about the polling of the 2024 election cycle is that right-leaning pollsters were fairly accurate. ...

Rashida Tlaib Declines to Endorse Kamala Harris During Michigan UAW GOTV Rally

Posted by Stacey Matthews on November 03, 2024 9 Comments

"The reality is that the Biden admin’s unconditional support for genocide is what got us here. This should be a wake-up call for those who continue to support genocide. This election didn't have to be close."...

Polling Guru Nate Silver Accuses Pollsters of Cheating, Herding to Make Race Appear Tight

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on November 01, 2024 46 Comments

With the exception of the New York Times, Silver thinks the pollsters are “just f***ing punting on this election for the most part.”...

https://x.com/PopCrave/status/1833684388803997809

RCP Polling Averages Flipped MI, WI to Harris; Here’s Why It Doesn’t Matter

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 31, 2024 45 Comments

"If a poll at this stage of the game will not give you the methodology behind it, it’s in all likelihood a voter suppression poll."...

https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1844754378994967029

Fox News Polling Analysis Claims Massive Kamala Lead, Countering Other Polling

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 22, 2024 56 Comments

Fox attributes Harris's 6-point lead to a concept called “inefficient vote.”...

Poll Finds Only 8 Percent of Professors Plan to Vote for Trump

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 22, 2024 3 Comments

"Seventy-eight percent support Kamala Harris and running mate Tim Walz, while only 8 percent of the respondents back Donald Trump and JD Vance"...

Don’t Discount the Message From the Betting Markets

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 16, 2024 41 Comments

Harris needs something big to jumpstart her campaign. Her upcoming interview with Brett Baier will either put her back in the game or end her chance at victory....

Harris’s Media Blitz May Cost Her the Election

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on October 14, 2024 41 Comments

New York Times political correspondent: Harris “keeps answering the question she wants, not the one that was asked.” ...

Democrats, Media Get Panicky As Kamala Harris’ ‘Momentum’ Stalls

Posted by Stacey Matthews on October 13, 2024 27 Comments

"Why are Democrats bedwetting? The race is closer than it was 3 weeks ago in MI, PA, & WI. Way too close to call in all 3. Also, Harris is doing 6 points worse on avg. in them than Biden at this point in 2020."...

Mark Halperin Claims to Have Seen Private Polling and that Harris is ‘In Trouble’ in Swing States

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 10, 2024 27 Comments

"I'm having with Trump people and Democrats with data are extremely bullish on Trump's chances in the last 48 hours, extremely bullish."...

CNN’s Harry Enten Says Kamala Harris in ‘Danger Zone’ Over Voter Worry About Direction of Country

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 05, 2024 11 Comments

"The bottom line is it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track."...

CNN Data Analyst Sounds Alarm for Harris Campaign About Low Support From Union Households

Posted by Mike LaChance on October 01, 2024 26 Comments

"And we know that Donald Trump has been going after that vote, and he is in a very, very strong position—more so perhaps than with any other bloc."...

New poll from 2020’s most accurate pollster shows Trump up by 2.9 points

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on September 17, 2024 58 Comments

If the election were held today, Atlas calculates that Trump has a 75% chance of winning in the Electoral College. His odds improve if you take historical polling error into account....

Liberals’ Knives Come Out for Nate Silver After His Model Points to a Trump Victory

Posted by Elizabeth Stauffer on September 09, 2024 45 Comments

Silver: "Harris is in fact on the decline in polls over the past couple of weeks in most of the key swing states.”...

https://x.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1832069262585872654

CNN’s Harry Enten: Trump Outperforming His Current Numbers ‘By Just a Single Point’ in November Will Lead to Victory

Posted by Stacey Matthews on September 08, 2024 16 Comments

"We‘re talking about the closest campaign in a generation where a single point could make all the difference in the world."...

Nate Silver Douses Operation Demoralize: Harris ‘on the Decline’ in ‘Key Swing State’ Polls

Posted by Stacey Matthews on September 07, 2024 28 Comments

"One of the reasons I'm not super sympathetic to complaints about the convention bounce stuff is that Harris is in fact on the decline in polls over the past couple of weeks in most of the key swing states"...

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