FBI Stealth Edits Crime Stats, Shows Violent Crime Went Up in 2022
RealClear Investigations discovered the stealth edit: “violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%.”
Oh, look. Three weeks before the election, the FBI quietly edited its crime data.
The Democrats, media, and the left latched onto the FBI’s first report that said violent crime fell in 2022 by 2.1%.
They all used the stat against former President Donald Trump, who has repeated that crimes have increased.
RealClear Investigations discovered the stealth edit: “violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%.”
Those crimes include “thousands more murders, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults.”
Oops:
RCI discovered the change through a cryptic reference on the FBI website that states: “The 2022 violent crime rate has been updated for inclusion in CIUS, 2023.” But there is no mention that the numbers increased. One only sees the change by downloading the FBI’s new crime data and comparing it to the file released last year.
After the FBI released its new crime data in September, a USA Today headline read: “Violent crime dropped for third straight year in 2023, including murder and rape.”
It’s been over three weeks since the FBI released the revised data. The Bureau’s lack of acknowledgment or explanation about the significant change concerns researchers.
Carl Moody, a professor at the College of William & Mary who specializes in studying crime, reviewed the data from 2004 to 2022: “There were no revisions from 2004 to 2015, and from 2016 to 2020, there were small changes of less than one percentage point. The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data.”
HOW do you miss so many of these crimes? Ridiculous:
The actual changes in crimes are extensive. The updated data for 2022 report that there were 80,029 more violent crimes than in 2021. There were an additional 1,699 murders, 7,780 rapes, 33,459 robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. The question naturally arises: should the FBI’s 2023 numbers be believed?
How do you miss so many murders and motor vehicle thefts? Both of those are likely reported.
Murder is reported for obvious reasons. But people report motor vehicle thefts for insurance purposes.
Don’t forget that the statistics only include reported crimes.
Many crimes go unreported. The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) said people only bring “about 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes” to the police.
Speaking of NCVS, its data also sparks doubt in the FBI data:
A half-century ago, the DOJ provided a total crime measure, including both reported and unreported crime. The results of the department’s Bureau of Justice Statistics 2023 National Crime Victimization Survey, released in mid-September, tell a very different story from the FBI data.
The NCVS interviews 240,000 people each year about their personal experiences.
Instead of the FBI’s 3.5% drop in the reported violent crime rate in 2023, the NCVS found a 4.1% increase in the reported violent crime rate. Even with the revised FBI numbers, in 2022, the FBI’s 4.5% increase pales in comparison to the NCVS’s 29.1% increase.
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It’s almost as if there are Federal bureaucrats who would put their thumb on the scale to help/hurt one candidate/one party by ‘cooking the books’ based upon purely partisan political leanings instead of remaining NONpartisan. See FBI crime stats, Bureau of Labor Stats as two examples.
These partisan hacks must be purged out of the Federal workforce. They have forgotten that they are.supposed to work for the entirety of the Nation, not just the Acela corridor, the Rich Men North of Richmond, the defense industrial complex, oligarchs and boondoggle public/private partnerships.
Imagine what the real stats look like.
The site shadowstats.com has two different CPI numbers to compare the official data against using the same methodology as used in 1990 and 1980. Both of those are much different than the current methodology.
For a better read on employment use the household survey data and ADP. For crime data looking at the reported crime data v the FBI data can help offset the chicanery by following the trendline on crimes reported by type.
“Don’t worry, we have an insurance policy.”
Yeah, at this point anyone trying to make a similar case for ‘benefit of the doubt’ being offered for questionable actions/inaction of any govt official re thwarting/resisting/impeding the policy directives much less interfering actively or passively in the election of DJT is too naive to be considered for any position of influence or power.
Below is one of the MANY ‘fact-checks’ by the media immediately after (or even during) the Harris/Trump debate. From NPR:
What’s more, violent crime — including murder, robbery and rape — is way down nationwide, according to the most recent data from the FBI. Notably, analysts predict violent crime rates this year will fall back down to where they were before they surged during the pandemic and may even approach a 50-year low.
Will any of these media organizations be fact-checking their fact-checks?
Facts were never their priority
Day One priorities for President Trump, after his swearing-in — Fire the vile, subversive and lawless Wray, Gina Haspel at CIA, and, all of their toadies, courtiers and cronies. That’s a good start.
So will the propaganda arm of the democrat party, the mainstream media, now retract all of the articles they have written over the past years claiming that violent crime has decreased in the United States and finally acknowledge the truth of the matter? That violent crime has increased across the board? Will they now be demanding to know why the Dept. of Justice Statistics manipulated the data to make a certain political party look better than it actually is? Will they be demanding to know if any more massive “revisions” will be made previously reported violent crime statistics? Will they demand to know if anything released by the FBI or DOJ Dept. of Justice Statistics can be trusted to be accurate?
No?
Didn’t think so.
They’ll just sweep this under the rug and hope that nobody notices. And the sad part is, they might just get away with doing just that. 😡
Don’t know why my comment came up as a reply to guyjones. It wasn’t supposed to be. Sorry about that.
This is exactly what BLS has been doing with employment data for a long time; report a headline number that sells the Biden admin narrow then revise the data afterwards. Meanwhile everyone is focused on the next ‘happy Horse crap’ monthly data release. Even the Federal Reserve officials have made references to this in an oblique manner in some of their comments.
…… an pull any security clearances the 51 intelligence officials who disputed the Hunter laptop still have.
the left has and continues to redefine aka as LYING what the word crime actually means
not to mention watering down violent charges against their people if charging them at all with crimes they have committed
Will someone please deliver a pink slip to Mr. Wray and show him to the exit? He needs to be an ex-federal employee.
THIS sort of thing is why you should never trust anything the government says. Watch what the government does and make up your own mind. Even if you hate the government, it’s probably nowhere near enough.
Even when the government MEANS to tell the truth, they likely get it wrong.
From my observations, that ain’t very damn often. Normally the lies are on purpose and massive
Even the stealth amended figures are lower than reality. Not all crimes, even violent crimes, are reported to the system because if you know that the system will do nothing, why bother?
What I am waiting for is when the DoJ decides not to count crimes committed by “protected classes” and hostile foreign invaders so as not to embarrass them. I can see the practice officially starting with the Venezuelan gang that is spreading through our cities.
Subotai Bahadur
Born under a Red Star /
Gaslit since I began to crawl /
If we didn’t have John Lott /
We wouldn’t have no truth at all…
Oops! Crime stats go up. Every jobs report gets revised down. It’s almost like they’re trying to trick us……or something.