It’s January 1, 2025.
Let’s get straight to the point. The LI authors have some 2025 predictions for you guys. Do you agree? Do you disagree? What do you think will happen in 2025?
First, let’s look at my predictions last year for 2024, which were very specific and precise. On second thought, let’s not.
My predictions for 2025:
LI’s resident libertarian here!
2025 will be whack with President-elect Donald Trump back in office. Overall, not much will change. Don’t get your hopes up.
Sure we’ll see more media meltdowns and the Democrats remain in disarray.
But let’s be real. The government won’t shrink or slash enough spending. The Republicans are big government, too. Maybe not as big government as Democrats, but you’re silly if you think Republicans are small government and fiscally conservative.
In a 6-3 decision, the US Supreme Court will uphold Tennessee’s transgender care ban for minors, because the law doesn’t discriminate based on sex. Its restrictions are based on age and use, treating both sexes equally.
And because transgender care is a hotly debated area of medicine, the court will rule that it should be left to lawmakers—who take expert testimony and are accountable to the people they represent—not judges, to determine state policy. I wrote about the case, U.S. v. Skrmetti, here and here.
My other predictions are also about transgender policies—and they started coming true already, because Trump isn’t waiting until Inauguration Day to get to work.
Last week, Biden’s Department of Education preemptively withdrew its proposed changes to Title IX that allowed biological men into women’s spaces.
Biden’s people know that his transgender policy can be undone by Trump on January 20th the same way it was done by Biden four years ago, i.e., with executive orders.
That’s what Trump meant the other day when he said, echoing Obama, “With the stroke of my pen on Day 1 we are going to stop the transgender lunacy”:
I must admit, I was pretty solid with my 2024 predictions. However, I missed the one about the Artemis mission, which has been more delayed than I had anticipated. Here are three predictions for 2025:
I wish all of our Legal Insurrection friends a happy, healthy, and prosperous 2025.
The candidate who will succeed Phil Murphy as Governor in New Jersey will be a Republican.
I predict that Mike Johnson will remain Speaker of the House, and that 2025 will be an incredibly unpredictable year politically speaking (but in a good way). Happy New Year, LI community, and thanks for the continued support!
I’m optimistic about Trump being able to bring to fruition most of the objectives on his domestic agenda. Tea Party’s dream will be realized when DOGE successfully rolls down the bureaucratic state. Trump will banish most of the woke and return our military readiness. Most of the illegals will be deported and DOE disbanded —although it may take more than a year.
Prop 36 will reduce crime in California cities with honest District Attorneys. Homelessness and drug addiction in the sanctuary state will be harder to root out.
Israel and America will take out the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program. Operations in Gaza, Lebanon and elsewhere will continue. Israel will not formally annex Mount Hermon — yet.
The war in Ukraine will escalate to an end. The big foreign policy question is Taiwan and I hesitate to predict what will happen there.
Having covered Europe and the Middle East for nearly 10 years for the Legal Insurrection, I have gained the humility not to make bold geopolitical predictions. I will, however, dare to outline what the coming year might have in store for us.
President Donald Trump’s return revives hope for peace in the Middle East (Abraham Accords redux). Trump’s second presidency also raises expectations for an early cessation of hostilities in Ukraine after nearly three years of Russian war of aggression.
With the destruction of Hamas and Hezbollah terrorist groups and the fall of Assad regime, Israel secured multiple victories against Iran’s axis of terror. However, in order to secure a meaningful peace, Israel will have to defang Iran by destroying its nuclear program. It remains to be seen if the change of guard in the White House revives the U.S. policy of quashing Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
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