It’s just one poll, but anyway, the findings are interesting. The Siena / NY Times poll showed Trump’s lead increasing overall.
Donald J. Trump’s lead in the 2024 presidential race has widened after President Biden’s fumbling debate performance last week, as concerns that Mr. Biden is too old to govern effectively rose to new heights among Democrats and independent voters, a new poll from The New York Times and Siena College showed.
Mr. Trump now leads Mr. Biden 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters nationally, a three-point swing toward the Republican from just a week earlier, before the debate. It is the largest lead Mr. Trump has recorded in a Times/Siena poll since 2015. Mr. Trump leads by even more among registered voters, 49 percent to 41 percent.
Doubts about Mr. Biden’s age and acuity are widespread and growing. A majority of every demographic, geographic and ideological group in the poll — including Black voters and those who said they will still be voting for him — believe Mr. Biden, 81, is too old to be effective.
Overall, 74 percent of voters view him as too old for the job, up five percentage points since the debate. Concerns about Mr. Biden’s age have spiked eight percentage points among Democrats in the week since the debate, to 59 percent. The share of independent voters who said they felt that way rose to 79 percent, nearly matching the Republican view of the president.
The Siena/NYT findings are consistent with other post-debate polls that show Trump increasing his lead after the debate.
This could end up being a Battle of the Sexes election, with Trump surging among men, while women are still “riding with Biden”:
One of the more interesting findings in the poll was that men accounted for virtually all of Mr. Trump’s post-debate gains….
In the pre-debate poll, Mr. Trump had led among likely male voters by 12 percentage points. After the debate, his lead among men ballooned to 23 points. That movement was particularly concentrated among younger men and men without college degrees.
Mr. Biden’s five-point edge among likely women voters before the debate actually ticked up slightly, to eight points.
This tweet by Ryan Girdusky highlights the yawning gender gap between men and women:
I do understand why Trump would be stronger among men. But what I can’t understand is how support among women could increase, or even hold steady, after that debate. Come on, man.
Please try to explain it to me, without using the word “Karen”.
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